2015 Cheniere Energy Investor / Analyst Day April 8, 2015
Welcome & Introduction Charif Souki Chairman, President, and CEO
Executing on Strategy 2020 Forecast 40.5 10% of the 6 Bcf/d total LNG market mtpa LNG by 2019/20 One of the largest One of the largest exporters of LNG on natural gas buyers in a global basis the U.S. 30B+ in U.S. 950…
Chenieres Key Businesses LNG GAS CHENIERE FUTURE PLATFORM PROCUREMENT MARKETING DEVELOPMENTS Two LNG terminals Providing feedstock LNG sales, FOB or Developing/ to be located along for LNG production DES, provided to investing in…
2014 Accomplishments Commercial Signed long-term SPAs covering 7.7mtpa of LNG volumes Aggregate volumes covered under 20-year contracts now over 28mtpa Regulatory FERC permit received for Corpus Christi Liquefaction Project EA…
2015 Goals First LNG at Sabine Pass by year-end Contract additional volumes to reach 31.8 mtpa target; 80% of capacity (28 mtpa signed to date) Reach FID and commence construction on: Corpus Christi Trains 1&2 1H 2015 Sabine Pass…
Cheniere Vision Create shareholder value, with focus on cash flow per share Diversify into new energy-related businesses through a horizontal and vertical integration strategy There are no pure-plays 6
Energy Fundamentals Outlook Anatol Feygin Senior Vice President, Strategy & Corporate Development
Durable Fundamental Trends What Hasnt Changed Global hydrocarbon demand is expected to exhibit stable growth What Has Changed Unconventional supply, driven by the U.S., transforming global balances A new hydrocarbon world order…
Global Gas and Liquids Fundamentals Overview U.S. transforming global hydrocarbon balances Global demand growth steady with no major shift in expectations Driven by Texas, Lower 48 seeing unprecedented hydrocarbon output growth…
Gas & Liquids Demand Growth Expectations Remain Steady Gas demand growth is faster than any Gas Demand Growth Per Year other hydrocarbon at +1.6% p.a. 25 = Forecast LNG demand is growing even faster 20 Oil demand growth fueled by…
Shale Revolution Reversed Trend in U.S. Gas Supply U.S. Gross Gas Production1 90 2000-2006: -3% 2007-2014 : 29% 85 80 75 70 Bcf/d 65 60 55 50 45 40 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009…
U.S. Stands Alone as Unconventional Hydrocarbon Producer Abundant Reserves Are Necessary But Insufficient For U.S.-Style Revolution Europe Argentina China United States of America 2011: 2011: 2011: 2011: At least 7 IOCs in…
And Now Shale Has Created Similar Expansion in Oil Supply Oil Supply Growth Forecasts 110 Global +6.32Mbpd 105 U.S. +4.76Mbpd Million bpd 100 95 Texas +2.68Mbpd 90 43% of global incremental 85 output 2010-14 2010 2020…
Supply Growth Affecting Global Markets by Displacing Imports Unprecedented Supply Revival Led Shift Liquids Exports Have Risen Dramatically Reached world markets first by displacing Propane imports Production swelled storage, backed…
Price Elastic U.S. Drives Cyclical Volatility North American Drillers Cut 2015 Spend By 75B Spending Reductions Felt in Rig Count Already U.S. drillers slashed capex by 56B from 2014 U.S. rig count has fallen more rapidly this cycle…
Swing Producer U.S. Reacts, Rest of the World Does Not ROW Rig Response Has Been Muted Unconventional Declines Unprecedented Ex-North America almost unfazed by bust U.S. supply expected to be quicker to react to ROW just -33 rigs…
Global Fundamentals Support Continued Growth of Exports Stable global demand growth for energy expected to continue The U.S./Texas is the low cost incremental producer Displacement of imports has largely played out We believe…
What Do These Three Have In Common Crude Oil Horses Transported by Sea for Slaughter Unprocessed Western Red Cedar All Restricted From Export In The U.S. Under Current Regulations 754 of the Bureau of Industry and…
Cheniere Optimally Positioned to Address Constraints Across the Hydrocarbon Chain Upstream logistics and hydrocarbon capture Texas Supply Midstream Pipelines Storage Sabine Pass Liquefaction Corpus Christi San…
LNG Platform Update Keith Teague Executive Vice President, Asset Group
Cheniere LNG Platform Nine Trains, 40.5 mtpa expected by 2019/20; 30 B+ in U.S. infrastructure Sabine Pass Liquefaction 6 train development 27 mtpa 3.8 Bcf/d in export capacity Trains 1-4 are under construction; First LNG in late…
Sabine Pass Liquefaction Brownfield LNG Export Project Utilizes Existing Assets, Trains 1-4 Fully Contracted, Under Construction Current Facility 1,000 acres in Cameron Parish, LA 40 ft. ship channel 3.7 miles from coast 2 berths;…
LSTK EPC Contracts with Bechtel Minimize Construction Costs and Risks Bechtel was the EPC contractor for the regasification project at the Why Bechtel Sabine Pass LNG terminal, which was constructed on time and on budget Proven…
Aerial View of SPLNG Spring 2012
Aerial View of SPL Construction March 2015 6
Project Execution Spring 2014
Project Execution Spring 2015
Project Execution Spring 2015 T1 Methane Cold Box Train 3 Train 4 T1 Ethylene Cold Box Compressor Area Train 1 Air Coolers T2 Methane Cold Box T2 Ethylene Cold Box Propane Condenser Area Train 2
SPL Construction Completion Schedules Trains 1 4 Record First LNG Egyptian LNG T1 BG DFCD Train 1 Feb 2016 First LNG GN DFCD Train 2 June 2016 KOGAS DFCD Train 3 Jun 2017 April 2017 GAIL DFCD Train 4 Mar 2018 Sept…
SPL Construction Manpower Train 1 4 Workforce peaking on site now at 4,400 Over 31 million construction man hours; 1.7 billion in construction wages 11
SPL Craft Labor Incentive 12
Sabine Pass Liquefaction Project Execution Keys to Success World class terminal site Deep channel in close proximity to the coast Sufficient acreage to satisfy siting challenges, both regulatory and physical World class contractor…
Corpus Christi Liquefaction Project Proposed 3 Train Facility HoustonNew Orleans 1,000 acres owned and/or controlled Corpus Christi 2 berths, 3 LNG storage tanks (10.1 Bcfe of storage) Gulf of Mexico Key Project Attributes 45 ft.…
Key Differences Between CCL and SPL Grassroots construction at CCL; SPL utilizes existing assets at the regasification terminal Full containment LNG storage tanks at CCL instead of single containment Dry low emissions (DLE)…
Corpus Christi Liquefaction Artists Rendition Lump Sum Turnkey contracts signed with Bechtel: Stage 1: 7.1B includes 2 Trains, 2 tanks, 1 berth Stage 2: 2.4B includes 1 Train, 1 tank, 1 berth 16
CCL EPC Contract Summary Stage 1 Stage 2 Contract Price 7.1 billion 2.4 billion Two LNG trains One LNG train Scope Two storage tanks One storage tank One marine berth One marine berth Most offsites, utilities, and supporting…
CCL Early Works Access Road Widening & Pipeline Relocation 19 19
CCL Liquefaction Area Artists Rendition 20 20
CCL Storage Area & Train 1 Artists Rendition 21
CCL Marine Area Artists Rendition 22
Cheniere LNG Platform Timeline & Milestones Target Date SPL Corpus SPL Milestone T1-2 T3-4 Christi T5-6 Initiate permitting process (FERC & DOE) T1-T2 T5 Commercial agreements T3: 2015 T6: 2015 EPC contract 2015 Financing…
Gas Procurement Corey Grindal Vice President, Supply
Agenda Review of 2014 Stated Gas Supply Guiding Principals 2015 Status of Sabine Pass Supply 2015 Status of Corpus Christi Supply Balance of Calendar 2015 and Forward Supply Strategy 2
Gas Supply Group Principals Gas procurement Cheniere to secure gas at the terminal for liquefaction How gas procurement is achieved Establish counterparty / market liquidity Capacity contracted at terminal level Redundant…
2015 Status of Sabine Pass Supply Artist rendition 4
Establish Market Liquidity NAESB Contracting Completed NAESB Contracts Production by Counterparties with Completed NAESBs Percentage of Current Production Completed Under Negotiation Bcf / Day (72.5 Bcf / Day) Top 5 Producers 5 0…
Sabine Pass Supply Counterparty Liquidity Gas procurement Cheniere to secure gas at the terminal for liquefaction How gas procurement is achieved Sabine Pass Establish counterparty / market liquidity Capacity contracted at…
Sabine Pass Supply Terminal Capacity Gas procurement Cheniere to secure gas at the terminal for liquefaction How gas procurement is achieved Sabine Pass Establish counterparty / market liquidity Capacity contracted at terminal…
Sabine Pass Liquefaction Upstream Pipeline Expansions Texas Gas Shale Plays Lebanon Texas Gas Almost 1 Bcf/d Contracted Basins Starts late 2016/ early 2017 Contracted by Utica producers SPL owns 300,000 Dth/d…
Sabine Pass Liquefaction Upstream Pipeline Expansions Columbia Gulf Shale Plays Columbia Gulf Transmission 1.2 Bcf/d Contracted from Basins Columbia Gas Transmission Starts 2017 Contracted by Marcellus/ Utica producers SPL…
Sabine Pass Liquefaction Upstream Pipeline Expansions ANR Shale Plays Lebanon ANR Pipeline 1.2 Bcf/d Contracted Basins Starts 2015/ 2016 Contracted by Marcellus/ Utica producers SPL has contracted term purchases off of…
Sabine Pass Liquefaction Upstream Pipeline Expansions Texas Eastern Shale Plays Texas Eastern Transmission 3 Expansion Projects contracted Basins Total expansion capacity to South Louisiana is 1.7 Bcf/d 1st Capacity started Nov…
Sabine Pass Supply Upstream Capacity Gas procurement Cheniere to secure gas at the terminal for liquefaction How gas procurement is achieved Sabine Pass Establish counterparty / market liquidity Capacity contracted at terminal…
Sabine Pass Liquefaction Term Gas Purchase Locations Lebanon Marcellus / Utica Woodford Fayetteville Granite Wash Shale Plays NGPL TexOk Trunkline Zone 1A Basins Permian Basin Barnett Texas Gas Zone 1 Transco…
Sabine Pass Liquefaction Term Gas Supply Deal Summary Gas Supply by Train 3,000 3,000,000 Train 1 Train 2 Train 3 Train 4 2,500 2,500,000 2,000 2,000,000 Dth/d 1,500,000 1,500 65% 50% 1,000 1,000,000 Filled…
Sabine Pass Supply Term Gas Purchases Gas procurement Cheniere to secure gas at the terminal for liquefaction How gas procurement is achieved Sabine Pass Establish counterparty / market liquidity Capacity contracted at terminal…
Sabine Pass Supply Gas Supply Personnel Have hired the full front office team to manage supply and logistics Over 19 years each of average of energy experience Trading Infrastructure Development and Analysis Fundamental Analysis…
Sabine Pass Supply Personnel Gas procurement Cheniere to secure gas at the terminal for liquefaction How gas procurement is achieved Sabine Pass Establish counterparty / market liquidity Capacity contracted at terminal level…
2015 Status of Corpus Christi Supply Artist rendition 20
Corpus Christi Counterparty Contracting Current Actions Have contracted some Texas-only producers that cant get to SPL Replicating supply strategy executed in SPL for CCL volumes Plan for 2015 After achieving FID, will start…
Corpus Christi Supply - Contracting Gas procurement Cheniere to secure gas at the terminal for liquefaction How gas procurement is achieved Sabine Pass Corpus Christi Establish counterparty / market liquidity Capacity contracted…
Corpus Christi Pipeline (CCPL) Proposed 23 Miles of 48 Pipe, 2.25 bcf/d Deliverability, 4.5 bcf/d Interconnect Capacity Capacity Interconnect Bcf/d Tennessee 1.00 Enterprise 0.50 Transco 0.50 NGPL 0.50 Sinton Compressor…
Corpus Christi Gas Supply Network Marcellus / Utica Woodford Granite Wash Haynesville Permian Barnett Shale Plays Basin Basins NGPL Tennessee Gas Eagle Ford HPL KM Tejas Corpus Christi Oasis Enterprise 24…
CCL Transportation Capacity Upstream Transportation at CCL is different than SPL Reversals of existing infrastructure more extensive in South Texas than in South Louisiana Goal for most capacity will be to reach out of the state…
CCL Transportation Capacity Connections to CCL Pipeline Transportation at CCL is different than SPL Reversals of existing infrastructure more extensive in South Texas than in South Louisiana Goal for most capacity will be to reach…
Corpus Christi Supply - Capacity Gas procurement Cheniere to secure gas at the terminal for liquefaction How gas procurement is achieved Sabine Pass Corpus Christi Establish counterparty / market liquidity Capacity contracted at…
CCL Term Gas Purchases In discussions with producers that have gas into relevant contracted capacities Working some capacity discussions along with term purchase discussions With first gas expected in 2018, goal is to have some…
Corpus Christi Supply Term Supply Gas procurement Cheniere to secure gas at the terminal for liquefaction How gas procurement is achieved Sabine Pass Corpus Christi Establish counterparty / market liquidity Capacity contracted…
Corpus Christi Supply Personnel Gas procurement Cheniere to secure gas at the terminal for liquefaction How gas procurement is achieved Sabine Pass Corpus Christi Establish counterparty / market liquidity Capacity contracted at…
Cheniere Continuing Supply Strategy Sabine Pass Currently testing Creole Trail compressor station/ reversal First test gas to terminal expected Summer 2015 Have acquired storage to balance loads/ upsets Plan to acquire short term…
Cheniere Marketing Meg Gentle Executive Vice President, Marketing
2014 Year in Review LNG market growth is constrained by supply, not by demand Net addition to installed liquefaction capacity = 15.6 mtpa 3 new liquefaction plants came on-line (Australia, Algeria, Papua New Guinea) 1 liquefaction…
Projected Future Changes in the LNG Market Steady demand growth Three large supply centers Shorter term contracting Flexibility Physical liquidity LNG market pricing Trading 3
Asia Pacific Gas Demand 2014 LNG Demand Japan Bcf/d (mtpa) 12 (88) Korea 5 (37) LNG Import Capacity 2014 = 47 Bcf/d 2025E = 70 Bcf/d China Consumption 170 Incremental 3 (20) 2014 = 66 Bcf/d LNG Need 2025E = 102 Bcf/d 2025E =…
Mexico, Central, and South America Gas Demand 2013 LNG Demand LNG Terminals (Bcf/d) Mexico Bcf/d (mtpa) Existing 0.7 (5) Under Construction Potential New Markets Planned El Salvador Panama Colombia Consumption Production 2013…
Middle East and Africa Gas Demand 2013 LNG Demand Consumption Production Bcf/d (mtpa) 2013 = 53 Bcf/d 2013 = 75 Bcf/d 2025 = 69 Bcf/d 2025 = 93 Bcf/d Kuwait 0.3 (2) LNG Import Incremental Capacity LNG Need 2013 = 1 Bcf/d 2025E…
Projected Global LNG Demand 438 mtpa by 2025 Demand forecasted to increase by 200 mtpa to 2025, a 5.7% CAGR average of 21 mtpa of new liquefaction capacity needed each year(1) Europe 30 63 89 2015 2020 2025 Asia 314 Americas…
Projected Firm Liquefaction Capacity Additions (mtpa) Nameplate Liquefaction Capacity 304 mtpa as of YE 2014 Asia Pacific 427 mtpa by YE 2020 Atlantic Basin Cove Point APLNG T2, PFLNG 1, mtpa MLNG Tiga T9 Ichthys T2, Prelude…
Need 100 mtpa of Additional Liquefaction FID which ones Project Country mtpa Targeted FID date Corpus LNG T1-3 USA 13.5 2015 Sabine T5-6 USA 9.0 2015 Freeport T3 USA 4.4 2015 Jordan Cove USA 6.0 2015 Elba Island USA 2.5 2015…
Prompt Month Brent Volatility Increased by 150% % Brent Implied Volatility 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1M 2M 3M 6M 9M 1Y 18M 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 7Y 10Y Today 6 months ago 1 year ago 2 years ago Term structures of…
HH Index + Fixed Price is less volatile than Brent index Distribution of HH Indexed LNG and Brent Indexed LNG assuming equivalent means and current implied volatility HH Index + Fixed Component Brent Index /mmBtu 6.88 8.23…
37 mtpa of Contracted LNG to Expire 2018 2020 Source: Cheniere Research estimates based on public disclosures and some assumptions on contract start and end dates. 17
Shorter Term Contracting Increasing Liquidity Before 2025, over 2/3 of LNG trade expected to be based on LT contracts mtpa 2025 Demand Forecast 438 2013 Non Long-Term LNG Trade 77 Expiring LNG Contracts 127 U.S. Supply 100…
Global Natural Gas Market Hubs Europe rapidly transitioning 95 traded hubs and transits to hub-based gas trading in the U.S. & Canada Asia NBP Henry Hub Successful trading hubs - evolved from creating liquidity and…
NOV 20 SEP 20 JUL 20 MAY 20 HH v Brent v NBP: Financial Liquidity Comparison MAR 20 JAN 20 NOV 19 SEP 19 JUL 19 Open Interest Equivalent Cargoes of 160,000 m3 MAY 19 MAR 19 JAN 19 NOV 18 NBP SEP 18 JUL 18…
Portfolio Summary (mtpa) Planned Total Portfolio, 9 Trains 40.5 Financing Strategy (Long term FOB Sales) 31.8 Sold to date 28.2 Remaining 3.6 Marketing Strategy (Delivered to Market) 8.7 Long Term 2.9 Medium Term 2.9 Short…
Financing Strategy - Long term FOB Sales (28 mtpa sold) Contracted with Sabine Pass (mtpa) Contracted with Corpus Christi (mtpa) BG 5.5 5.0 1.5 Centrica 3.5 1.75 Total 2.0 3.5 EDF 2.25 0.77 0.77 0.76 3.5 383 EDP Gas…
Cheniere Marketing: Building a Portfolio Up to 9 mtpa to be delivered to market plus additional positions & assets Call options at Henry Hub Index to begin in 2016 5 year time charters on 3 LNG vessels to begin in 2015 and 2016…
Annual Gross Profit from 2 mtpa Volumes LNG Loaded Sabine Pass (Tbtu) 104 Assumptions LNG Delivered DES (Tbtu) 98 5 Henry Hub Price Cash Flows 15 LNG sales price, delivered at terminal Sales Total Revenue (MM) 1,466 6% loss of…
Price Sensitivities MM Gross Profit at Varying Prices Observations LNG Sales Price, /MMBtu The intrinsic value of 104 8.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 million MMBtu of LNG from 2.00 382 577 1,066 1,555 Sabine Pass is 700 million Henry Hub…