3 Introduction Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day WF11856 29 January 2014
4 Opening Remarks - Exploration Value creation in the Upstream E & P business is driven by exploration success Lundin Petroleum fundamentally remains an exploration company Most successful exploration company in Norway over…
5 Opening Remarks - Appraisal Johan Sverdrup alone will more than triple reserves in the next year Johan Sverdrup is a unique asset in respect of location, size and quality. It will ultimately deliver a premium valuation…
6 Opening Remarks - Development Four ongoing development projects - Brynhild, Byla, Bertam and Edvard Grieg - will increase production to over 75,000 boepd by end 2015 Project execution risk on all projects has reduced.…
7 Opening Remarks - Financial Flexibility Existing production forecast to generate operating cash flow in excess of USD 1 billion in 2014 High netback realisation. Low operating costs and cash taxes Increased bank…
8 Corporate Overview - Production Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day WF11856 29 January 2014
9 2013 Production 2013 Actual 2013 production: 32,700 boepd France, 9% Slightly below low end of guidance range Russia, 7% achieved due to delayed Brynhild startup Netherlands, 6% Strong performance from Volund offset impact…
10 Production vs Guidance 2009-2013 Production (boepd net) excluding discontinued operations* 40,000 30,000 boepd 20,000 10,000 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 forecast high Actual production forecast low…
11 2014 Production Guidance 2014 Guidance Russia, 7% 2014 production guidance: Netherlands, 6% 30,000 - 35,000 boepd Indonesia, 5% Norway - production factors Alvheim & Volund reservoir performance France, 10% Brynhild…
12 2015 Production Forecast 2015 average approximately 50,000 boepd Byla first oil Q1 2015 To exceed 75,000 boepd Bertam field first oil in Q2 2015 when at full production Edvard Grieg first oil Q4 2015 2014 Production…
13 Norway - Continued Solid Production Greater Alvheim Area 2013 Net Production: 22,700 boepd 2P Reserves (net): 21.7 MMboe 2C Contingent Resources (net): 6.2 MMboe 2P reserves - 2014/15 drilling 2013 net production : 10,500…
14 Norway - Alvheim Field PL203 Gross Alvheim Estimated Ultimate Recovery 350 41 2C Contingent Resources 52 Alvheim Field 300 Cumulative Production End of Year 2P Reserves 137 162 108 80 Lundin Petroleum 15% 250 15 49…
15 Norway - Volund Field PL150 Gross Volund Estimated Ultimate Recovery 80 2C Contingent Resources 70 Cumulative Production 4.5 Volund Field 60 End of Year Reserves 31 44 17 Lundin Petroleum 35% 50 50 46 50 49…
16 Production Forecast from Ongoing Developments 10-15 exploration wells per year Johan Sverdrup Other existing contingent and prospective resources not included in production forecast Edvard Bertam Grieg 75,000…
17 Corporate Overview - Reserves & Resources Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day WF11856 29 January 2014
18 31 December 2013 2P Reserves Total 194.1 MMboe Gas, 8% Malaysia, 13.7 France, 22.5 Russia, 6.1 Byla, 3.3 Indonesia, 1.9 Netherlands, 3.4 Oil & NGL, 92% MMboe Brynhild, 20.7 Alvheim, 21.7 End 2012 201.5 Gaupe, 0.2 -…
19 2P Reserves 250 200 Malaysia 150 Russia Norway MMboe Tunisia 100 Netherlands Indonesia France 50 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 WF11866 p6 01.14 Year End
20 Reserves Changes Produced in 2013 Net Replacement Malaysia Russia Norway Netherlands Indonesia France -10.0 -8.0 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 MMboe Norway: - Volund reservoir performance - Alvheim 2 new infill…
21 31 December 2013 2C Contingent Resources Total 342 MMboe Russia, 110 Gohta, 65.6 Norway, 134 (1) Luno II, 22.2 GAA, 8.9 Other, 37.3 Indonesia, 3 Other, France, 13 18.8 Tarap, 24.6 Tembakau, 38.3 Malaysia, 82…
22 Contingent Resource Growth 1,200 1,000 Norway - J. Sverdrup 800 Malaysia Russia MMboe 600 Others Norway 400 Excludes 200 Johan Sverdrup Includes Johan Sverdrup 0 WF11866 p8 01.14 2005 2006 2007 2008…
24 Targetted Contingent Resources to Reserves Aggressive 2014 drilling programme Low range High range 400 90-180 MMboe of resources to reserves through appraisal of Gohta, Luno II 350 Net Reserves/Resources (MMboe) &…
25 Corporate Overview - Prospective Resources Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day WF11856 29 January 2014
WF11866 p12 01.14 620 MMboe Target Risked 150 MMboe Target Unrisked Alt Risked Alt Unisked Ma Vol lgr a Ma Vol lgr a tro av tro av sen Sou sen Sou 2014 Prospective Resources (La th (La th ngl ngl itid…
27 2014 Exploration & Appraisal Drilling Schedule 2013 2014 Country Licence - Prospect Well type Operator LUPE% NUPR(1) CoGS%(2) NRPR(3) Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 1 Norway PL501 - Johan Sverdrup 16/3-7 app Lundin 40.00 Completed…
29 Corporate Overview - Capital Expenditure Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day WF11856 29 January 2014
30 Capital Expenditure Exploration Appraisal Development 2013 Capital Expenditure, Million USD 2014 Capital Expenditure, Million USD 2500 2500 2,130 2000 2000 380 1,710 1,730 300 1500 390 1500 460 Million USD…
31 Development Activity 2013 NORWAY USD 1,080 million Edvard Grieg USD 550 million - Jacket - Topside NETHERLANDS - Export pipelines Infill drilling Brynhild USD 470 million Facilities - Drilling production and injection…
32 2013 Capex Actual vs Guidance 2013 expenditure 5% above guidance Capex - 2013 Budget vs Actual New Phasing difference Cost 1180 Project Increase 32 -31 1162 1160 -8 33 1140 -11 43 1120 1104 1100 Million…
33 Development Activity 2014 NORWAY USD 1,100 million Edvard Grieg USD 700 million - Jacket - Topside - Export pipelines - Drilling Brynhild USD 267 million - Drilling production and injection wells - Riser installation…
35 2013 A&E Expenditure Actual vs Guidance Appraisal - 2013 Guidance vs Actual 500 Exploration - 2013 Guidance vs Actual 200 6 16 180 450 160 34 400 7 115 Other 9 49 140 350 SE Asia 300 36 40 120 Million USD…
36 Appraisal Activity 2014 NORWAY USD 280 million Johan Sverdrup - 1 appraisal well on PL501 - 1 appraisal well on PL265 - FEED study Edvard Grieg (PL338) - 1 appraisal well Gohta (PL492) - 1 appraisal well Luno II…
37 Exploration Activity 2014 NORWAY USD 285 million 7 exploration wells - 2 wells Utsira High - 2 wells in Barents Sea - 2 wells in Norwegian Sea NETHERLANDS - 1 well in Mre Basin 5 exploration wells 3D seismic FRANCE…
38 Financial Guidance 2013 Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day WF11856 29 January 2014
56 Norwegian Tax Value [MNOK] Undiscounted Norwegian Tax Value from historic capex spend - 01.01.2014 (MNOK) 8,000 8,000 7,000 7,000 953 7,008 (1) Net tax value (Million NOK) Net tax value (Million NOK) 6,000 6,000…
59 2014 Forecast Cash Flow Available for Investment [USD/boe] Forecast 2014 Brent Oil Price 100.00 Operating Cash Flow Netback 107.35 General & Administrative -2.90 Cash Financial Items -8.40 Cash Flow available for…
60 Funding Increased existing credit facility from USD 2.5 billion to USD 4.0 billion Strong support from all 25 banks in the facility Pricing unchanged: LIBOR + 2.75% to 3.25% Strong operating cash flow: USD 1 billion in…
61 Hedging as at 29 January 2014 Currency Hedged Amount Average Rate Period MNOK 2,162 6.11 Jan - Dec 2014 MNOK 1,200 6.26 Jan - Dec 2015 Interest Rate Hedged Amount Interest Rate Period MUSD 500 0.57% Mar 2013 - Mar 2016…
62 Share Data 31 December 2013 Shares issued 317.9 million Treasury shares 8.3 million (1) Shares in circulation 309.6 million Listed on Stockholm and Toronto stock exchanges (1) Approval to purchase up to 15 million…
63 Development Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day WF11856 29 January 2014
64 Development Projects Norway - North Sea 0 25 KM 100 Ongoing Norwegian Developments Bergen Bergen Brynhild (Lundin 90% operator) Byla Byla (Lundin 15%) Norway Stavanger Edvard Grieg (Lundin 50% operator)…
65 Development - Norway - Edvard Grieg Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day WF11856 29 January 2014
67 Edvard Grieg Project Schedule Project on schedule Main Achievements in 2014 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 PDO Approved by Authorities Decision Gate / PDO Jacket Execution Topside…
68 Edvard Grieg Project Cost and Schedule Platform construction 44% complete Drilling activities to commence summer 2014 Million NOK Majority of the Edvard Grieg procurement completed 30,000 Some cost pressure in the market but…
69 Edvard Grieg Main Activities in 2014 Jacket offshore installation in April Most topside equipment delivered to Stord and Egersund in 2Q Pipelines installation in the summer Flotel to be completed end of September…
70 Edvard Grieg Jacket Construction Assembly at Kverner Verdal (Norway) Sail-away April as per plan WF11755 p12 01.14 Status 14 January
71 Edvard Grieg Topside Module Sub contractor Crist Offshore (Poland) WF11762 p15 09.13
72 Edvard Grieg Utility Module & Main Deck Frame Ahead of schedule on Stord A steel structure of 2000 tonnes to be delivered at Stord in late February Kvrner Stord (Norway) WF11762 p21 09.13
73 Edvard Grieg Topside Gas re-comressors during testing Gas turbines WF11762 p22 09.13
74 Edvard Grieg Marine Operations Jacket installation in Q2 2014 Flotel to sail from Singapore in Q4 2014 WF11762 p23 09.13
75 Edvard Grieg Project Execution - Export Pipelines Edvard Grieg Pipeline Ownership: 40% gas Ivaar Aasen 60% oil Grane Grane 28 oil export pipeline Edvard Grieg Ivaar asenA m) Pipel 3k 4 in P(…
76 Edvard Grieg Project Overview - Drilling Activities in 2013 Drilling of shallow gas pilot at platform location Activities in 2014 Drilling of Edvard Grieg South East (EG SE) well Start pre-drilling Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1…
77 Edvard Grieg - Additional Resources Increase 0 4 KM 16 0024 Lundin Petroleum Operator 0025 Lundin Petroleum Partner Apollo discovery PL673 Aldous Major North discovery Geitengun discovery Johan Sverdrup discovery…
78 Development - Norway - Brynhild Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day WF11856 29 January 2014
79 ' Brynhild Project Overview ' ' ' ' h' ' ' ' ' ' ' 0015 F ' 0 5 KM 20 016 'E 0016 0017 FFE ' ' E 292 & 292B ' E 0006 Norway ' h' ' ' ' 495 B Licence: PL148…
80 Brynhild Project Overview Million NOK Subsea construction completed 7,000 6,700 Drilling activities ongoing until fall 2014 6,000 5,400 Tie-in to Pierce FPSO (Shell) Q1/Q2 2014 5,000 Production start-up estimated Q2…
81 Brynhild Facilities - Tie-in to Pierce Field (Shell) FPSO currently on location Riser installation planned to commence February 2014 First oil Q2 2014 Pierce FPSO before Docking Pierce FPSO after Docking WF11767 p25…
82 Brynhild Development Brynhild Depth Map Completed top-hole for horizontal A2 producer 7/7-A-3 A1 Finalised drilling of 7/7-A-2 H (A2) Brynhild Horizontal Well - Preliminary A2 W 9 7/8 casing 3,571 MD E 360 0…
83 Development - Norway - Byla Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day WF11856 29 January 2014
84 Byla Development Lundin Petroleum Operator PL203B Lundin Petroleum Partner PL088 PL088 9/14a-6 PL413 Lundin Petroleum interest: 15% 0 KM 4 P090 9/15a-1 PL088 bs PL036C Marathon 65% (Operator), Core Energy 20%…
85 Byla Project Schedule Gross project costs MUSD 867 2012 2013 2014 2015 Activity Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 PDO approval First Oil Project sanction / Execute DG Project Milestones Trees available Award subsea…
86 Development - Malaysia - Bertam Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day WF11856 29 January 2014
87 Bertam Development - Peninsular Malaysia PM307 - Lundin Petroleum 75% (operator), PETRONAS Carigali 25% Field Development Plan (FDP) approved September 2013 Facilities installation and initial pre-drilling in 2014 Bertam…
88 Bertam Fast Track Development Progress Bertam Major Milestones Field Development Plan (FDP) Approved by PETRONAS September 2013 FPSO upgrades contract Awarded September 2013 FPSO arrives Keppel Shipyard Singapore…
89 Bertam Development Schedule 2012 2013 2014 2015 Appraisal Drilling Concept Selection Development Planning Well Head Platform Jacket Well Head Platform Topsides FPSO Upgrade Development Drilling First oil WF11852 p11…
90 Bertam Field Development Project Fabrication of Wellhead Platform (WHP) WF11852 p30 01.14
91 Bertam Field Development Project Bertam KL WF11852 p12 01.14 THHE WHP Fabrication Yard Klang FPSO in Keppel Shipyard Singapore
92 Appraisal Lundin Petroleum Capital Market Day WF11856 29 January 2014
93 Appraisal Programme 2014 - 6 Wells Norway - Utsira High Norway - 5 wells 0 4 KM 16 PL501 PL167 IVAR AASEN ALDOUS MAJOR NORTH DISCOVERY PL673 GEITUNGEN DISCOVERY Utsira High 1 well on Edvard Grieg EDVARD GRIEG 2 wells on…
94 Targetted Contingent Resources to Reserves Aggressive 2014 drilling programme Low range High range 400 90-180 MMboe of resources to reserves through appraisal of Gohta, Luno II 350 Net Reserves/Resources (MMboe) &…
95 Norway 2014 Appraisal Activities Kopervik The Southern Utsira High in Hanz 16/2-19 Geitungen Cross-section new broadband domain Geitungen 16/3-8 Avaldsnes Crest Ivar Aasen 16/1-18 West Edvard Grieg SE Cable 16/4-6;…
96 Norway 2014 Appraisal Activities Luno II PL359, 40% (operator ) 0 4 0024 KM 0025 16 Lundin Petroleum Operator Lundin Petroleum Partner Tested over 2,000 boepd PL673 Apollo discovery Aldous Major North discovery Good…
98 Norway 2014 Appraisal Activities Edvard Grieg SE Purpose of well: Target upside reserves and improve the planning basis for production wells Top Reservoir Depth 16/1-18 targets the Middle back-basin good upper reservoir…