ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC INVESTOR PRESENTATION LONDON MARCH 15, 2011 1 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC PETER VOSER CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER 2 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL STRATEGY UPDATE 4 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
ENERGY OUTLOOK GLOBAL ENERGY MIX Mln Boe/d Industry outlook 400 Hydrocarbons dominate outlook 300 Growth required in all sectors of energy mix Energy policy + sustained investment 200 Shell 100 Crude oil & oil products Natural…
SHELL GOAL ZERO ON SAFETY Injuries TRCF per million working hours 4 3 2 Customer and Profitability & 1 partner focus performance 0 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Sustainability & Value added growth…
STRATEGY & CAPITAL ALLOCATION STRATEGY CAPITAL INVESTMENT Bln Upstream 150 Profitable growth; price upside 80% of total capital spending Sustained exploration investment 100 Downstream UPSTREAM Stable capital employed Fewer…
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE AND PRIORITIES EARNINGS PRIORITIES Bln 35 30 PERFORMANCE FOCUS 25 20 15 NEW WAVE OF PRODUCTION GROWTH 10 5 0 MATURING NEXT GENERATION OF PROJECT OPTIONS -5 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 UPSTREAM…
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL GROWTH DELIVERY 17 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
GROWTH DELIVERY CONVERTING RESOURCES TO PRODUCTION Bln Boe resources Longer-term upside 35 NA tight gas Australia Cardamom Deep Appomattox Prelude Prelude Vito Malikai 25 10 8 Pearls (CMOC) 8 AOSP debottleneck NA tight gas…
GROWTH DELIVERY SEC PROVED RESERVES POSITION 2008-10 RESERVES ADDITIONS 2010 RESERVES PERFORMANCE 2010 organic3 RRR 133% Canada Denmark, Germany,UK Russia Reserves life at end 2010 11 years USA 2008-10 RESERVES AVG. PERFORMANCE…
GROWTH DELIVERY DELIVERING ON NEW PROJECTS KEY POST-FID PROJECTS RESOURCES 2010 - Bln boe Gjoa P 30 Study AOSP-1 P Schoonebeek P NA Port Arthur 20 11 billion Boe Tight gas P Iraq FCP/IPT resources Perdido P Qatargas 4 P Pearl GtL…
GROWTH DELIVERY INTEGRATED GAS PEARL GTL (QATAR) QATARGAS 4 (QATAR) GORGON (AUSTRALIA) Pearl GtL plant under construction Inaugural Qatargas 4 cargo arriving at Shell Barrow Island Hazira Regasification Terminal Commissioning…
GROWTH DELIVERY DEEPWATER MARS-B (GULF OF MEXICO) BC-10 PHASE 2 (CAMPOS, BRAZIL) GUMUSUT-KAKAP (MALAYSIA) Development concept Phase 1 FPSO Construction yard at Johor Bahru TLP capacity 100 kboe/d Peak production 30 kboe/d Peak…
GROWTH DELIVERY HEAVY OIL & EOR AOSP-1 (CANADA) SCHOONEBEEK (NETHERLANDS) PDO (OMAN) AOSP Jackpine mine Schoonebeek EOR development Qarn Alam steam development AOSP-1 mine expansion 2010 - Started up Jan 2011 Qarn Alam steam…
GROWTH DELIVERY NORTH AMERICA TIGHT GAS PRODUCTION GROWTH Kboe/d Mmscf/d 2011 investment: 3 billion; 400 wells 2,000 300 Deep Basin Canada 1,500 Foothills 200 Groundbirch 1,000 Pinedale 100 Haynesville USA 500 Marcellus 0 0…
GROWTH DELIVERY UPSTREAM PROFITABILITY + PRODUCTION OIL & GAS PRODUCTION GROWTH PRODUCTION SPLIT Kboe/d Regional Thematic 4,000 100% 100% 90% 80% 75% 70% 60% 3,500 50% 50% 40% 30% 25% 20% 10% 3,000 0% 0% 2009 2010 2011 2012…
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL MATURING NEXT GENERATION PROJECT OPTIONS 26 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
MATURING NEXT GENERATION OF PROJECT OPTIONS ADDING NEW RESOURCES EXPLORATION & ACQUISITIONS EXPLORATION SPEND Bln 3 AMERICAS OTHER 2 ASIA PACIFIC EUROPE 1 0 EAGLEFORD EAST RESOURCES 2010 2011 APPOMATTOX SOUTH DEIMOS AMAL…
MATURING NEXT GENERATION OF PROJECT OPTIONS EXPLORATION & BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT TOTAL POTENTIAL RESOURCES MOVEMENTS 2010 EXPLORATION RESOURCES ADDITION Bln boe resources/potential 8 100% 100% 100% 80% 80% 6 75% GAS EAST 60% 60% 4…
MATURING NEXT GENERATION OF PROJECT OPTIONS LNG OUTLOOK: AUSTRALIA IN FOCUS Prelude Floating LNG 2007 discovery Arrow Energy LNG Targeting FID in 2011 Greater Sunrise Environmental approval received FEED progressing Field…
MATURING NEXT GENERATION OF PROJECT OPTIONS MIDDLE EAST POTENTIAL & NOC PARTNERING MAJNOON (IRAQ) QATAR CHEMICALS KIDAN (SAUDI-ARABIA) 38 billion boe oil in place MOU signed in December Multi-TCF sour gas opportunity FCP 2012: 175…
MATURING NEXT GENERATION OF PROJECT OPTIONS CHINA GROWTH + PARTNERSHIPS China Changbei tight gas Daning CBM Jinqiu + Fushun tight gas Jinqiu drill-pad SHELL CHINA Nanhai Chemicals Shell Qatar Kboe/d Mtpa…
MATURING NEXT GENERATION OF PROJECT OPTIONS MATURING NEW PROJECTS OIL & GAS RESOURCES 2010 Resources in Bln boe TIGHT GAS N. AMERICA PRELUDE - AUSTRALIA Longer-term upside 30 10 billion boe ARROW - AUSTRALIA APPOMATTOX - USA…
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK UPDATE SIMON HENRY CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 33 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT CONTRACTING & PROCUREMENT DOWNSTREAM PORTFOLIO OFFSHORING Procurement from emerging markets of Retail sites 000 of staff in shared service centres Mln of Suppliers 120% 3,000 160 40 8,000 120 30 2,000 6,000…
ASSET SALES + CAPITAL EFFICIENCY ASSET SALES PROGRESS 2010 & 2011 YTD 30 BILLION DIVESTMENTS 5 YEARS Bln Cumulative 30 Upstream CORPORATE 85 kboe/d production UPSTREAM Woodside reduction, South Texas, GOM, SPDC DOWNSTREAM…
CONVERTING INVESTMENT TO CASHFLOW: 2009-12 INVESTING FOR NEW GROWTH Bln Bln 60 60 50 50 40 40 OTHER 30 30 20 20 CANADA 2011 10 10 START-UPS QATAR 0 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2010 CAPITAL UNDER CAPITAL UNDER…
CAPITAL SPENDING + OUTLOOK UPSTREAM NET CAPITAL INVESTMENT % Capital investment Bln 30 100% EXPLORATION 80% OTHERS HEAVY OIL & EOR 20 TIGHT GAS EUROPE SOUR 60% ASIA PACIFIC DEEPWATER 10 40% AMERICAS INTEGRATED GAS 20% 0…
MATURING NEW PROJECTS: 2011-12 Linnorm Schiehallion Redev Clair Phase 2 AOSP Debottlenecking Canada Fram Quest CCS Kazakhstan Tempa Rossa Syria China US Onshore CMOC Appomattox Majnoon & West Qurna FFD Gulf of Mexico…
FINANCIAL FRAMEWORK CASH PERFORMANCE 50-80% CFFO increase 2009-12 (60-80 oil price scenarios) Surplus cash flow 2012 at 60/bbl INVESTMENT PAY-OUT 25-27 bln net capex /year Dividend linked to results Up to 3 bln asset…
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC PETER VOSER CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER 41 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
OUTLOOK PRIORITIES 2011-12 OUTLOOK 1 billion Downstream cost savings PERFORMANCE FOCUS Continuous improvement embedded in Shell Up to 8 bln asset sales; capital efficiency 20 projects under construction NEW WAVE OF PRODUCTION…
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL STRATEGY UPDATE Q&A 43 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL STRATEGY UPDATE APPENDIX RESERVES & PROJECTS 44 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
2008-2010 RESERVES SUMMARY RESERVES IN MLN BOE Movements 2008 2009 2010 Organic1 reserves additions 1,132 3,158 1,653 Year end price effect 19 260 -198 Production -1,189 -1,187 -1,242 Acquisition & divestment 13 2 -85 Total subsidiaries…
KEY PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION Start up Project Country Shell Share Peak Production LNG 100% Products Category Shell % kboe/d Capacity Operated mtpa 2010-11 AOSP EXP 1 P CANADA 60 100 GBARAN UBIE PH 1 P NIGERIA 30 250 GJOA P NORWAY…
STUDYING STRONG PORTFOLIO OF PRE-FID OPTIONS POTENTIAL 2014-2020 START-UPS Phase Project Country Shell share Peak production LNG (100%) Theme Shell operated 100% capacity Kboe/d mtpa CONCEPT Appomattox USA 80 100 SELECTION Bonga North…
2008-2010 DRILLING PERFORMANCE Start up Well name Country Shell Share Location Water depth Oil/Gas Shell % Operated 2008 Auezov-1 Kazakhstan 55 Offshore 10m O Deep Basin West, BCG Canada 70% Onshore - G Groundbirch Canada 100…
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL STRATEGY UPDATE APPENDIX SUPPORTING SLIDES UPSTREAM 49 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
UPSTREAM STRATEGY TECHNOLOGY, INTEGRATION AND SCALE Build Resource Base Global exploration Focused acquisitions Continued portfolio high grading Accelerate Resources to Value Grow profitable production Top Quartile project…
UPSTREAM GLOBAL OVERVIEW KEY ASSET OVERVIEW Ormen Lange Groundbirch West Shetland Salym North Sea Athabasca Oil Sands Corrib Netherlands Kashagan Sakhalin Tempa Rossa Marcellus Changbei Aera Haynesville Egypt Iraq Qatar…
UPSTREAM REGIONAL OUTLOOK - EUROPE KEY PROJECTS FINANCIALS Bln 10 CFFO CAPEX 5 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Gjoa Platform, Norway OIL & GAS PRODUCTION Kboe/d 1000 2011+ Schoonebeek Corrib 500 Clair Phase 2 Tempa…
UPSTREAM REGIONAL OUTLOOK - AMERICAS KEY PROJECTS FINANCIALS Bln 20 CFFO CAPEX 10 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 OIL & GAS PRODUCTION Kboe/d 1000 2011+ AOSP Exp 1 Perdido 500 Onshore gas Mars B BC10 Ph2 0 2009 2010…
UPSTREAM REGIONAL OUTLOOK ASIA PACIFIC KEY PROJECTS FINANCIALS Bln 10 CFFO CAPEX 5 0 Changbei Tight Gas 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 China OIL & GAS PRODUCTION Kboe/d 1000 2011+ Pluto (Woodside) Gumusut-Kakap 500 Gorgon…
UPSTREAM REGIONAL OUTLOOK MIDDLE EAST, RUSSIA, CIS, AFRICA KEY PROJECTS FINANCIALS Bln 20 CFFO CAPEX 10 0 Pearl GTL 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Qatar OIL & GAS PRODUCTION Kboe/d 1500 2011+ 1000 Qatargas 4 Pearl GtL Oman…
LEADERSHIP IN GLOBAL LNG SHELL LNG DESTINATIONS SHELL LNG LEADERSHIP Year end mtpa 30 20 10 2008 2010 0 Shell Exxon BG BP Total Chevron 2010 2016 PROJECTS IN OPERATION OR UNDER CONSTRUCTION SHELL GLOBAL LNG CAPACITY…
OPERATING PERFORMANCE DEVELOPMENT TECHNOLOGY IN ACTION PROJECT START-UP: LNG Example: Fish hook wells, Brunei: Seria North Flank 2010 LNG capacity utilization 110% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% Asia Africa Europe Asia Sakhalin…
BRAZIL GROWTH POTENTIAL OVERVIEW SHELL POSITIONS SHELL BRAZIL PRODUCTION Kboe/d Kbbl/d Raizen (Cosan) JV OIL & GAS Espirito Raizen (Cosan) JV Marketing & 100 ETHANOL 300 Biofuels (50%) Santo Basin OIL PRODUCTS Sao Francisco…
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL STRATEGY UPDATE APPENDIX SUPPORTING SLIDES PROJECTS & TECHNOLOGY 59 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
SAFETY IN SHELL SHELL SAFETY PERFORMANCE 2011 HSSE PRIORITIES AND FOCUS Injuries TRCF 8 Simplify & Comply 7 One HSSE & SP Control Framework Shell wide 6 5 Life-Saving Rules 4 3 2 Focus Areas 1 Process Safety 0 Road Safety '99 '00 '01…
SAFE & RELIABLE OPERATIONS SAFETY CASE BOW TIE MODEL: STANDARD ASSET INTEGRITY MANAGEMENT PREVENTION AND RECOVERY INDUSTRY CONSEQUENCES HAZARD Control Response & Incident & Barriers Recovery Minimize Mitigate Likelihood…
BLOWOUT PREVENTION & CONTAINMENT CAPABILITY STANDARD ASSET INTEGRITY MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL RESPONSE Founding & permanent Board Member of the International Association of Oil & Gas Producers Marine Well Containment Company (MWCC)…
OPERATING PERFORMANCE BC-10 (PARQUE DAS CONCHAS) PHASE 1 TECHNOLOGY IN ACTION Kboe/d (100%) 100 Actual Plan 75 50 25 0 Jan Apr Jul Oct 2010 Nine wells onstream in Q1 2010 Ultra Deepwater development with advanced…
PROJECT MANAGEMENT + PERFORMANCE PROJECT STATUS PROJECT PERFORMANCE AGAINST INDUSTRY BENCHMARKS Construction time elapsed % 1Q DOWNSTREAM Singapore Chemicals Cost Effectiveness 2Q Perdido Gbaran Ubie Ph1 3Q Gjoa 4Q Schoonebeek…
APPLYING NEW TECHNOLOGY TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT AND DEPLOYMENT SUSTAINED INNOVATION LNG, GTL Enhanced oil recovery PROPRIETARY Today Smart Fields TECHNOLOGY Deepwater Unconventional gas Differentiated fuels Floating…
WELL & RESERVOIR MANAGEMENT TECHNOLOGY 2005 TODAY EMERGING Deepwater 4D Well Manufacturing Systems Radar, GPS Smart Wells Global Development Smart Wells Advanced EOR 4D Seismic Technologies Collaborative Work…
WELLS & RESERVOIR MANAGEMENT DELIVERY LEARNING CURVE ACCELERATION NA TIGHT GAS WELL AND RESERVOIR MANAGEMNT Indexed Well Delivery Time per year since first production Example: decline rate management UKCS: choke and injection…
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL STRATEGY UPDATE APPENDIX SUPPORTING SLIDES DOWNSTREAM 69 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
DOWNSTREAM STRATEGY THREE KEYS TO WINNING Operational Excellence Brand Cost discipline Improving manufacturing availability Asset integrity Concentrating the Portfolio Re-focused asset base 2010 Maximize value in heartlands…
IMPROVING MANUFACTURING PERFORMANCE IMPROVING PROCESS SAFETY UNPLANNED DOWNTIME API process incidents 150 Chemicals 100 Refining 50 Excluding operational problems Pernis/Port Arthur 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009…
LEADING BRAND & GROWTH POTENTIAL MARKETING GROWTH GLOBAL BRAND PREFERENCE % 20 15 Trading Retail 10 5 0 Q3 2009 Q3 2010 Lubricants Aviation SOURCE: GLOBAL BRAND TRACKER DIFFERENTIATED FUELS GLOBAL LUBES MARKET LEADER % of…
SELECTIVE DOWNSTREAM GROWTH PORT ARTHUR REFINERY EXPANSION, US GULF RAZEN (COSAN) BIOFUELS JV, BRAZIL SINGAPORE CHEMICALS START-UP 2010 MARKETING: CHINA, BRAZIL, SE ASIA, RUSSIA 74 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 15/03/2011
DOWNSTREAM GROWTH: DIFFERENTIATED TECHNOLOGY LUBES TECHNOLOGY - ENABLING OEM PARTNERSHIPS NEW GROWTH WITH SULPHUR TECHNOLOGY Shell concept lubricant achieves 6.5% fuel economy benefit Managing all Shells sulphur as a value added…
INTEGRATED VALUE CHAINS GLOBAL REACH INTEGRATED VALUE CHAIN UPSTREAM DOWNSTREAM: CRUDE SUPPLY MAKE MOVE SELL Retail Heavy oil from Canadian oil sands Refining Business-to- Supply & Business Distribution Lubricants Chemicals…
CHEMICALS STRATEGY STRATEGY EARNINGS CCS Earnings - Bln Weighted average margins /t Base chemicals and derivatives portfolio 2 500 (global 5 *) 400 Plant integration 300 1 200 Growth through accessing advantaged feedstock 100…
RAZEN (COSAN) JV: BRAZIL MARKETING AND BIOFUELS SHARE OF BRAZILIAN RETAIL FUELS DISTRIBUTION % 40 Leading Brazil marketing player 4,470 retail sites, 53 depots 30 Fuel sales volume 18 billion litres per year 20 Retail, commercial…