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  Economics : Break-Even

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Dry Gas Basin Breakeven Analysis Most of the dry gas plays in the U.S. have breakeven prices above the current 2020-2023 strip at 2.48/MMBtu - Dry gas producers will require higher realized prices than the current strip to incentivize the drilling activity needed to deliver new supply - Dry gas rig count has declined 24%, or 34 rigs, since March 15th 6.00 (1) 30 Breakeven (25% ROR) 2020-2023 Strip(2) Dry Gas Rig Count 28 Rigs 108 Dry Gas Rigs Breakeven Price Assuming 25% ROR (/Mcf) 5.00 25 Current Rig Count 3.96 4.00 20 20 3.32 3.40 3.18 3.07 16 3.00 2.48 15 (2020-2023 Strip) 11 2.00 2.43 10 8 8 6 1.00 5 5 3 2 1 0.00 0 0 0 Marcellus Marcellus Haynesville - Marcellus Utica Shale - Eagle Ford - Haynesville - Marcellus Green River Cotton Barnett CoreUinta Basin - Rockies - Shale - NE Shale - SW N LA Core - Shale - WV Dry Gas Dry Gas N LA Core - Shale - Basin - Valley - Lower Piceance PA - Dry PA - Dry Long Dry Ohio Standard Central PA Pinedale Horizontal Mesaverde Laterals Laterals Breakeven analysis source: J.P. Morgan Equity Research estimates. RigData report dated 8/22/19. 1) Breakeven price is defined as half cycle pre-tax ROR of 25%. Excludes rich gas basins; SW Marcellus Rich, SCOOP/STACK, DJ Basin, 2) 2020-2023 average Nymex Henry Hub price. Strip pricing as of 8/30/19. ANTERO RESOURCES NATURAL GAS FUNDAMENTALS 13
Antero Resources
September 2019

DJ Basin: Analysts See the Value of the Basin Competitive with all other basins 90 70 % 63 % 83 Breakeven (PV-10, 20:1 WTI:HH Ratio, US / bbl) 80 74 60 % 54 % 70 70 67 64 50 % 58 59 60 55 50 50 48 48 48 48 40 % 41 % 41 % 45 46 IRR 41 30 % 38 39 39 40 30 % 34 31 % 34 % 30 25 % 23 % 20 % 20 % 19 % 20 17 % 10 % 10 11 % 11 % 5% 3% 4% 7% 0% 6% 0 0% (1) Piceance Basin Permian STACK Eagle Ford Powder River Basin SCOOP Haynesville TMS Marcellus Cotton Valley Barnett Gulf Coast Arkoma Woodford DJ Basin Bakken SK Bakken Utica Montney Fayetteville Uinta Basin Half Cycle: Excludes Acreage Acquisition Costs Source: RS Energy Group. Note: Basin breakeven reflect single well economics. (1) Permian basin breakeven represents Midland basin breakeven.
Extraction Oil and Gas
May 2019

RS 100 - 20 40 60 80 TMS Stella Kraken Mariner Western Isles Barnett Arkoma Woodford Granite Wash Fayetteville Uinta Basin Mississippi Lime Libra Big Foot Utica 120Energy Group; /bbl WTI Upper Devonian Gulf Coast Atlanta-Oliva Piceance Basin Jack/St Malo Perdido Shenandoah Martin Linge Ivar Aasen Amoca Anchor Stampede Cascade/Chinook North Park Basin Industry leading breakevens Liza OCTP TEN Greater Green River Basin Onshore Offshore Appomattox Guyana: Stabroek Block Gina Krog Catcher North Platte Golden Eagle Sapinhoa Duvernay Lula Haynesville Jupiter Tonkawa Powder River Basin Cotton Valley Cleveland Edvard Grieg Johan Castberg Heidelberg Mad Dog 2 Montney Bakken SK Bakken SCOOP Eaglebine Deep Basin Project Breakevens: 50 Top Offshore Developments & Shale Plays1 Zama Cold Flow Heavy FAN Vito Solan Sepia Shaunavon STACK Marcellus Trion Lapa Eagle Ford Iara NW Shelf Itapu (1) RS Energy Group OFFSHORE FIRST CLASS The L.I.Z.A Framework (January 2018); onshore single well breakeven include facility and G&A costs and exclude acquisition costs. Stones San Juan Basin Liza breakeven lowest of global offshore developments and shale plays Lancaster Carcara DJ Basin SNE Lucius CBP Johan Sverdup Buzios Viking Delaware Midland Buzzard Jubilee Liza offshore developments and shale plays Liza breakeven lowest of major global 14
Hess Corp
February 2019

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