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Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp.

Ultra Petroleum Corp. · Mar 5, 2012 · 38 slides

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  1. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 1
    Ultra Petroleum Corp. Mark Smith Sr. Vice President, CFO Raymond James Institutional Investors Conference March 5, 2012 Ultra Petroleum Corp. is an independent exploration and production company focused on developing its long-life…
  2. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 2
    A Unique Energy Company Exploration & Production company uniquely focused on profitable growth 31% return on equity for 2011 15% production growth for 2011 Growing scale of our assets Early development of Wyoming legacy asset…
  3. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 3
    2011 Results Produced 245.3 Bcfe; 15% growth 1.5B capital budget 4.98 Tcfe proved reserves; 13% growth 339% Organic reserve replacement ratio Drill-bit F&D cost of 1.60/Mcfe Ultra Petroleum Corp. NYSE: UPL 3
  4. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 4
    The Ultra Petroleum Story High asset quality Robust investment portfolio Profitable growth strategy Ultra Petroleum Corp. NYSE: UPL 4
  5. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 5
    Long-Life, Low-Cost, Lance Tight Gas Ultra-Interest Wells Pinedale Field 90 sq. miles 2,000+ wells 1.5 Bcfd Field OGIP = 58.7 Tcf Recoverable = 38.2 Tcf Jonah Field 36 sq. miles 1,760+ wells 0.8 Bcfd Field OGIP = 15.0…
  6. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 6
    Wyoming Asset Overview Key Metrics* Inventory Production Reserves 2,000+ producing 870 Mmcfe/d 4.3 Tcfe proved wells YE2011 gross operated 9.7 Tcfe proved + 5,000+ future production probable locations 560 Mmcfe/d 10.2 Tcfe proved + <…
  7. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 7
    Pinedales Profitable Well Economics 160% 4.00 6.00 Bcfe Bcfe 140% Vertical Depth 13,500 13,500 120% Well Cost (MM): 4.8 4.8 IRR*: 32% 76% 100% F&D Cost/Mcfe: 1.49 0.99 80% IRR Payout, months: 40.4 19.2 60% Reserve Life, yrs:…
  8. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 8
    Emerging Marcellus Shale Gas Ultra-Interest Lands Potter-Tioga Area 170,000 net acres 130 producing horizontal wells Year-end 2011 Clinton-Lycoming Area 90,000 net acres 74 producing horizontal wells Year-end 2011…
  9. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 9
    Pennsylvania Asset Overview Key Metrics* Inventory Production Reserves 204 producing 380 Mmcfe/d 0.7 Tcfe proved wells YE2011 gross production 1.7 Tcfe proved + 4,500 future 184 Mmcfe/d probable locations net production 5.8 Tcfe…
  10. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 10
    Strong Marcellus Well Economics 160% 4.25 6.30 140% Bcfe Bcfe Vertical Depth 5,600 7,500 120% Well Cost: 6.7 MM 7.9 MM 100% IRR*: 23% 44% 80% IRR F&D Cost/Mcfe: 1.85 1.43 60% Payout, months: 54 28 40% Reserve Life, yrs: 36…
  11. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 11
    Conservative Type Curve Estimates 10.0 Clinton-Lycoming Area 9.0 Potter-Tioga Area 8.0 7.0 Gross Production 6.0 (MMcfe/D) 7 Bcfe 5.0 4.0 5 Bcfe 3.0 2.0 3 Bcfe 1.0 0.0 1 31 61 91 121 151 181 211 241 271 301…
  12. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 12
    Net Risked Resource Potential Wyoming Pennsylvania Total Lance Marcellus Resource 10.2 Tcfe 9.5 Tcfe 19.7 Tcfe 2,900 future 2,500 future 5,400 future net wells net wells net wells 13,600MM 17,800MM 31,400MM future capital future…
  13. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 13
    Improving Operating Efficiencies 40 100% Pinedale Field 35 80% 30 25 Spud to TD 60% Spud to TD % Wells Drilled (Days) 20 Reduced by 66% < 15 Days 15 40% 10 Spud to TD 20% 5 % Wells Drilled < 15 days 0 0% 2007 2008 2009…
  14. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 14
    Leads to Further Cost Reductions 7.0 Pinedale Field Completed Well Costs 6.0 Reduced by 23% 5.0 4.0 Completed Well Cost (MM) 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Ultra Petroleum Corp. NYSE: UPL 14
  15. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 15
    Industrys Low-Cost Operator 9.00 8.00 Ultra - 2.68 2010 All-In Costs 7.00 vs. Mean - 5.62 6.00 5.00 All-in Costs (Mcfe) 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 Source: Wells Fargo 5.00 4.50 2010 All-In F&D Costs 4.00 Ultra - 1.48 3.50…
  16. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 16
    Focused on Creating Long-Term Value UPL CROCI - 28% Production per share CAGR - 25% 18% High Returns Low Growth SWN BRY BBG 17% (53%. 20%) 16% High Returns NBL High Growth APA EOG 15% Median 13.5% TLM NFX CXO 2006 -…
  17. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 17
    The Ultra Petroleum Story High asset quality Robust investment portfolio Profitable growth strategy Ultra Petroleum Corp. NYSE: UPL 17
  18. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 18
    2011 Proved Reserves SEC Proved Reserves Proved Reserve Growth 4.98 Tcfe 6,000 14% CAGR 5,000 4,000 1.9 PDP Bcfe 3,000 PDNP PUD 2,000 2.93 0.15 1,000 5.3B PV-10 value 4.04/Mcf 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Ultra…
  19. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 19
    2011 Real Reserve Value Net 6/Mcf 5/Mcf Reserves PV-10 PV-10 Reserve Category (Bcfe) MM MM Proved* 7,260 11,786 8,913 Probable 4,115 3,255 1,996 2P: (Proved + Probable) 11,375 15,041 10,909 Possible 4,675 3,702 2,288 3P: (Proved +…
  20. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 20
    The Ultra Petroleum Story High asset quality Robust investment portfolio Profitable growth strategy Ultra Petroleum Corp. NYSE: UPL 20
  21. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 21
    Impressive Performance Record Net Income Cashflow ROCE ROE Breakeven Breakeven (last 5 years) (last 5 years) (last 5 years) (last 5 years) 2.60 1.13 21% 36% per Mcf per Mcf Average Average Average Average Full Year 2011…
  22. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 22
    Strong & Stable Margins Cash Flow Margin Net Income Margin 100% 50% 90% 45% 80% 40% 70% 35% 60% 30% 50% 25% 40% 20% 42% 72% 75% 73% 37% 70% 70% 30% 15% 31% 31% 30% 20% 10% 10% 5% 0% 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008…
  23. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 23
    Consistent Absolute Growth 3P Reserve Growth Production Growth 18,000 300 16,000 11% CAGR 21% CAGR 250 14,000 12,000 200 10,000 Bcfe 150 Bcfe 8,000 6,000 100 4,000 50 2,000 0 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008…
  24. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 24
    And Leaders in Per-Share Growth Proved Reserves per Share Production per Debt-Adjusted Growth Share Growth 20% 25% 18% 18% 21% 16% 20% 14% UPL 2x the UPL 3x the mean mean 12% 15% 10% 2006 2010 10% 2005- 2010 Growth CAGR 8%…
  25. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 25
    Outlook for 2012 2012 Capital Investment Program 925MM Target drilling program 3% 6% 27% 139 gross (58 net) Wyoming wells 17% 119 gross (50 net) Pennsylvania wells 8 gross (8 net) Colorado wells 3% Production goal 250 260 Bcfe…
  26. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 26
    Where are We Going 2010A 2011A 2012E Operations Realized price (/Mcf) 4.88 5.05 4.00 Capex (MM) 1,576 1,514 725* Production (Bcfe) 214 245 255 Income Statement (MM) EBITDA 818 1,034 800 Balance Sheet (MM) Ending debt balance…
  27. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 27
    The Ultra Petroleum Story High Highly concentrated asset Domestic, onshore natural gas asset quality Lowest all-in unit costs Robust 5,400 future net drilling locations 20+ years inventory investment portfolio High rate-of-return…
  28. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 28
    Appendix Ultra Petroleum Corp. NYSE: UPL 28
  29. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 29
    New Ventures Activity 131,000 net acres in the DJ Basin Targeting liquids-prone Niobrara Formation Resource exposure 200,000 400,000 Bbls of oil per well 150,000 MBbls oil net resource upside Current plans Drill & complete 4…
  30. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 30
    Consistent Marcellus Performance Krause Krause Area Wellsboro 13 wells starts in Q4 Marshlands Avg. IP = 7.2 MMcf/d Potter Tioga Wellsboro Area Texas Creek 12 wells starts in Q4 Avg. IP = 6.8 MMcf/d Clinton Grugan…
  31. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 31
    Marcellus Technical Reviews: What We are Learning High-grading acreage to optimize returns Utilizing seismic attributes to delineate resource sweet spots Expanding 3D coverage from 315 sq-mi to 455 sq-mi Studying correct well…
  32. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 32
    Northern Pennsylvania Pipeline Capacity Additions Projects* Capacity Total Date Pre-expansion 1.6 Bcf/d Q3 2011 Tennessee 300** 0.55 Bcf/d Stage Coach 0.35 Bcf/d Laser 0.40 Bcf/d Springville 0.25 Bcf/d Empire Extension 0.35 Bcf/d…
  33. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 33
    Financial Strength Total Debt Capacity 3,035MM Maturity Profile 1,000 900 December 31, 2011 800 700 600 millions 500 400 Debt/EBITDA 300 Short-term 1.8X Net Debt 200 Liquidity 1,892MM 100 657MM EBITDA/Interest 16.4X…
  34. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 34
    Providing Certainty to Cash Flow: Hedging Summary Total Volume Average Price Time Period (Bcf) (/MMbtu) Q1 2012 27.3 5.03 Q2 2012 53.7 4.34 Q3 2012 54.3 4.34 Q4 2012 48.8 4.27 Total 2012 184.1 4.43 Amounts on a Bcf basis…
  35. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 35
    Profitable Reinvestment Opportunities Reserve Size - Pinedale Wells 4 Bcfe 5 Bcfe 6 Bcfe 7 Bcfe 8 Bcfe 3/Mcf 10% 18% 28% 39% 53% Gas Price 4/Mcf 20% 33% 49% 68% 91% 5/Mcf 32% 52% 76% 106% 143% 6/Mcf 47% 75% 110% 155%…
  36. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 36
    Quarterly Guidance Q1 2012 Guidance Q1 2012 estimated production 64 66 Bcfe Q1 2012 realized pricing Natural gas: 6 - 8% discount to NYMEX Condensate: 10.00 discount to NYMEX Q1 2012 expense guidance Assumes 2.73 per Mmbtu and…
  37. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 37
    Narrowing Basis Differentials Basis Differential as a Percentage (%) of Henry Hub Balance 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012 2013 NW Rockies 58 69 77 90 94 98 95 96 Dominion South 105 105 107 104 104 101 100 98 Source:…
  38. Raymond James 33rd Annual Institutional Investors Conference – Ultra Petroleum Corp. – slide 38
    Expanding Rockies Capacity 12.0 10.0 Excess takeaway capacity 4 Bcf/d 8.0 Average Daily Volume 6.0 (Bcf/D) 4.0 2.0 0.0 Source: Bentek Energy Actual Forecast Pipeline Capacity Ultra Petroleum Corp. NYSE: UPL…

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