Corporate Profile Corporate Summary Production (Q4 2013) 100,880 boe/d Reserves (2P Gross YE 2013) (1) 634 mmboe Reserve Life Index (2P) (1) 15.5 years (2) Annualized Dividend / Dividend Yield 1.20 per share / 4.1% (3) Annualized…
Unique Strategy Targeting net debt to 200% Reserve funds from operations Replacement through between 1.0 1.5x the drill bit for the past Active Hedging 5 consecutive years Program Capital Discipline and Pace of Development…
Sustainable Dividend Key component of strategy Supported by active hedging and balance sheet strength Historic Dividends and Funds from Operations 5.00 120% 4.50 100% 4.00 3.50 80% Payout Ratio % 3.00 /share 2.50…
Operations Overview Production (Q4 2013) 100,880 boe/d 37% 57% 6% Oil Gas Liquids 2P Reserves (YE 2013) 634 Mmboe 31% 69% Western Canadian Producer
ARCs Proven Development Model Dawson, Pembina, SE Sask/Manitoba, Redwater Ante Creek, Parkland/Tower Sunrise West Attachie, Septimus Blueberry, Sundown Inventory of Opportunities at all Stages
Significant Reserve and Resource Base 634 mmboe of 2P reserves and RLI of 15.5 years 1,600 Reserves and Resources (mmboe) 1,400 NEBC 1,200 Montney ECONOMIC 1,000 Contingent Mmboe Resource estimate 800 600 17% CAGR 2P…
Growing Our Low Cost Gas Business 15% CAGR total Natural Gas production driven by 33% CAGR Montney Natural Gas production 2009-2015 Forecast 21% CAGR in 2P Natural Gas reserves from 1 Tcf to 2.6 Tcf 2008 - 2013 500,000…
Growing Oil and Liquids since 2009 7% CAGR total Liquids production driven by 34% CAGR Montney Liquids production 2009 2015 Forecast 5% CAGR in 2P Liquids reserves from 152 Mmbbls to 194 Mmbbls 2008 - 2013 50,000 Base Pembina…
Montney Growth Assets
ARC in the Montney 100,000 2014 Sunrise 2014 Development 90,000 Parkland Gas Plant: Phase 1 2013 80,000 Construction begins on Parkland Phase 1 2011 70,000 Dawson Gas 2012 Plant: Phase 2 Ante Creek Gas 60,000 2010 / 08…
Significant Montney Land Base Grown ARCs Montney land base from 130 net sections in 2005 to 899 net sections today Significant Montney landholdings with 951 gross sections (899 net sections) including 671 gross undeveloped sections and…
Early Stages of Property Development* 1,000 Gross Drilling Locations 750 500 250 0 Dawson Parkland/ Tower Sunrise/ Sunset Ante Creek Total Hz wells drilled to date 2P Booked Locations Identified Locations *…
DAWSON GAS WORLD CLASS GAS RESOURCE
Dawson Asset Details Net production (boe/d) Q4 2013 27,400 Liquids (bbls/d) 970 Gas (mmcf/d) 158 Production split % (liquids/gas) 97% gas Land (Montney net sections) 130 Working Interest 96% Reserves (2P mmboe) 174 Liquids…
Dawson A Cash Flow Machine Grown production from approximately 50 Mmcfe/d in 2009 to 165 Mmcfe/d by mid 2012 At Cdn3 gas 30% Reinvestment Ratio to sustain Cash Flow and generate 100 million of Free Cash Flow annually for 15 years…
Dawson Gas Type Curve Growth Expect 2014 type curve to be consistent with 2013; plans to drill core Dawson wells to keep plant full in 2014 and into 2015 Based on delineation data from pressure and rate performance, we expect…
Dawson Development Economics 7,000 Key Metrics DCET Capex per well (MM) 4.6 2P Reserves per well (Bcf) 7.1 6,000 IP (1 mo) (MMcf/d) 5.0 IP (12 mo) (MMcf/d) 4.8 5,000 Half Cycle Economics (C85/bbl) 4/GJ 3/GJ Gas Rate (mcf/d)…
PARKLAND/TOWER REAPING ACQUISITION BENEFITS
Parkland/Tower Asset Details Parkland Tower Net production (boe/d) 10,700 1,750 Q4 2013 Liquids (bbls/d) 1,320 1,250 Gas (mmcf/d) 56 3.0 Land (net sections) 23 57 Working Interest 84% 92% Reserves (2P mmboe) 58.0 24.6 Liquids…
Parkland/Tower Infrastructure Regulatory approval for 120 Mmcf/d, sweet service with two trains of 60 Mmcf/d (staged construction) First phase of plant built with design capacity of: 64 Mmcf/d of inlet gas 3,000 bbls/day LPG…
Parkland Dual-Layer Development Stacked Well Performance to Date 8,000 100/13-21 (Upper) 7,000 102/13-21 6,000 (Lower) 100/04-28 Gas Rate (mcfd) 5,000 (Upper) 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Layered Well Placement…
Parkland Development Economics 6,000 Key Metrics DCET Capex per well (MM) 5.0 5,000 2P Reserves per well (Bcf) 5.8 IP (1 mo) (MMcf/d) 4.5 IP (12 mo) (MMcf/d) 3.3 4,000 Half Cycle Economics (C85/bbl) 4/GJ 3/GJ Gas Rate…
Tower Dual-Layer Development Parkland and Tower have similar geology Two Layer Horizontal Development Very Thick Montney A 100M (328 ft.) Tower Also has Dual-Layer Montney Development Opportunity
Tower Development Economics Key Metrics 500 DCET Capex per well (MM) 5.9 450 2P Reserves per well (Mboe) 400 IP (1 mo) (boe/d) 440 400 IP (12 mo) (boe/d) 220 350 Half Cycle Economics (C85/bbl) 4/GJ 3/GJ Production Rate…
WEST MONTNEY OIL AND GAS LONG-TERM GROWTH OPPORTUNITY
Sunrise/Sunset Asset Details Sunrise has progressed from pilot to full scale development Net production (boe/d) - Q4 2013 3,510 Liquids (bbls/d) 0 Gas (mmcf/d) 21.0 Land (net Montney sections) 32 Working Interest 89%…
Sunrise Development Planning Sunrise 02-25 Sunrise Development Model Vertical Frac Offset Proposal Upper Montney Middle Montney Montney B Montney E Multiple Zones with Economies of Scale
Sunrise Outperforming Expectations Estimated Ultimate Recovery (EUR) is Cumulative Production + Forecast or GLJ 2P Reserves 02/14-26-78-18 W6 (B02-25 HZ) A 02-25 Hz MTYA Cum to Oct.31, 2013: 3.4 Bcf 02-26-78-18 W6 (08-24 HZ) ARC…
Sunrise Development Economics Key Metrics 6,000 DCET Capex per well (MM) 5.2 2P Reserves per well (Bcf) 11.0 IP (1 mo) (MMcf/d) 5.3 5,000 IP (12 mo) (MMcf/d) 4.8 Half Cycle Economics (C85/bbl) 4/GJ 3/GJ 4,000 IRR (% AT) 80%…
ANTE CREEK OIL & GAS A MONTNEY SUCCESS STORY
Ante Creek Asset Details Net production (boe/d) Q4 2013 16,200 Liquids (bbls/d) 8,900 Gas (mmcf/d) 44 Production split % (liquids/gas) 45/55 Land (Montney net sections) 341 Working Interest 99% Reserves (2P mmboe) 50.9…
Ante Creek Opportunity for Down-Spacing Infill Hz drilling encountered near virgin (original) pressure implies substantial incremental reserves to be produced by the new wells Substantial Incremental Reserves from New Wells
Ante Creek Opportunity for Down-Spacing Testing 200m lateral horizontal well spacing in Montney through pilot schemes; ensuring future development extracts maximum value The down-spacing is aimed at greatly increasing the NPV of the…
Ante Creek Development Economics 400 Key Metrics DCET Capex per well (MM) 3.9 350 2P Reserves per well (Mboe) 276 IP (1 mo) (boe/d) 357 300 IP (12 mo) (boe/d) 214 Half Cycle Economics Production Rate (boe/d) (C85/bbl) 4/GJ…
Ante Creek 2014 Budget 198MM Ante Creek 2014 Operated Budgeted Volumes 2014 Budget 20,000 Capital (MM) 198 18,000 Total (boe/d) 15,630 Oil (bbls/d) 7,060 16,000 Gas (mmcf/d) 43 14,000 Liquids (bbls/d) 1,325 Wells Actual…
SUMMARY
Why Invest in ARC Long-term view and commitment to value creation Strong balance sheet Disciplined capital management Significant exposure to early stage development of world class assets Strategic optionality of high rate of return…
Looking Beyond 2015 ARC has a well balanced inventory of value creating opportunities which may be pursued beyond 2015 Option to grow at a rate estimated to be similar to growth for the period 2010 2014 140,000 Project Options 2016 -…
APPENDIX
2013 and 2014 Guidance 2013 Guidance 2013 Actual 2014 Guidance Oil (bbls/d) 32,00033,000 32,784 35,00037,000 Condensate (bbls/d) 1,9002,100 2,251 2,3002,500 Gas (mmcf/d) 345355 349.4 415425 NGLs (bbls/d) 2,8003,000 2,811 3,7004,000…
2014 Capital Budget 915 Million Significant spending on oil and liquids-rich gas and low cost, high rate of return Montney gas development 2014 Capital Budget Volumes Year Capital Average Gross Net MM (boe/d) Wells Wells…
Looking Forward to 2014 and 2015 Assuming economic conditions remain similar to the current outlook, 2014 would likely entail the following: Ante Creek Explore newly-acquired lands Continue testing 200m lateral horizontal well spacing…
Strong Performance Through Cycles Earnings and Funds from Operations (1)(2) 1,000 800 Millions 600 400 200 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Operating Income Net Income Funds from Operations (1) Amounts…
Natural Gas Commodity Marketing Ensuring Production Moves to Market Move product to the nearest and most liquid point Proactively plan for future development to ensure adequate take-away Currently Produce 360 Mmcf/d of Natural Gas
Crude Oil Marketing ARC controls the produced barrel by selling onto the feeder pipeline system or to a destination of choice for sale at a custody transfer point (Edmonton, Cromer, Hardisty) ARC is not currently a Mainline shipper
NGL Commodity Marketing Western Canadian NGL Market Propane is reliant on exports to U.S. due to limited Component Breakdown Canadian demand Butane markets well balanced due to demand from C4 C5 25% refining and crude oil blending…
Hedge Positions February 5, 2014 Summary of Hedge Positions as at February 5, 2014 (1) 2014 2015 2016 - 2017 2018 Crude Oil (2) WTI: (US/bbl) US/bbl bbl/d US/bbl bbl/d US/bbl bbl/d US/bbl bbl/d Ceiling 98.04 13,967 - - - - - -…
Socially Responsible Operator ARC strives to meet the highest standards in health, safety and environment Environmental Stewardship Health and Safety Commitment Ranked 1 in the CDPs Canadian Targets zero lost time incidents Carbon…
West Montney Asset Details Net production (boe/d)- Q4 2013 4,180 Liquids (bbls/d) 70 Gas (mmcf/d) 24.7 Land (net Montney sections) 278 Working Interest 90% Reserves (2P mmboe) 150 Liquids (mmbbls) 10 Gas (bcf) 842 Reserve…
West Montney Oil and Gas Geology 150 km (90 mi) Blueberry Attachie Septimus Sunrise Sundown 300 m (980 ft) Thick Multi-Zone Potential Across Entire Land Base
Production Outlook Managing decline…
Reserves and Resources Disclosure TPIIP, DPIIP and UPIIP have been estimated using a zero percent porosity cut-off for gas and a 3% cutoff for oil. This means that all gas bearing rock has been incorporated into the calculations.…
Definitions of Oil and Gas Reserves and Resources Reserves are estimated remaining quantities of oil and natural gas and related substances anticipated to be recoverable from known accumulations, as of a given date, based on the analysis…
Definitions of Oil and Gas Reserves and Resources Economic Contingent Resources (ECR are those contingent resources which are currently economically recoverable. Undiscovered Petroleum Initially-In-Place (UPIIP) is that quantity of…