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DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc

Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc · Oct 1, 2013 · 35 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 1
    Deutsche Bank Conference October 1, 2013 Richard Robert, EVP & CFO
  2. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 2
    Overview of Vanguard Natural Resources Upstream oil & gas LLC, headquartered in Houston, Texas Initial Public Offering VNR October 2007 Asset Profile(2) (Total Enterprise Value of 240mm) Eighteen strategic acquisitions totaling…
  3. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 3
    Our Successful Execution of the E&P MLP Strategy Geographically diverse portfolio of long life assets, well positioned in most of the mature US Basins High Quality, 175 MMBoe total proved reserves, 70% proved developed Low Risk…
  4. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 4
    Experienced Management Team Years of Name Title Prior Affiliations Experience Ensource Energy Scott W. Smith President and CEO The Wiser Oil Company 32 San Juan Partners Enbridge USA Richard A. Robert EVP and CFO Midcoast…
  5. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 5
    Where We Started Appalachia Basin Proved Reserves: 67 Bcfe Undeveloped gross acres: 106,000 Gross locations: 543 (326 proved) (1) Based on NSAI 12/31/07 Reserve Report 6
  6. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 6
    Geographically Diversified Reserve Base Core Areas Overview 175 MMBoe proved reserves Big Horn Basin Williston Basin 60% gas and 40% liquids Proved Reserves: 22.7 MMBoe Proved Reserves: 6.2 MMBoe 83% oil and 96% Proved Developed…
  7. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 7
    Reserve Growth in 2012 2011 73.2 MMBoe 2012 152.2 MMBoe NGLs Natural Gas 12% 34% Oil Oil Natural Gas 28% NGLs 57% 9% 60% PDNP 3% PDP 82% PDNP 4% PDP PUD 71% 26% PUD 14% 8 Note: Proved reserves based on…
  8. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 8
    Our Business Strategies Acquire and produce mature, long lived oil and gas properties which are nearly fully developed and have established, predictable production profiles We have a diversified asset base, geographically, by…
  9. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 9
    How We Spend Capital Disciplined approach to capital spending focus on maintaining cash flow from mature, long lived fields By contrast, resource players invest in growth to support equity valuation The nature of our capital program…
  10. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 10
    Our Acquisition Strategy The U.S. has a large inventory of mature oil and natural gas basins which provide significant opportunity for future growth and consolidation Current E&P opportunity set is substantially more than the U.S.…
  11. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 11
    Quarterly Adjusted EBITDA Growth On average, E&P MLPs have experienced significant Adjusted EBITDA growth 400 11% 350 300 (S in Millions) 250 200 150 100 8% 12% 11% 12% 12% 50 0 Q1 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q4 Q2…
  12. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 12
    U.S. Natural Gas Reserves / Resource Life Shale development has significantly increased the natural gas reserves / resource in the United States Natural gas can now be viewed as a long-term energy solution 2,000 Tcf 100 Yr…
  13. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 13
    U.S. Oil & Liquids Reserves / Resources Increase in U.S. liquids production is reducing imports 300 270 250 Billions of Barrels 200 150 100 100 50 20 - U.S Existing U.S. Unconventional Saudi Arabia…
  14. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 14
    Future Shale Development Requires Massive Capital Average of 70 billion per year in capital requirements for the next 30 years Creates opportunities for E&P MLPs to acquire higher PDP assets as Shale players try to close the funding…
  15. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 15
    Capital Sources for North American E&P Companies Since 2007 (B) More than 500 billion raised since 2007 297 112 74 53 M&A (Asset Only) Debt Equity Joint Ventures 16 Source: Jefferies January 2013 IPAA luncheon…
  16. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 16
    Our Successful Acquisition Track Record 1,200 1,021 1,000 783 800 494 liquids 600 gas 400 305 127 106 200 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 of Deals 2 2 2 8 3 2 17
  17. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 17
    Range Permian Acquisition Three operated field areas in the Permian Basin Eunice Area Lea County, New Mexico Loving East Eddy County, New Mexico Powell Ranch Glasscock County, Texas Total proved reserves of 137 Bcfe (78%…
  18. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 18
    Barrett Acquisition Piceance Basin, CO, Powder River & Wind River, WY Assets located in the Piceance Basin in Colorado and the Powder River and Wind River Basins in Wyoming Total proved reserves of 151 Bcfe (84% PDP) Current net…
  19. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 19
    Arkoma Basin Acquisition Woodford Shale Fayetteville Shale Assets located in the Woodford Shale and Fayetteville Shale plays Total proved reserves of 362 Bcfe (54% PDP) Current net production of 61 MMcfe/d (includes 800 Bbl/d…
  20. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 20
    Nat Gas Supply/Demand Fundamentals Increase of 1.5 bcf/d from previous 12 Increase of 3.0 bcf/d from previous 12 months months Production is on the rise, mainly in the Demand is expected to grow 2.5 bcf/d Marcellus - growth 2.0…
  21. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 21
    Nat Gas Supply/Demand Fundamentals Supply plus net imports versus demand are expected to reach equilibrium by 2016 Net imports are expected to fall as LNG exports rise 22 Source: Risked Revenue Energy Associates, Economic Outlook…
  22. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 22
    Financial Overview 23
  23. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 23
    Disciplined Financial Strategy Maintain conservative capital structure and sufficient liquidity Availability as of 9/30/13 under 1.3 billion borrowing base of 890 million Target Debt / EBITDA of approximately 3.0x Active management…
  24. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 24
    Risk Mitigation Vanguard seeks to mitigate risk across all facets of its business Drilling and Operational Risk Leverage other operators expertise in certain areas Rate of return disciplined approach to project selection Drill…
  25. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 25
    Hedging Philosophy Hedge commodity prices on estimated production from acquisitions for three to five years upon signing the Purchase and Sale Agreement to protect rate of return from price fluctuations Opportunistic hedging…
  26. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 26
    Different Hedging Instruments Fixed Price Swap - where we will receive a fixed-price for our production and pay a variable market price to the contract counterparty Basis Swap where we fix the price differential between the NYMEX…
  27. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 27
    Hedges Mitigate Commodity Price Risk Approximately 85% of expected natural gas proved production hedged thru the first half of 2017 at a weighted average FLOOR price of 4.60 per MMBtu Primarily use NYMEX and basis swaps 60,000…
  28. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 28
    Hedges Mitigate Commodity Price Risk Approximately 85% of expected crude oil proved production hedged thru 2015 at a weighted average FLOOR price of 92.82 per barrel Use a combination of swaps, collars and three-way collars 3,500…
  29. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 29
    Locking in Margins Provides Stability Through the use of hedging, Vanguard is able to lock in significant acquisition margins for the foreseeable future, helping to insure distribution stability 98.49 100.00 92.82 92.27 93.42…
  30. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 30
    Historical Credit Metrics Debt / Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA / Interest 4.0x 12.0x 3.3x 10.6x 2.8x 3.0x 10.0x 9.1x 2.8x 8.7x 3.0x 2.3x 8.0x 7.0x 2.2x 2.0x 6.0x 5.2x 5.1x 1.2x 3.7x 4.0x 1.0x 2.0x 0.0x 0.0x 2007 2008…
  31. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 31
    Peer Benchmarking Operational / Asset Metrics Proved Reserves (MMBoe) % Proved Developed 1100 367 300 100% 88% 86% 250 78% 77% 216 80% 75% 192 184 64% 62% 200 183 182 176 161 57% 60% 47% 47% 150 111 40% 40% 34% 100 88…
  32. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 32
    Peer Benchmarking Leverage Metrics Asset Coverage (PV-10 / Debt)(1) 2.5x 2.2x 2.1x 2.0x 2.0x 1.9x 1.8x 1.6x 1.5x 1.5x 1.3x 1.1x 1.0x 0.9x 0.9x 0.7x 0.5x 0.0x SFY VNR CRZO OAS LPI LGCY SD AMH BBEP EVEP FST LINE (FDC…
  33. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 33
    Robust Asset Coverage PV-10 Value and Commodity Hedges NYMEX Strip Case (1)(2) Total Debt(3) VNR PV-10 Asset Value (mm) Total PV-10 Value (mm) 2,500 2,120 2,170 PDP Value 1,687 1,835 2,250 285 50 PDNP Value 148 2,000 148…
  34. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 34
    VNR Operating Costs vs Peers VNR operating costs (% of total revenue) is significantly lower than other E&P MLP peers which equates to higher CASH margins 30.0% 8.0% 7.4% 7.3% 25.8% 25.6% 6.8% 6.7% 24.4% 24.6% 25.0% 21.3%…
  35. DEUTSCHE BANK CONFERENCE – Vanguard Natural Resources, Llc – slide 35
    Key Investor Considerations Diversified and Balanced Portfolio of High Quality, Liquids Focused Assets Long Lived, Predictable Properties with Low Decline Rates Disciplined Acquisition Strategy Active Hedging Program, which…

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