PDC Energy Analyst Day Agenda Scott Reasoner Wattenberg / Utica Asset Updates Key 2015 Enhancements George Courcier Wattenberg Midstream Overview Utica Midstream Overview Jim Lillo Reserves Update Downspacing Performance…
PDC Energy Resilience Resilient (adj.): The ability to recover quickly from adversity or change PDC is a Resilient company on all fronts: Operations Financial People Top Tier IRR Resource Plays Large Inventory of Projects Strong…
PDC Energy High Quality Assets Utica Core Wattenberg Company Overview Market Cap: 2.2 Billion(1) Enterprise Value: 2.8 Billion(1) YE 2014 proved reserves 250 MMBOE 64% liquids, 30% proved developed Stress tested to 50/Bbl…
PDC Energy Outstanding Growth Track Record (1) From continuing operations 4/9/2015 7
PDC Energy Resilient Balance Sheet Strong balance sheet discipline Maintain Debt to Adj. EBITDAX ratio < 2.0x and Debt to Cap < 40% 2015E Debt per Flowing Boe decreased 60% from 2012 Project future growth with modest cash…
PDC Energy Commitment to Stewardship Community PDCs Energizing Our Community Program over 1,375 hours volunteered with 275 employees participating Donated to over 100 non-profit organizations in 2014 Leading contributor in Colorado…
What Separates PDC from Industry Best-in-Class Assets Strong Balance Sheet Proven Execution Top-tier resource plays Industry leading hedges in Extensive operational 2,650 total 2P locations in place for 2015 and 2016 experience…
Scott Reasoner Senior Vice President Operations 4/9/2015 11
Operational Overview Wattenberg Overview Updated Type Curves & Economics Key Projects Being Tested in 2015 Utica Overview Technical Update Key Enhancements for 2015 Keys to Operational Success 4/9/2015 12
Improvements Driving Wattenberg Efficiency Increased Capital Efficiency Significant Cost Reductions Continued Drilling Efficiency (Standard Lateral Length) 4/9/2015 14
Changing Landscape of Non-Operated Activity Non-operated activity continues to complement Non-Operated Production Growth PDCs overall growth Market conditions redefining non-operated activity in Wattenberg Reduced non-operated…
Long-Term Performance In-Line With Type Curves Hz Wattenberg performance in-line with respective type curves Early time variance due to varying flowback methods Sustained long-term performance of older wells Variance to Respective…
Niobrara Performance In-Line with YE14 Type Curves Inner Core Niobrara 580 MBoe 9 producing wells 100 2P locations 5,500 net acres Middle Core Niobrara 400 MBoe 36 producing wells 1,400 2P locations 60,000 net acres…
Niobrara Gas-Oil Ratio (GOR) Discussion Niobrara GOR variation in Wattenberg critical for accurate forecasting Varying Liquids Content Across Core Areas Range of Area Type Curve Inner Middle Outer Producing GOR Stable After 1…
Updated Inner Core Niobrara Type Curve Updated Economics Include Increased Stage Density and Updated Capital Costs Net Acres: 5,500 Producing Wells: 9 wells 2P Locations: 100 Updated 3-Phase EUR: 625 MBoe Updated Capital…
Updated Middle Core Niobrara Type Curve Updated Economics Include Increased Stage Density and Updated Capital Costs Net Acres: 60,000 Producing Wells: 36 wells 2P Locations: 1,400 Updated 3-Phase EUR: 440 MBoe Updated Capital…
Updated Outer Core Niobrara Type Curve Updated Economics Include Increased Stage Density and Updated Capital Costs Net Acres: 31,000 Producing Wells: 73 wells 2P Locations: 700 Updated 3-Phase EUR: 310 MBoe Updated Capital…
Optimizing Extended-Reach Laterals (ERLs) Middle Core Niobrara 2014 Middle Core Niobrara ERL study Industry Middle Core Lateral Length Performance Industry Dataset Evaluated from Public Data, 2015 60+ industry Middle Core Niobrara…
ERL Middle Core Niobrara Type Curve Updated Capital Cost(2): 4.4MM 3-Phase EUR: 600 MBoe (1) Potential 2P Locations : 1,000 IRR(2): 47% PV10: 3.3MM 6,700 lateral 2015 focus for PDC Similar IP rates to standard laterals…
Evolving Understanding of Codell Performance Initial Codell performance supported single 370 MBoe type curve Conducted study in 2014 to better understand Codell performance across acreage position Additional Codell development now…
Codell GOR Variation in Wattenberg Codell GOR variation in Wattenberg critical for accurate forecasting Varying Liquids Content Across Core Areas Range of Area Type Curve Inner/Middle Outer Producing GOR Stabilizes After 1 2…
New Codell Type Curves in Core Wattenberg Updated Economics Include Increased Stage Density and Updated Capital Costs Inner / Middle Codell Producing Wells: 27 wells Net Acres: 65,500 2P Locations: 372 3-Phase EUR: 440 MBoe…
Wattenberg Capitalizing on Lower Cost Structure 2014 Development Increased ERL Drilling Minimal ERL development Tighter Stage Spacing Traditional completion design Standard stage spacing Improved Completion Design 2014 Cost…
2015 Expectations for Further Downspacing 20 Wells/Section Half-Section (2,640) Chesnut (2015 TIL) 480-acre unit ERL downspacing test 6,700 laterals 10 wells 5 NIO (64-acre spacing) 5 CDL (64-acre spacing) 22 Wells/Section…
Increased Stage Density Enhancing 2015 Recovery Enhancements Included in Updated Economics Comparison of Stage Densities Improved F&D Costs 25% increase in sand volumes Middle Core Example 25% increase in fluid volumes 10%…
Plug-n-Perf Completions Improving Performance Enhancements Not Included in Updated Economics Completion Design Comparison Sliding Sleeve Plug-n-Perf 2014 Maxey Project (Middle Core) (Middle Core Example) Design Design 2 plug-n-perf…
Testing Additional Technological Enhancements Enhancements Not Included in Updated Economics Biovert Completion Material Designed to divert frac fluid during completion Early Evaluation of Biovert Potential Aimed at creating more…
Operational Overview Wattenberg Overview Updated Type Curves & Economics Key Projects Being Tested in 2015 Utica Overview Technical Update Key Enhancements for 2015 Keys to Operational Success 4/9/2015 34
Utica Position Summary Utica Position Summary Net Acres: 67,000 % HBP: 50% Producing Hz Wells: 19 Potential Hz Locations: 220 2015 Est. Capital: 35MM 4/9/2015 35
Sustained Utica Performance 680 MBoe Condensate Window(1) 1,200 MBoe Wet-Gas Window(1) Performance supports condensate window type curve Washington Co. (Garvin) wells support wet gas type curve Excludes first two Utica wells due…
Dynamite Wells Continue to Impress As of March 15, 2015 Appx. 15% above type curve Dynamite performance tracking above 680 MBoe type curve after 90 days Updated completion design showing significant improvements in performance…
Operational Overview Wattenberg Overview Updated Type Curves & Economics Key Projects Being Tested in 2015 Utica Overview Technical Update Key Enhancements for 2015 Keys to Operational Success 4/9/2015 39
George Courcier Vice President Marketing & Midstream 4/9/2015 41
Midstream & Marketing Update Wattenberg Overview Processing & Takeaway Oil Gathering System Outlook on Differentials Netback Summary Utica Overview Processing & Takeaway Outlook on Differentials Netback Summary 4/9/2015…
Diversifying Midstream Service Providers Total PDC Wattenberg Operated Wellhead Volumes Access to additional plant capacity Decreases risks related to single provider 2015E 2014 2013 51 MMcf/d 69 MMcf/d 112 MMcf/d 4/9/2015 43
Substantial Long-Term Gas Processing Capacity DCP Midstream System Current DCP system capacity is 650 MMcf/d Additional Lucerne Plant in Q2 2015 expected to add 200 MMcf/d Additional add-ons to overall system expected to increase…
Substantial Long-Term Crude Oil Takeaway Additional Options and Capacity Multiple takeaway options (refinery, pipeline, trucking and rail) Expected takeaway capacity exceeds production forecasts for the basin PDC has firm capacity…
New Third-Party Oil Gathering System Reliable Crude Oil Transport Saddle Butte Gathering System Saddle Butte No volume commitment Crude Oil Gathering System No PDC capital outlay Middle Core Kersey Netback competitive with…
Wattenberg Marketing & Pricing Summary CRUDE OIL NGLs NATURAL GAS Key Highlights Key Highlights Key Highlights Sold at wellhead to multiple Sold at tailgate of processing Sold at tailgate of processing purchasers plants plants…
Midstream & Marketing Update Wattenberg Overview Processing & Takeaway Oil Gathering System Outlook on Differentials Netback Summary Utica Overview Processing & Takeaway Outlook on Differentials Netback Summary 4/9/2015…
Utica Gas Gathering Summary Two Primary Long-Term Processing Contracts MarkWest (MWE) PDC volumes flow to Seneca Plant Access to all major NGL takeaway projects in the northeast region MWE has current capacity of 1.1 Bcf/d with…
Maximizing Utica Gas Netbacks Challenging Price Environment for at Least the Next Couple Years Key Updates for Utica Pricing PDC Gas Realizations vs. Utica Indices PDC utilizing excess pipeline capacity to reach premium Chicago &…
Utica Marketing & Pricing Summary CRUDE OIL NGLs NATURAL GAS Key Highlights Key Highlights Key Highlights Condensate sold at wellhead to NGLs recovered in cryogenic Gathered and processed at local single purchaser plants cryogenic…
Jim Lillo Vice President Engineering and Technology 4/9/2015 53
Updated EUR Analysis Shows 2015 Improvements Based on Evaluation of Public Production Data 1,400 industry Hz Niobrara wells included in updated analysis of CO DJ Basin EURs now range from 292 to 630 MBoe in Core Wattenberg (all data…
Resilience of Economic Returns: All About Location Large 2P inventory of high-return projects in Wattenberg Range of performance within each core area; over 1,700 horizontal projects with IRRs above 40% Varying Returns Across Core…
Comparative Horizontal Niobrara Well Performance PDC among top operators for both 90 and 180 day average cumulative volumes Analysis assumptions key to accurate performance comparison Normalize performance for varying lateral lengths…
Proved Reserves Insulated from Low Prices YE2013 Pro Forma for 40 MMBoe PDCM Proved Reserves 226 MMBoe Marcellus Divestiture 2014 9.3 Significant Wattenberg and Utica Production MMBoe production growth Dominated by moving…
Wattenberg 3P Reserves Summary Gross Reserve Category Impact to Hz Locations Summary Bottom Line (1P) Proved - 245 MMBoe 2P = Current Development Estimates created by RyderScott Technically proven + probable downspacing 770…
2015 Capital Budget Summary 473 MM 2015 Capital Budget: 473MM 2015E Cash Flow: 355 - 380MM 2015E Cash Flow Outspend: 100 - 120MM Core Wattenberg 5 rig program 119 operated spuds planned 40% extended-reach lateral spuds 56…
2015 Production Guidance 2015 Quarter Comments Q1 2015 Full quarter of production from 37 TILs in Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Includes 34 ERL wells TIL in Middle Core Wattenberg; 4-well cole pad TIL in Utica Q3 2015 Lucerne II online Q4 2015 Becker…
2015 Financial Guidance In millions, except per share data 2014 2015 Guidance (3) Actual Low High Production (MMBoe) 9.3 (1) 13.5 14.5 Crude oil, natural gas and NGLs sales 471 361 400 Realized gain (loss) on derivatives (1) 188…
2015 Additional Guidance Average Sales Price 2014 Actual 2015 Guidance (excluding net settlements on derivatives) Crude oil equivalent (per Boe) 50.72 26.77 - 27.61 Per Unit Cost Metrics Measure (/Boe) 2014 Actual 2015…
Debt and Liquidity As of 12/31/14, Pro Forma for March 2015 Equity Offering Debt Maturity Schedule (in millions) 115 million 3.25% convertible debt matures in May 2016 700 million revolver matures May 2018 0 million drawn 12…
2015 Debt and Liquidity Analysis (1) Assume 700 million borrowing base in 2015 4/9/2015 73
Crude Oil and Natural Gas Hedges Summary Hedges in place as February 1, 2015 85% of crude oil volumes at weighted average floor price of 88.61/Bbl 2015 75% of natural gas volumes at weighted average floor price of 3.90/Mcf 4.1…
Weighted Average Cost of Capital Analysis As of December 31, 2013 2014 Cost of equity 15.8% 14.2% Equity % 60.0% 69.5% After-tax cost of debt 4.0% 5.2% Debt % 40.0% 30.5% WACC 11.1% 11.4% (1) PDC Energy 7.75% Notes due…
Lance Lauck Executive Vice President Corporate Development & Strategy 4/9/2015 77
Vision: Grow PDC Solidly into Mid-Cap E&P Space Roadmap to Successful Execution Exceptional Value-Added 3 year production CAGR of 30-35% Top-Tier drilling economics in Core Wattenberg Growth 3 year Debt-to-Adj.…
Corporate Development Overview 3-Year Outlook Scenarios PDC Strategy & Positioning 4/9/2015 79
PDC Future Outlook Case Scenarios Resilient Case Base Case Upside Case Px NYMEX Crude NYMEX Gas Px NYMEX Crude NYMEX Gas Px NYMEX Crude NYMEX Gas 2015 50.00 3.25 2015 51.72 2.86 2015 50.00 3.25 2016 50.00 3.25 2016 57.47 3.19 2016…
PDC Resilient Case: 50 Crude / 3.25 Gas Flat 2015, 2016, 2017: 5 Wattenberg Rigs (1) Shaded Areas Represent Guidance/Outlook Range Spend close to cash flow, grow production and maintain CFPS through 2017 (1) Range: base value…
PDC Base Case: Current Strip Price 2015, 2016, 2017: 5 - 6 - 7 Wattenberg Rigs; 0 - 0.5 - 1 Utica Rigs Shaded Areas Represent Guidance/Outlook Range Rig additions in Wattenberg - drilling Middle/Inner Core wells, resume drilling in…
Operational Efficiency 3-Year Base Case from 2015 to 2017 Actual 20% decrease in Operating Costs/Boe from 2012-2014 Project 50-55% decrease in Operating Costs/Boe from 2012-2017 Operational Resilience deliver improving cash cost…
Corporate Development Overview 3-Year Outlook Scenarios PDC Strategy & Positioning 4/9/2015 85
PDC Energy Strong Production Growth Source: Global Hunter Securities E&P Research 3/17/15; Internal Estimates - PDCE Peer Companies PDC projected to deliver top-tier production growth for 2015 and 2016 PDCs growth driven by…
PDC Energy Excellent Balance Sheet Strength Source: Global Hunter Securities E&P Research 3/17/15, Internal Estimates PDCE (Post Equity Issuance) Peer Companies PDCs top-tier growth also delivers peer-leading debt metrics PDCs…
PDC Energy Production Growth Drives Higher Valuations Source: Global Hunter Securities E&P Research 3/17/15, Internal Estimates PDCE (From Continuing Operations) PDC 2 year CAGR of 40% vs. peer average of 17% PDC trades at a 2015E…
What Sets PDC Apart Source: Acreage Estimates from Company Filings (1) PDC data includes shares from recent equity issuance. 4/9/2015 89
PDC Energys cost of capital as of 12/31/2014 Cost of Equity Cost of Debt Capital asset pricing model (CAPM) 5.2% = 8.6% x (1 40%) 14.2% = 2.2% + (1.60 x 7.5%) Risk-Free Equity Risk After-Tax Cost Pre-Tax Cost Marginal Tax…
PDC Energys cost of capital as of 12/31/2013 Cost of Equity Cost of Debt Capital asset pricing model (CAPM) 4.0% = 6.5% x (1 38%) 15.8% = 2.8% + (2.00 x 6.5%) Risk-Free Equity Risk After-Tax Cost Pre-Tax Cost Marginal Tax…
2014 Metrics From continuing operations Capital Spending (MM) Avg. Sales Price excludes net settlements on derivative (/Boe) Production From Continuing Operations (MMBoe) Total Production Costs (/Boe) 4/9/2015 96
2014 Credit Ratios PDC has Maintained Relatively Low Leverage and Strong Liquidity Conservative Leverage Strong Liquidity (MM) (1) Adjusted EBITDAX (2) / Interest, net Debt Maturity Schedule (MM) (3) (1) Assume borrow base of…
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures In millions, except per share data Three Months Ended December 31 Year Ended December 31 Adjusted net income (loss) from net income (loss): 2014 2013 2014 2013 Net income (loss) 131.8…
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures In millions, except per share data Three Months Ended December 31 Year Ended December 31 Adjusted EBITDA from net income (loss): 2014 2013 2014 2013 Net income (loss) 131.8 13.2 155.4…
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures in millions Year Ended December 31 Adjusted EBITDAX from net income (loss): 2012 2013 2014 Net income (loss) (130.7) (22.3) 155.4 (Gain) loss on commodity derivative instruments (32.4)…