Capital Market Day 2013 Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day 12 February 2013
2 Introduction Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day 12 February 2013
3 Agenda Introduction Ashley Heppenstall, President and CEO Financial Results 2012 Geoff Turbott, Vice President Finance and CFO Production & Resource Overview Chris Bruijnzeels, Senior Vice President Operations Norway…
4 Introduction 200 LUPE Share Price 180 160 Lundin Petroleum 140 120 SEK An organic growth success story 100 80 60 Raised cash equity USD 50 million in 2001 40 20 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008…
5 Lundin Petroleum - Strategy Remains Unchanged Value creation through access to hydrocarbon resources An exploration driven growth strategy Major geographical focus on Norway and South East Asia Long term perspective and…
6 Introduction 2012 - Another successful year Record production 35,700 boepd Met guidance for fourth consecutive year Record EBITDA and operating cashflow generation EBITDA USD 1.14 bn Operating cashflow USD 0.83 bn…
7 Introduction 2013 and beyond Production guidance of 33,000 38,000 boepd Anticipated 2013 exit rate of 40,000 boepd Remain on schedule to double production by end 2015 and quadruple production when Johan Sverdrup reaches…
8 Financial Results 2012 Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day 12 February 2013
11 Financial Results - 2012 Netback [USD/boe] Full Year CMD 2012 2012 Average Brent oil price USD/boe 111.67 115.00 Revenue 103.07 99.30 Cost of operations -8.09 -9.35 Tariffs -2.27 -2.05 Production taxes -3.93 -4.50 Stock…
12 Financial Results - Debt Position End 2012 350 WORKING CAPITAL & OTHER CLOSING MUSD 84 300 NET DEBT 250 31 DEC 2012 OPERATING MUSD 335 CASH FLOW 200 MUSD 831 150 G&A MUSD 20 OPENING FINANCIAL MUSD 58 100 NET DEBT…
13 Resources & Production Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day 12 February 2013
14 1 January 2013 2P Reserves PSC, 8% Total 201.5 MMboe Gas, 9% Tax/Royalty, 92% Malaysia, 12.7 France, 23.8 Oil, 91% Russia, 6.9 Indonesia, 2.7 Netherlands, 3.7 Bo MMboe yla ,3 .3 End 2011 210.7 Brynhild,…
15 2P Reserves Growth New reserves from Malaysia (12.7 MMboe) No decline in French reserves 250 200 Malaysia Russia 150 Norway MMBoe Tunisia Netherlands 100 Indonesia France 50 WF11612 p2 11.12 0 03…
16 Reserves Changes Produced in 2012 Reserve Change Sales/Acquisition Malaysia Bertam Russia Komi Tunisia Volund Brynhild Norway Gaupe Alvheim Netherlands Indonesia France -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20…
17 01 January 2013 - Contingent Resources Total 923 MMboe Russia, 110.1 Malaysia, 81.7 France, 12.8 Indonesia, 2.9 Norway, 715(1) WF11612 p5 11.12 (1) PL501 mid range of previously guided 800-1800 MMboe gross &…
19 Development Activity 2013 NORWAY USD 1,080 million Edvard Grieg USD 550 million - Jacket - Topside - Export pipelines NETHERLANDS Brynhild USD 470 million Infill drilling - Drilling production and injection wells -…
20 2012 Production Performance Tunisia, 0.3% Russia, 7.5% Indonesia, 2.8% Netherlands, 5.3% France, 8.0% 2012 production: 35,700 boepd 45 Norway, 76% 40 35,700 36.6 35 34.7 35.5 35.9 Revised production guidance…
21 2013 Production Guidance Russia, 6.9% 2013 production guidance: 33,000 - 38,000 boepd Indonesia, 4.8% Forecast exit rate 2013 at 40,000 boepd Netherlands, 5.8% Norway - production factors France, 8.6% Alvheim FPSO uptime…
22 Greater Alvheim Area - Overview BRUCE 0 KM 10 PL088 APA 2012 award PL203B PL036C PEIK Main producing assets PL088 bs HEIMDAL 19 producing wells LEADON BERYL ALVHEIM High quality crude oil GEKKO Satellite…
23 Norway - Continued Solid Production Alvheim Field 2012 production (Alvheim/Volund): 24,900 boepd Lundin Petroleum 15% Marathon 65% (operator), ConocoPhillips 20% New award, APA2012 Gross 2P reserves: 154 MMboe Full year…
24 Greater Alvheim Area - Alvheim Field Alvheim field (WI 15%) 15 Producers 8 Multilaterals 291 MMboe ultimate recovery Gross 2C contingent resources: 52 MMboe Alvheim field Gross Alvheim Estimated Ultimate Recovery…
25 Greater Alvheim Area - Volund Field Volund field Volund field (WI 35%) Injector Producers 4 Producers 1 Multilaterals 62 MMboe ultimate recovery Upside to the West 4th production well onstream Jan13 Gross Volund…
26 Norway - Gaupe Lundin Petroleum 40% 0 1 KM 4 15/12-4 15/12-8 BG Norge 60% (operator) 15/12-15 REV 15/12-8 A 15/12-13 0015 016 Gaupe Field 15/12-17 A 2P gross remaining reserves of 2.3 MMboe 15/12-12…
27 Norway - Brynhild Subsurface 2P reserves gross: 23 MMboe Late Jurassic reservoir Brynhild Producer field Injector Producer Injecto 3 exploration/appraisal wells drilled Injector 9m interval perforated and flow tested…
28 Norway - Edvard Grieg Reservoir 2P reserves gross: 186 MMboe Majority of 2P reserves in high Ivar Aasen Platform permeable sandstone Edvard Grieg Platform 50 MMboe upside reserves in SE 2013 appraisal Gas Export to SAGE…
29 Production to Quadruple from Ongoing Developments 10-15 exploration wells per year Johan Sverdrup Other contingent resources not included in production forecast +100% increase in production Edvard Grieg…
30 Norway Overview Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day 12 February 2013
31 Norway Overview Alex Schneiter, Executive Vice President and COO Chris Bruijnzeels, Senior Vice President Operations Torstein Sanness, Managing Director, Lundin Norway Hans Christen Rnnevik, Exploration Manager, Lundin…
32 Norway Barents Sea Area Barents Sea 2012 net production 27,200 boepd 2P reserves net 151.7 MMboe 2C contingent resources net 715(1) MMboe Utgard High Area 62 licences operated acreage 14,500 km2 (gross) Norwegian Sea…
33 Norway - An Opportunity for Independents Historically controlled by majors Higher tax rates than UK Lower drill density in same geological area Opportunity for independents WF11443 p1 01.12
34 Norway - Successful Organic Growth Licences PRODUCTION RESERVES CONTINGENT boepd MMboe RESOURCES MMboe 715(1) 151.7 27,200 62 15 WF11443 p3 01.13 0 0 0 2003 01.2013 2003 2012 end 2003 end 2012 end 2003…
35 Why Invest in Norway 0 KM 60 Excellent exploration potential remains Wells drilled No independents until recently Lower drilling density than UK Close to existing infrastructure Stable and attractive fiscal regime 78%…
36 Norway Exploration/appraisal Organic Growth Major position built through organic growth Includes 7 new licences Appraisal awarded in 2013 Wells Exploration Norway number of licences 16 65 60 14 55 50 12 45 10…
37 Norway - Reserves rup 200 e r d n Sv Joha 150 100 Norway MMBoe 50 0 1.1.2005 1.1.2006 1.1.2007 1.1.2008 1.1.2009 1.1.2010 1.1.2011 1.1.2012 1.1.2013 (1) WF11442 p02 01.13 Brynhild (WI: 90%) (1)
39 Norway - Low Finding Costs 2P Reserves & Johan Sverdrup resources Finding Cost(1) (Pre Tax) 1.53 USD/boe Finding Cost(1) (Post Tax) 0.34 USD/boe Costs include cumulative exploration and appraisal costs since inception…
40 Production to Quadruple from Ongoing Developments 10-15 exploration wells per year Johan Sverdrup Other contingent resources not included in production forecast +100% increase in production Edvard Grieg…
41 Norway Development Projects Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day 12 February 2013
42 Norway Developments Brynhild Development (Lundin 90% operator) North Sea PDO approved 6205 6204 6203 216 217 218 219 6201 6202 6203 6204 Lundin Petroleum Licences 220 Operated Tie-back to Haewene Brim FPSO located 6108…
43 Norway - Brynhild Development Project Pierce Sub-sea tie back to Pierce NO K AY U RW Main contractors: Lundin Petroleum Interest: 90% Aker solutions: Subsea Production System (SPS) PDO approved Technip…
45 Norway - Brynhild Project Schedule 3 First Oil 01 D2 CM 2012 2013 2014 Template, Manifold & RBM Umbilical X-Mas Testing System Integration Testing Pipelines Modification of FPSO Commissioning Drilling…
46 Norway - Brynhild Project Status Subsea Production System (Aker) System Integration Test with template/manifold/subsea trees and controls commencing in Egersund Delivery of template/manifold in March Manifold Template…
47 Norway - Utsira High Area - Edvard Grieg PL340 PL505 0025 0026 0 KM 20 Lundin Petroleum interest: 50% (operator) Byla Field PL340BS OMV 20%, Wintershall 15%(1), Statoil 15%(1) PL546 0024 PL570 Plan of Development…
48 Norway - Edvard Grieg Development Project Production startup Q4 2015 Drilling 15 wells from jack-up rig 11 producers and 4 water injectors Contract award to Rowan companies Platform PdQ Jacket construction commenced…
49 Norway - Edvard Grieg Development Cost Overview Capex assumes 100% ownership in pipelines CAPEX Total 24 BNOK No capital contribution from Ivar Aasen Export pipelines, project management Production drilling…
51 Norway - Edvard Grieg Project Status Jacket Started rolling tubulars in November Started fabricating pile clusters Jacket fabrication at Kvrner Verdal started December CONTRACTS AWARDED Topside Detailed engineering…
52 Norway - PL338 Resource Base & Opportunities RESOURCE BASE Lundin Petroleum PL625 Operator Partner Edvard Grieg Fields/Discoveries 2P Reserves: 186 MMboe gross Oil Gas Prospect IVAR AASEN 16/1-16 (Asha) Lead…
55 Norway Johan Sverdrup Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day 12 February 2013
56 Appraisal Activity 2013 NORWAY USD 140 million Johan Sverdrup - 2 appraisal wells on PL501 - 2 appraisal wells on PL265 PL338 - 1 appraisal well on Edvard Grieg - 1 appraisal well on Apollo MALAYSIA USD 10 million…
57 Norway - Utsira High - Johan Sverdrup Located in the southern Utsira High Snorre In the heart of the North Sea Norway Statfjord Close to existing infrastructure Gullfaks Sweden Mapped area Water depth: 115m Troll…
58 Norway - Johan Sverdrup 2012 Appraisal Programme Working Interest PL501 PL265 Edvard Grieg Lundin Petroleum 40% (OP) 10% Statoil 40% 40% (OP) Maersk 20% Det norske 20% PL338 9S Petoro 30% PL265 12 16/2-14 14 10 8…
60 Norway - Johan Sverdrup Appraisal Strategy Concept Selection 2013 Lundin Petroleum Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec BREDFORD DOLPHIN PL501 16/3-5 ongoing PL501 proposed B PL501 proposed C ISLAND…
61 Johan Sverdrup Resources In total 15 exploration/appraisal wells drilled on Johan Sverdrup 9 in PL501 (incl 1976 well) plus 5 sidetracks 6 in PL265 (incl Aldous Major North/Geitungen) At least 4 more wells planned during…
63 Johan Sverdrup Geological Settings West to East X-section of Johan Sverdrup calibrated to various wells SW NE 0 KM 10 Zones Spiculite X-Section Draupne Shale Draupne Sand / Volgian Vestland Group PL265 WF11676…
65 Johan Sverdrup Resources Working operator Statoil delayed resource update to Q4 2013 Several important wells to be drilled during 2013 Edvard Grieg PL338 PL265 2 PL50 1 PL50 WF116176 p4 01.13 J.…
67 Norway - Johan Sverdrup Pre-Unit Agreement Pre-Unit Agreement Signed agreement between the two licensees PL 501 (Lundin Operator) & PL 265 (Statoil Operator), March 2012 Duration until entry of DG3 decision Statoil…
69 Norway Exploration Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day 12 February 2013
70 Norway Organic Growth Strategy Organic growth (find oil by the drill bit) Barents Sea Area Leverage on organizational knowledging Portfolio synergy in relation to improved exploration and development Design yearly…
71 Activity Change on the NCS 5.0 Source: NPD Gas 4.5 The production fall on NCS is a fact but: NGL Condensate 4.0 Oil Does not reflect the subsurface potential 3.5 Production fall is related to reduced exploration 3.0…
72 Lundin View on the Remaining Resources on the NCS With an exploration level of 40-50 wells per year it will take at least 20-30 years with exploration to unfold the resource potential of 20-40 billion boe (NPD 16.3 billion…
73 Companies and Discoveries on the NCS 170 of wells Number 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 2012 15 2011 10 11 2010 5 9 2000-2009 0 0 l toi 4 m Sta 4 eu ell rol Sh 1 Pet ll ha din…
74 Discoveries in Norway 2001-2012 Discoveries in Norway 2001-2012 (1) (over 30 mbls) 2200 Lundin 2000 BG Centrica 1800 Det norske Eni ESSO Marathon 600 Rwe Dea Shell Statoil Suncor Talisman MMBOE 400 Total…
75 Exploration Activity 2013 NORWAY USD 330 million 10 exploration wells - 6 wells Utsira High - 1 well in Barents Sea - 1 well in Norwegian Sea NETHERLANDS - 2 wells in Southern North Sea 2 exploration wells 3D seismic…
76 Norway - 2013 Exploration Drilling 1 exploration well 10 exploration wells Barents Sea Area 6 wells on the Utsira High Area 1 well in the Barents Sea 2 wells in the Southern NCS Area Norway Utgard High Area 1 well…
77 Norway - The Southern Utsira High History Basic concept in 2004 Thin Jurassic sands over inlier basins and basement with a saturated system with a 40-50 m oil leg and a common OWC over the whole high Potential stratigraphic…
78 Norway - Discoveries on the Utsira High NW 16/1-14 16/1-8 16/2-5 16/2-6 SE 0.600 0.700 0.800 0.900 1.000 1.100 1.200 1.300 Johan Sverdrup Discovery 1.400 Ragnarrock Discovery 1.500 1.600 Edvard Grieg Field Chalk…
79 Norway - Utsira High Broadseis Acquisition PL340 PL505 0025 0026 0 KM 20 Byla Field PL340BS Joint acquisition (area operators) 0024 PL546 PL570 completed in August 2012 UK PL625 Joint fast-track processing…
80 Norway - Utsira High Exploration 2013 6 exploration wells to be drilled 024 025 Kopervik PL359 Luno II (40%) Gross Prospective Resources: 139 MMboe PL625 PL546 PL501 PL625 Kopervik (40%) (1) Torvastad 16/1-16 (Asha)…
81 Utsira High 2013 Exploration - Luno II Johan Sverdrup discovery PL359 (Lundin 40% operated) Luno II prospect N Johan Sverdrup or E. Grieg play type Edvard Grieg discovery So Reservoir: Upper Jurassic ut he Gross…
82 Norway - Utsira High 2013 Exploration - Luno II 0 4 KM 16 0024 Lundin Petroleum Operator 0025 Lundin Petroleum Partner Aldous Major North discovery Apollo discovery Geitengun discovery PL673 Johan Sverdrup…
84 Norway - Utsira High Exploration - Biotitt Biotitt 3D View PL544 (Lundin 40% operated) Biotitt prospect Trap: 4-way dip closure Seal: Upper Cretaceous chalk/shales Reservoir: Jurassic Hugin fm 0 4 KM 16 Gross unrisked…
85 Utsira High 2013 Exploration Jorvik 2012 Exploration Drilling PL338 (Lundin 50% operated) Jorvik prospect Gross unrisked prospective resource: 46 MMboe Edvard Grieg extension towards the east Drilling ongoing Jorvik 0 4…
86 Norway - Utsira High 2013 Exploration - Torvastad PL501 (Lundin 40%, operator) Torvastad prospect Johan Sverdrup Potential extension of the Geitungen/ Johan Sverdrup discovery PL502 Drilling: Q2 2013 PL546 Torvastad…
87 Norway - Barents Sea Acreage on Trend with Known Oil Plays Total area size 236,000 km2 Under explored area Obesum 75 exploration wells drilled to date Small Gas and oil discovery in upper Triassic Small oil discovery in…
88 Norway - Barents Sea Geological Play Types PL533 PL492 PL438 PL490 NW Skalle SE Lavvo 7120/1-1R 7120/2-1 Pleistocene Shallow gas anomalies Shallow gas anomalies Early Jurassic 1000 ene eoc Pal Numerous structural…
89 Norway - Barents Sea Prospects & Leads 0 km 20 PL609 Neiden Skrugard Havis Lundin Petroleum acreage Pasvik 5,000 km2 Rauto PL659 Skrungen Multiple prospects mapped Formica Matrosen Alta Salina PL533…
90 Norway - Barents Sea Area Exploration April 2011 0 KM 40 Skrugard Discovery PL609 200-300 MMboe 6914 PL438 (Lundin 25%, operated) 7215 7216 January 2012 7217 7218 Havis Discovery 7219 7220 7221 7222 7223 7224 Skalle…
92 Norway - Norwegian Sea Exploration - Utgard High 0 5 10 20 KM Leads/Prospects New area with large potential Sverdrup prospect Aasta Hansten PL330 PL330 (Lundin 30% ) Sverdrup prospect PL654 Partners: RWE Dea 40% (OP),…
99 South East Asia Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day 12 February 2013
100 South East Asia Overview Malaysia Indonesia 6 PSCs (all operated) 6 PSCs (5 operated) 40,000 km2 of gross acreage 23,000 km2 of gross acreage 12.7MMboe of net 2P reserves 2.7MMboe of net 2P reserves 81.7MMboe of net 2C…