Agenda Strategy is Delivering 9:05 - 9:20 Strategy Update Asim Ghosh 9:20 - 9:30 Financial Plan Alister Cowan Foundation Portfolio 9:30 - 9:35 Portfolio Review Rob Peabody 9:35 - 9:45 Heavy Oil Ed Connolly; 9:45 9:55 Western Canada Rob…
Investor Day June 4, 2014
Strategy Update Asim Ghosh
Strategy and Portfolio Development Balanced growth strategy delivering Transforming the foundation Focused integration achieving world market prices Delivering major projects Top-quartile dividend Reliable and repeatable…
The Way We Were 6
Rich Queue of Projects Near-Term (2014-2016) Mid-Term (2017-2019) Long-Term (2020+) Sandall Thermal Pikes Peak North Thermal Lloyd 3 Thermal Rush Lake Thermal Rush Lake 2 Thermal McMullen Thermals Edam West Thermal Lloyd 1 Thermal…
Proved Reserves Replacement Outpacing Production On track to exceed 250% 140% annual average through 2017 200% 150% 140% 100% 50% Annual Three Year Average 0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Values exclude economic…
Shaping Risk and Delivering Higher Quality Returns Heres what we mean by higher quality returns predictable outputs, less volatility, and sustainable growth Heres how we create it: Portfolio flexibility Balancing towards…
Portfolio Flexibility Broad portfolio Capital allocation 10
Balancing Towards Longer Wavelength Projects Long-Wavelength Production Forecast as a % of Total Long wavelength production 100% includes Heavy Oil thermals, resource plays and Oil Sands Conventional Conventional production…
Delivering Pricing Reliability Realized Pricing on Upstream Production Processed (March 31, 2014) 160 140 Brent Pricing 120 Benchmark Realized Price /bbl 100 80 US Refining 60 Infrastructure and Marketing 40 CDN Upgrading…
Shaping Execution Risk Liwan Delivered SeaRose Reliability 97% Refinery Uptime Proven Thermal Performance Room to Run at Ansell Flemish Pass Discoveries 13
Oilier Pricing Product Pricing Mix as % of Past/Forecast Commodity value Production 100% Higher netback production North American Dry Gas Oil and Oil-Like Pricing 50% 0% 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Year 14
The Bottom Line Returns Total Shareholder Return June 1, 2011 June 1, 20141, 2 50% 40% Dividend + Share Buyback Share price 30% 20% 10% 0% HSE -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% 1. TSR Data Sourced from Bloomberg 2. As of June…
Financial Plan Alister Cowan
On Pace With Our Targets 2012-2017 2010 Actual 2013 Actual Q1 2014 Targets Production (mboe/d) 287 312 326 5 - 8% CAGR (3) Cash Flow from Operations (3) 3.1 billion 5.0 billion 1.5 billion 6 - 8% CAGR (3) Reserve Replacement…
Portfolio Management/Capital Allocation Shaping Risk Product type Production by Geography* Geography/markets LloydminsterOil and Asian Gas Capital requirement/timeline Western Canada Return of Asset/IRR Atlantic Canada Asia…
Staying Course on Guidance Capital Expenditures (billions) 400 Production (mboe/day) 6 Forecast range Forecast range Midstream/ 350 330 355 mboe/d *5.0 4.8 5.0 Downstream/ 5 312 mboe/d Corporate 300 Natural Gas Asia Atlantic…
Strong Balance Sheet and Investment Grade Credit Rating Liquidity Long-term Debt Maturity Schedule Q1 2014 Debt Actual Targets 1,200 Net Debt 2.7 bln N/A 1,000 Net Debt to Cash Flow* 0.5 X Below 1.5X CDN Millions Net Debt to…
Focus on Returns Strong balance sheet to see long-lead projects through commodity price fluctuations Portfolio management and flexible capital allocation Reliable cash flow growth Top-quartile dividend 24
Foundation Portfolio Review Rob Peabody
Shaping Process and Occupational Safety Critical & Serious Incidents 1 Total Recordable Incident Rate 2 6 1.5 of injuries per 100 workers per year 5 of incidents/200k hrs 4 3 1 2 1 0 0.5 2010 2011 2012 2013 2010…
Foundation Facelift Project Forecast Net Forecast Net Forecast Production Capex IRR 2014-2019 Expected Production Adds (BOE/D) Near-Term (2014-2016) 300 Heavy Oil Thermals Four sanctioned projects 33,500 1.3 bln 20% 250 Western…
Lengthening the Stride in our Foundation Longer wavelength 2014-2019 Expected Production 300 Deep portfolio of high-return projects 250 Competitively advantaged 200 MBOE/D 150 Longer 100 Wavelength 50 0 2014 2015…
Heavy Oil Ed Connolly
Heavy Oil Advantage Second-to-none land and infrastructure position Over two million net acres Technology fuelling growth Fully integrated Improved quality of returns 120 KMs 200 KMs 30
Making Long Wavelengths Longer FY2013 Netbacks/bbl* Higher recoveries 60 Higher netbacks /BOE 30 0 Thermal Non-Thermal Proportion of Thermal vs. Non-Thermal Production Op Cost/bbl 30 /BOE 15 0 Full Year 2009…
Thermal Portfolio Heating Up Thermal First Oil Current/ Status Thermal Production Forecast* Project Date Forecasted Net 80 80,000 Production Rate Pikes Peak 1984 4,100 Producing Bolney Celtic 1996 19,000 60 Paradise Hill 2012…
Typical Thermal Economics Metric Target 1 Construction time 2 years Start up to peak < 3 months production SOR target 2.0 early years Pikes Peak South Sustaining capital/bbl2 5 - 7 Life of project 15 Years + Recoveries target…
Leveraging Thermal Expertise at McMullen Best estimate contingent resources of 644 mmbbls* Development Build on Heavy Oil expertise Several 10,000 bpd projects Timeline One project in mid-term Several others in long-term…
Testing Other Technologies Horizontal wells Currently producing 13,000 bpd 140 drills per year Waterflood targeting 15% recovery Horizontal well Cold Solvent EOR Process Targeting old CHOPS reservoirs Uses existing wells and…
Delivering Higher Quality Returns Second-to-none land and Forecast Net Production infrastructure Technology fuelling growth 150 Fully integrated Cold EOR Improved quality of returns Horizontal 100 MBOE/D 2013 Non-Thermal…
Western Canada Rob Symonds
Old Dog, New Tricks Extensive resource play portfolio diversified by product, region and scale Investing in the right projects Breaking down silos to improve efficiencies 38
Shaping the Resource Play Portfolio Disciplined capital allocation Average well cost reduction of 30% over last three years Large portfolio allows flexibility 1,500 locations on established resource plays Improving cycle…
Ansell Room to Run Large land base Multi-zone potential: 800 locations Fully scalable Ansell Area Wilrich Wells Cumulative Production 3,500 Cumulative Production (mmcf) 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 0 2 4…
The Sweet Spot Kaybob Duvernay Four-well pad and two-well pad onstream Q1 2014 Kaybob Duvernay Products High condensate yields of 200 bbls/mmcf 42.6% Early results encouraging 44.8% Condensate NGL Reducing costs 12.6% Gas Q1…
Other Mid-Term Potential Rainbow Muskwa S.W. Saskatchewan Multi-zone 300,000 net developable acres Oil and liquids rich gas potential Assessing effectiveness of different fracs S.W. Saskatchewan multi-zone 140,000 acres Oil…
Focus on Higher Quality Returns Extensive resource play Forecast Production portfolio diversified by production, region and 160 scale Lower Netbacks* Investing in the right MBOE/D projects Breaking down silos to 80 improve…
Downstream Bob Baird
Weatherproofing Upstream and Creating Value Project Scope Forecast Net Forecast Capex IRR Near-Term (2014-2016) Toledo Hydrotreater Recycle Gas Improve operational integrity 20 mm 20% Compressor Project and plant performance Hardisty…
Strong Downstream Infrastructure Position (1) Source: Solomon Associates 46
Strong Downstream Infrastructure Position (1) Source: Solomon Associates 47
Strong Downstream Infrastructure Position 48
Strong Downstream Infrastructure Position 49
Strong Downstream Infrastructure Position 50
Strong Downstream Infrastructure Position 51
Stabilize Cash Flow and Improve Returns 1,2 Integrated on 700 Total Net Operating Earnings 120.00 a barrel for 600 110.00 barrel basis 5 100.00 Reduces cash 500 flow volatility 90.00 400 Strong returns 80.00 generated over…
Q&A
Break
Pillars Review Rob Peabody
Pillars Portfolio Project Forecast Net Production Forecast Net Forecast Forecast Net Production (boe/d) Capex IRR Near-Term (2014-2016) 200 Asia Pacific Liuhua 34-2 3,300 100 mm 15% Oil Sands Sunrise Phase 1 30,000 1.4 bln 11-13%…
Hitting Our Stride Forecast Net Production Strong pipeline of projects with good returns 200 Major identified potential for the future 150 Longer wavelength MBOE/D 100 50 Longer Wavelength 0 2014 2015 2016 2017…
Asia Pacific Bob Hinkel
Crossing the Threshold Material cash flow Project Current/Forecast Forecast Forecast Net Production Net Capex IRR (boe/d) Focused portfolio Expected 2014 Average Production Long track record Wenchang 5,000 - 20% in region Liwan…
Liwan Gas Project Delivered 6.5 billion project for three fields Largest offshore platform in Asia; 1 bcf/d gas terminal About seven years from discovery to production Producing gas and liquids Liwan 3-1 deepwater facilities…
Indonesian Discoveries & Developments BD field in construction Net production of 40 mmcf/d gas and 2,400 boe/d liquids (2017F) MBH Field MDA Field MDA and MBH fields in tender BD Field phase Net production of 50 mmcf/d…
The Next Chapter Exploration blocks Southern Gas Field Taiwan Madura exploration Anugerah PSC Offshore Taiwan Leveraging our expertise 2013 Acquisition Lines 2014 Planned Acquisition Husky Block boundary Assessing other…
Focused Portfolio Material cash flow Forecast Net Production (includes cost recovery) Strong queue of higher 70 return projects Established track record Wenchang MBOE/D Madura BD 35 Madura MDA/MBH Liuhua 29-1 Liuhua-34-2…
Oil Sands John Myer
Predictable Earnings and Cash Flow Project Forecast Net Forecast Forecast 40-60 year project life Production (boe/d) Net Capex IRR Paced growth with huge upside Near-Term (2014-2016) Technology reducing sustaining Sunrise Phase 1…
Sunrise Phase 1 By The Numbers Metric Target Production (net) 30,000 bbls/d Start up to full production 18-24 Months SOR design rate 3.0 Sustaining capital per bbl 1 8 Life of project 40-60 years Operating cost per bbl 16-18…
Sustaining Capital Protecting Returns Two-thirds of the cost of a major oil sands project like Sunrise is sustaining capital Evaluating more than 75 technologies to drive down costs, including: Vacuum-insulated tubing Custom rig…
Sunrise Plant 1A 68
Water Treatment 69
Motor Control Centre Plant 1A New photos available May 20 70
Well Pad Sunrise Well Pad L 71
Ready For Operations 72
Sunrise Phase 2 Making Big Projects Smaller Phase 2A scheduled for end of decade; Phase 2B about two years later Greater modularity Reduced plant footprint Leveraging existing facilities and equipment Greater cost savings…
Further Upside at Sunrise 60 square kilometres of 3D seismic program shot 209 stratigraphic wells completed Thick reservoir Potential for further development on lease beyond existing approvals 74
Growth in the Carbonates Saleski 10 billion barrels best estimate contingent resources1 Filed regulatory pilot project application Infrastructure in place and being developed Growth potential for the 2020s 1 Please see…
Longer Wavelength Business 40 60 year project life Forecast Net Production Annuity-type production 35 Paced development with 30 upside potential 25 Technology reducing MBOE/D sustaining capital and 20 operating costs 15…
Atlantic Region Malcolm Maclean
White Rose A Deep Portfolio High netback barrels Project Forecast Net Peak Forecast Net Forecast Production (boe/d) Capex IRR Production and cash Near-Term (2014-2016) flow through the 2020s North Amethyst Hibernia well 5,000 100…
South White Rose Delivering Higher Quality Returns Achieves two objectives: Significant cost savings over standalone gas injection Improves recoverability First gas injection Q1 2014, first oil around the end of the year Pairing…
West White Rose Improving Drilling Efficiency SeaRose FPSO processing reduces overall project cost Wellhead platform designed to facilitate other tie-backs Sanction upon development plan approval 80
Big Rig, New Technologies Employing established technologies in innovative ways to enhance returns West Mira custom-built to future needs Five-year renewable lease West Mira under construction 81
Flemish Pass Stay Tuned Multiple targets identified West Hercules drilling rig secured 18-month drilling campaign starting in Q3 2014 Balancing exploration against development Map courtesy of Statoil 82
Generating Cash Flow and Growth Near and medium-term projects staged to fund future growth and provide dependable cash flow Long-term commercial potential in Flemish Pass Net Production 60 40 MBOE/D South White Rose West…
Advisories Non-GAAP Measures This document contains certain terms which do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. None of these…
Advisories Note to U.S. Readers The Company reports its reserves and resources information in accordance with Canadian practices and specifically in accordance with National Instrument 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas…
Appendix
Reserves Breakdown: Foundation Portfolio Project WI W-I WI- WI Contingent Proved Probable Possible- Resources MMBOE MMBOE MMBOE Best Estimate MMBOE Heavy Oil Non-Thermal (total) 80.1 40.1 24.2 - Heavy Oil Cold EOR 2.4 0.9 1.8 35.0…
Reserves Breakdown: Pillars Portfolio Project Working Interest Working Interest Working Interest WI Proved MMBOE Probable MMBOE Possible MMBOE Contingent Resources Best Estimate MMBOE Atlantic Region White Rose S. Avalon Oil 23.9…
Appendix: Liwan Economics Operating costs 10% Taxes and royalties 20% Exploration cost recovery 800mm Gross Production Time Offshore platform Field Capacity Price Frame Liwan 3-1 Gas 300 mmcf/d 11-13/mcf Current NGLs 10-14…
1. Ansell Cardium Total Liquids Content: 60 bbls/mmcf Husky Estimated Ultimate Recovery/Well: Industry Type Curve 600 MBOE Well Cost (current to steady): 9.5 MM to 7.5 MM Background Facts Drilling Summary Completions Summary…
2. Ansell Wilrich Total Liquids Content: 21 bbls/mmcf 6,000 Ansell Wilrich Horizontals Husky Industry Estimated Ultimate Recovery/Well: Cumulative Raw Gas Production (mmcf) 5,000 Type Curve 833 MBOE 4,000 Well Cost…
3. Ansell Falher/Notikewin Horizontal Wells Total Liquids Content: 42 bbls/mmcf Ansell Falher/Notikewin Horizontals 3,000 Estimated Ultimate Recovery/Well: Husky Industry Cumulative Raw Gas Production (mmcf) 2,500 778 MBOE…
4. Strachan Cardium Horizontal Wells Total Liquids Content: 62 bbls/mmcf 1400 Cardium Horizontal Wells Cumulative Production Husky Estimated Ultimate Recovery/Well: 1200 Industry Cumulative Production (mmcf) Type Curve 507…
5. Kakwa Wilrich Total Liquids Content: 27 bbls/mmcf Husky Estimated Ultimate Recovery/Well: Industry Type Curve 1,132 MBOE Well Cost (current): 9.5 MM Background Facts Drilling Summary Completions Summary 24,000 net acres…
Duvernay HZ Wells _ Normalized Cumulative Gas Production 6. Kaybob Duvernay 1,000 900 Cumulative Gas Production (mmscf) 800 700 Total Liquids Content: 200 bbls/mmcf 600 500 400 Estimated Ultimate…