Top of Mind Why invest Whats in the Plan; Whats not How do we do it What makes us different Barclays CFO Roundtable March 18, 2015 Ludington Pumped Storage Cross Winds Energy Park Fourth largest in the world Unmatched…
Whats Changed Since Last Year DELIVERED ON 2014 COMMITMENTS . . . . Commitment Results Delivered a a A. Exceed industry EPS and dividend growth A. +7% EPS ; +7.4% dividend B. Exceed industry ORGANIC CAPITAL B. 1.7 bil -- 16% of market…
Why Invest in CMS Energy Our Growth Engine Supported By (2015-2024 Capex) UPSIDES create headroom (Investment, Sales, Cost, & DIG) PARTNERS in progress 15.5 Billion (Customers, Regulators, & Policy Makers) a 5% - 7% EPS growth…
Why Invest in CMS Energy UNMATCHED EPS PERFORMANCE . . . . Premier, Real EPS Growth a Upsides Future = 5% to 7% / yr 20 bil (vs 15.5 bil) capex growth, CMS = 7% / yr O&M reductions; 6% 14 & 15; 4% 16 18 -- more to go, % sales…
Whats in the Plan INVESTMENT CATCH-UP . . . . Amount (billions) 1.8 1.5 per year Peers Peer Performance a Consumers Energy Peer Average CMS Capex Liquidity Cash Flow (oper) 20% 16% 15% 14% 15% 12% 2003 2004 2005…
Whats in the Plan VISIBLE CAPEX . . . . 2005-2014 2015-2024 10.7B 15.5B Up +94% Gas Infrastructure Electric Gas Maintenance Infrastructure Electric Maintenance Electric Reliability New New & Distribution Generation…
Whats NOT in the Plan UPSIDE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES . . . . 2015-2024 Opportunity Level 10-Year Plan Amount (bils) Generation capacity 3 Gas conversions & expansion 1 Grid modernization 1 20+ Billion 15.5 Billion Total…
Whats NOT in the Plan UPSIDE CAPACITY OPPORTUNITIES . . . . Capacity Growth Over Next Ten Years MW 11,000 10,000 PPAs Expire 9,400 MW PPA 8,600 MW 1,240 MW 580 PPA 2,600 780 MW 7,500 capacity Owned 30% 8,820 800 MW 410…
Whats NOT in the Plan UPSIDE CAPACITY PRICE INCREASES . . . . Was Now Future Scenarios (mils) (mils) (mils) +40 55 +20 35 15 5 Capacity price < 0.50 2.00 4.50 7.50 ( kW per (Market) (Market) (CONE) month) . . . .…
Whats NOT in the Plan SALES GROWTH . . . . In the News Annual Electric Salesa Industrial Total Kent County [Grand Rapids] leads nations 8.7% largest counties in post-recession employment gains -- Grand Rapids Press 5.0%…
How Do We Do It O&M COST SAVINGS . . . . O&M Trend vs Peers O&M Cost Savings 2014 2014 0 50% & 2015 2018 (mils) (mils) 6% per year 0 Peers Attrition - 35 - 75 0 2% per year Productivity (Coal Gas) - 35 - 50 0 Pole Top…
How Do We Do It O&M COST REDUCTIONS . . . . -3% -3% Amount 1,080 +5% (mils) 1,060 1060 1,040 +9% 1,020 1,000 980 -8% 960 940 920 -12% 900 880 860 840 2013 Cost Reinvestment 2014 Benefits Cost 2015 Reductions…
How Do We Do It REINVESTMENT HELPS CUSTOMERS . . . . a Annual EPS Growth Adjusted EPS 2012 2013 2014 (non-GAAP) 14% CMS EPS Growth Before Reinvestment CMS 2014 CMS 7% CMS 7% 7% 3% 2015 1.45 Peers _____ a Adjusted EPS…
How Do We Do It 2015 GAS AND ELECTRIC RATE CASES . . . . 2014 2015 2016 Our View GAS Filed 88 M 7/01 Settled 45 M A) Settled 45 million B) 10.3% ROE A) A) Jackson Plant in Jackson Plant Classic 7 Decommissioned rate…
How Do We Do It EXPERIENCED POLICY MAKERS . . . . Governor Rick Snyder Commission Powering Michigans John Quackenbush (R), Comeback Chairman Term Ends: July 2, 2017 Consistent Sally Talberg (I) Term Ends: Energy Committee…
How Do We Do It 2015 MICHIGAN ENERGY LAW . . . . Adaptability Reliability Upside RPS Expansion Affordability ROA Elimination Environmental protection 10% renewables by 2015 Energy efficiency 2015 Energy Timeline standards…
What Makes Us Different ELECTRIC CUSTOMER PRICES . . . . Residential Bills Industrial Rates Worse Worse 20 % 30 % 26% 21% 20 Rates & 10 Fuel 13% Rates & 10 Design 7% 3% National Avg Midwest Avg 0 0 (5)% -10 Policy or…
What Makes Us Different CUSTOMER SATISFACTION . . . . Electric Gas 2 1st Quartile 3 1st Quartile 2nd Quartile 2nd Quartile 6 9 3rd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile 4th Quartile Present Present 2010 2012 2014 Rank 2016…
What Makes Us Different A Passion for Customers AND Investors . . . . Future Shines Bright Sustainable Future Growth 3.50 EPS a Past Next 5 Dividend +5% to +7% Performance Years Investment (bils) 6.4 7.6 (2010-2014) Capacity Op…
2015 Guidance . . . . Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) Utility Electric 1.50 - 1.52 Gas 0.59 - 0.60 Total Utility 2.09 - 2.12 Enterprises 0.04 Parent and other (0.27) Total EPS 1.86 - 1.89 +5% to +7% Operating cash flow (GAAP) (mils)…
2015 Sensitivities . . . . 2015 Impact Status Sensitivity EPS OCF (mils) Sales a Electric (37,847 GWh) + 1% + 0.05 + 20 Gas (294.1 Bcf) + 5 + 0.07 + 30 Gas prices (NYMEX) + 50 0 55 + + ROE (authorized) Electric (10.3%) + 10…
OPERATING CASH FLOW GROWTH . . . . Amount Up 0.5 Billion (bils) Gross operating cash flowa 2.5 up 0.1 billion per year 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 Interest, working 1.8 capital and taxes 1.55 1.5 Pct of Market Cap (as of Dec.…
Whats NOT in the Plan ECONOMIC GROWTH . . . . Examples of New Business Industries Electric Gas Combination MW Announcement Announcement Auto 50 Plasan Carbon Composites Dicastal North America, Inc. Food 7 High performance auto Worlds…
What Makes Us Different CONSUMERS APPEARS . . . . Carbon Tonnage Reduction Million Tons of CO2 (Preliminary) 25 2005 Baseline 23 21 Clean Power Plan 19 Implied EPA Target 17 Consumers Energy Projected 15 emission level…