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Headwater Talks 2020 Plans; Reports Fourth Quarter 2019 Results

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   |    Tuesday,March 31,2020

Headwater Exploration Inc. (the “Company” or “Headwater“) (TSX:HWX) announces its operating and financial results for the three months and year ended December 31, 2019. Selected financial and operational information is outlined below and should be read in conjunction with the audited financial statements and the related management’s discussion and analysis (“MD&A”).  These filings will be available at www.sedar.com and the Company’s website at www.headwaterexp.com. In addition, readers are also directed to the Company’s Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2019, dated March 25, 2020, filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. Proforma numbers inclusive of the Recapitalization Transaction (as defined below) are included in the highlights table below.

 Financial and Operating Highlights

 

Three months
ended

December 31,

Three months
ended

December 31,

Year ended

December 31,

 

Pro Forma (1) (2)

2019

2018

2019

2018

Financial (thousands of dollars except share data)

         

Sales

2,310

2,310

3,525

9,333

16,944

Cash flow provided by operating activities (5)

(192)

(192)

(1,609)

8,861

10,115

Per share – basic

(0.02)

0.10

0.11

– diluted

(0.02)

0.10

0.11

Funds flow from operations (5)

1,929

1,929

1,338

8,206

10,232

Per share – basic

0.01

0.02

0.02

0.09

0.12

– diluted

0.01

0.02

0.02

0.09

0.11

Net income (loss)

1,447

1,447

6,104

2,815

(314)

Per share – basic

0.01

0.02

0.07

0.03

– diluted

0.01

0.02

0.07

0.03

Capital expenditures

227

227

724

685

2,254

Working capital

109,992

   

64,622

57,190

Shareholders’ equity

     

114,310

111,700

Weighted average shares (thousands) 

         

Basic

 

88,147

88,799

88,472

88,700

Diluted

 

88,542

89,237

88,757

89,095

Shares outstanding, end of period (thousands)

         

Basic

144,327

   

88,147

88,899

Diluted

167,291

   

89,842

91,470

Operating (6:1 boe conversion)

         
           

Average daily production

         

Natural gas (mmcf/d)

3.5

3.5

4.4

3.7

4.2

Natural gas liquids (bbl/d)

2

2

4

3

Barrels of oil equivalent (4) (boe/d)

586

586

726

620

709

           

Netbacks ($/boe)

         

Operating

         

Sales

42.84

42.84

52.74

41.24

65.46

Royalties

(0.96)

(0.96)

(1.44)

(1.02)

(1.95)

Production expenses

(12.19)

(12.19)

(12.13)

(11.54)

(10.58)

Transportation expenses

(0.39)

           

Field netback (3)

29.69

29.69

39.17

28.68

52.54

Realized gains (losses) on financial derivatives 

14.70

14.70

12.99

16.31

(2.05)

Operating netback (3)

44.39

44.39

52.16

44.99

50.49

General and administrative expense

(13.22)

(13.22)

(12.25)

(13.26)

(10.06)

Interest income and other (6)

4.73

4.73

5.30

4.64

5.88

Decommissioning liabilities settled

(0.13)

(0.13)

(25.20)

(0.11)

(6.78)

 Funds flow netback(3)(5)

35.77

35.77

20.01

36.26

39.53

 Net income (loss) ($/boe)

26.84

26.84

91.32

12.43

(1.21)

(1) The Pro Forma calculations reflect the issuance of an aggregate of 54,347,826 Common Shares (as defined below) and 21,739,130 Warrants (as defined below) for gross proceeds of $50 million less agents’ fees of $1.5 million, stock option proceeds of $1.67 million and expenses of $4.8 million pursuant to the Recapitalization Transaction.

(2) Pro Forma per share values are calculated using Pro Forma basic common shares outstanding and Pro Forma diluted common shares outstanding.

(3) See “Non-IFRS” measures

(4) See ‘”Barrels of Oil Equivalent.”

(5) Comparative period revised to reflect current period presentation.  Decommissioning liabilities settled was previously not included in cash flow from operations, funds flow from operations or the funds flow netback calculation.

(6) Excludes accretion on decommissioning liabilities.

RECAPITALIZATION TRANSACTION SUBSEQUENT TO DECEMBER 31, 2019

On March 4, 2020, the Company completed its previously announced recapitalization transaction (the “Recapitalization Transaction“), as further described in the Company’s management information circular dated February 3, 2020.  The Recapitalization Transaction involved the following:

  • A non-brokered private placement of 21,739,130 units of the Company at a price of $0.92 per unit for aggregate gross proceeds of $20.0 million. Each unit was comprised of one common share (“Common Share“) and one Common Share purchase warrant (“Warrant“) of the Company. Each Warrant entitles the holder to purchase one Common Share at a price of $0.92 per Common Share for a period of 4 years from the issuance date. The Warrants vest and become exercisable as to one-third upon the 20-day volume weighted average price of the Common Shares equaling or exceeding $1.30, $1.60 and $1.90, respectively. Pursuant to the rules of the Toronto Stock Exchange, the non-brokered private placement was approved by shareholders of the Company at a special meeting held on March 4, 2020.
  • Concurrently with the closing of the non-brokered private placement, the appointment of a new management team and reconstitution of the board of directors was completed.
  • A brokered private placement of 32,608,696 subscription receipts of the Company (the “Subscription Receipts“), which were sold at a price of $0.92 per Subscription Receipt through a syndicate of dealers for aggregate gross proceeds of $30.0 million, was completed on February 11, 2020. Pursuant to the terms of the Subscription Receipts, upon completion of the non-brokered private placement, reconstitution of the board of directors and appointment of the new management team on March 4, 2020, the net proceeds of the brokered private placement were released to the Company and each holder of Subscription Receipts received one Common Share for each Subscription Receipt held.
  • The Company also changed its name to Headwater Exploration Inc., which name change was also approved by shareholders of the Company at the special meeting held on March 4, 2020. The Common Shares began trading under the new name and the symbol “HWX” on the TSX on March 9, 2020.

 

HIGHLIGHTS FOR YEAR ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2019

  • As at December 31, 2019, Headwater had cash and cash equivalents of $60.9 million, net working capital of $64.6 million and no outstanding debt. Pro forma the Recapitalization Transaction the Company had estimated working capital of approximately $110 million and no outstanding debt.
  • Achieved funds flow from operations of $8.2 million and generated net income of $2.8 million.
  • Total proved and proved developed producing reserves stayed flat year over year at 3.0 mmboe due to positive technical revisions which offset production during 2019.
  • Proved plus probable reserves stayed flat year over year at 3.7 mmboe due to positive technical revisions which offset production during 2019. 100% of the proved plus probable reserves at year end are producing reserves.
  • The net present value of future net revenues discounted at 10% after taxes of the proved producing reserves inclusive of all future abandonment and reclamation costs is $46.7 million.
  • The net present value of future net revenues discounted at 10% after taxes of the proved plus probable reserves inclusive of all future abandonment and reclamation costs is $55.6 million.
  • On a pro forma basis based on the net present value of future net revenues discounted at 10% after taxes of Headwater’s proved developing producing reserves and proved plus probable reserves as presented and proforma positive working capital of approximately $110 million, the Company’s net asset value as at December 31, 2019 equates to $1.09 per basic Common Share on a proved basis and $1.15 per basic Common Share on a proved plus probable basis based on approximately 144.3 million Common Shares outstanding. Of note is that all Headwater’s reserves are producing reserves.

 

2019 Reserve Information

Headwater currently has natural gas reserves in the McCully Field near Sussex, New Brunswick.  GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. (“GLJ“) assessed the Company’s reserves in its report dated effective December 31, 2019 which were prepared in accordance with standards of the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (the “COGE Handbook“) and National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities and is based on the average forecast prices as at December 31, 2019 of three independent reserves evaluation firms. Additional information regarding reserves data and other oil and gas information is included in Headwater’s Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2019.

December 31, 2019

Reserves Category

           
 

Conventional

Natural

Gas

Shale
Gas

NGL

Oil
Equivalent

After Tax Net
Present Value
Discounted at 10%

Future

Development
Capital(1)

 

MMcf

MMcf

Mbbl

MBOE

($000’s)

($000’s)

Proved Developed
Producing

17,163

836

18

3,018

46,706

2,643

             

Total Proved

17,163

836

18

3,018

46,706

2,643

             

Probable Developed Producing

3,921

197

4

691

8,883

             

Total Proved Plus Probable

21,084

1,034

22

3,709

55,589

2,696

 

Notes

1)

All future development capital is associated with future facility optimization.

2)

Reserves have been presented on gross basis which are the Company’s total working interest share before the deduction of any royalties and without including any royalty interests of the Company.

3)

Based on three independent reserves evaluation firms average December 31, 2019 escalated price forecasts.

4)

It should not be assumed that the net present value of estimated future net revenue presented in the tables above represents the fair market value of the reserves.

5)

There is no assurance that the forecast prices and costs assumptions will be attained and variances could be material. The recovery and reserves estimates of Headwater’s natural gas and natural gas liquids herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual natural gas and natural gas liquids reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein.

6)

All future net revenues are stated prior to provision for interest, general and administrative expenses and after deduction of royalties, operating costs, estimated well and facility abandonment and reclamation costs and estimated future capital expenditures. Future net revenues have been presented on an after tax basis.

7)

Totals may not add due to rounding.

8)

Pursuant to the COGE Handbook, reported reserves should target at least a 90 percent probability that the quantities actually recovered will be equal to or exceed the estimated proved reserves and that at least a 50 percent probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves.

2020 OUTLOOK

Headwater is in an enviable position to consolidate assets in the Canadian energy sector with a forecasted positive working capital balance of approximately $115 million as at March 31, 2020 in addition to a strong tax pool balance of approximately $159 million (as at December 31, 2019).

The rapid deterioration in crude oil prices from simultaneous supply and demand shocks are providing a generational opportunity for well capitalized companies in the Canadian energy sector. The Headwater team continues to assess the unique opportunities that have been and continue to be created by the current market dynamics.  Our focus on asset quality, balance sheet strength and investor returns are anticipated to result in one or more strategic acquisitions in the western Canadian sedimentary basin that will be combined with organic development to obtain superior corporate level returns.

2020 Guidance

Headwater plans to continue the Company’s previous strategy of production optimization of the McCully gas field in New Brunswick.  The field is expected to be shut-in from approximately May 1 to November 1 to optimize production levels, revenue, cash flow and returns by taking advantage of premium gas pricing during the peak demand months.

With this release Headwater is returning to conventional fiscal year guidance as follows:

  • 2020 average production of 4.1 mmcf/d (approximately 99% natural gas and 1% natural gas liquids)(assumes all production shut-in from May 1 to November 1, 2020)
  • Operating cash flow of $6.8 million (inclusive of realized financial derivatives)
  • 2020 funds flow from operations of $5.5 million
  • Capital expenditures on McCully base assets of $0.5 million
  • 2020 exit working capital (assuming no other acquisitions or development) of $115 million

 

With our significant capital resources, it is expected that the budget including acquisitions and development will be very fluid to accommodate the opportunities identified by the team and approved by the Board of Directors (the “Board“) of Headwater throughout 2020.  We look forward to reporting back on the transformation of the Company over the next several quarters.


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