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RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Marathon Petroleum Corporation · Jun 2, 2015 · 69 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 1
    RBC Capital Markets Global Energy & Power Executive Conference Presenter: Tim Griffith, Sr. Vice President and CFO June 2, 2015
  2. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 2
    Highlights Reported record first-quarter earnings of 891 million Converted approximately 500 of the 1,245 retail sites to the Speedway brand since acquisition Authorized the sale of MPCs marine assets to MPLX Returned 345 million of…
  3. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 3
    Current Trends Positive domestic outlook Sustainable U.S. refining advantages U.S. product exports growth MPC performs well in volatile market conditions Significant infrastructure investments in U.S. 4
  4. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 4
    U.S. Refined Product Demand Compounded Annual 10 Growth Rates 9 Actual Forecast 2020 vs. 2014 Distillate demand -0.3% 8 Gasoline growth outpaces other -0.5% 7 Gasoline ex ethanol products 6 Gasoline will be MMBD 5…
  5. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 5
    Sustaining U.S. Refining Advantage 20 International Fuel Cost Comparison 15 /MMBtu 10 5 0 Henry Hub (NYMEX prompt price) European Natural Gas (Avg Import Border Price)* Japanese Liquefied Natural Gas (Import Price)*…
  6. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 6
    U.S. Gross Refined Product Exports Increasing 4.0 3.5 Gasolines 3.0 Kero-Jet Diesels 2.5 MMBD Product Exports 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration 7
  7. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 7
    MPCs Value of Integration Crude RIN 2,800 Price Distortion Decline 2,600 2,400 Flexible refining system 2,200 2,000 Large retail MM presence 1,800 1,600 Extensive logistics with considerable 1,400 optionality…
  8. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 8
    Our Priorities for Our Investors Maintain top-tier safety and Share Price 110 environmental performance 100 Sustain our focus on 90 shareholder returns 80 70 Balance capital returns with 60 value-enhancing Spin- off investments…
  9. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 9
    MPC Delivering Peer Leading Return of Capital Twelve months ended March 31, 2015 12.0% 10.7% 10.0% 9.2% 8.2% 8.0% 1.8% 7.6% 6.8% 6.0% 8.6% 4.5% 6.6% 5.2% 4.0% 4.8% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 2.4% 1.6% 2.0% 0.0% MPC HFC TSO PSX VLO…
  10. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 10
    2015 Capital Investment Plan 2.5 B Corporate & Other Speedway 18% 5% Refining Refining & Marketing 1,276 MM Sustaining Capital Includes 234 MM for 27% midstream investments Speedway 452 MM 35% Pipeline Transportation 659 MM…
  11. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 11
    Substantial Acceleration of MPLX Adjusted EBITDA Attributable to MPLX 500 450 Evolve MPLX into large-cap, diversified logistics MLP 400 450 MM of run-rate Adjusted EBITDA by 300 257 end of 2015 MM 200 Annual LP…
  12. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 12
    Marine Business Overview Fully-Integrated Marine Transportation and Service Provider Marine Transportation Premier inland service provider with best-in-class assets 18 towboats and 203 tank barges moving light products, heavy oils,…
  13. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 13
    Substantial Acceleration of MPLX Growth Rapidly changing midstream Total Distributions to MPC business environment creates 600 557 multiple opportunities where size 500 matters 389 400 GP Distributions* Hess retail acquisition…
  14. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 14
    Investing in Significant Midstream Growth Projects Youngstown Sandpiper Canton Pa. Canadian MPC Investment: 1.0 B - 1.2 B Midland MPC Equity: 27% - 30% Wellsville 2017 completion Bakken M3, Leesville Steubenville M3, Scio Ohio…
  15. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 15
    Conversion Plans for Former Hess Stores 2014-2017 Conversion to Speedway: 181 MM 500 Stores Remodel Capital: 240 MM by Dec. 2015 495 Stores by Dec. 2016 250 Stores completed by March 2015 16
  16. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 16
    Growing Speedway 800 Segment EBITDA* 696 600 143 MM 400 553 424 487 200 404 381 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Legacy Speedway Hess *Non-GAAP disclosure, see appendix for reconciliation to Speedway segment income from…
  17. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 17
    Refinery Margin-Enhancing Projects 835 MM capital investments, generating 650 MM annual EBITDA Increasing Light Sweet Crude and Condensate Capacity Condensate splitters at Canton and Catlettsburg refineries (+60 MBD) Light crude…
  18. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 18
    Galveston Bay Driving Value Integration with Texas City refinery Revamp crude and vacuum units Optimize for future crude availability Improve distillate recovery Add hydrotreating capacity Move to 100% ULSD Idle the smallest and…
  19. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 19
    2015 Value Drivers Top-tier safety and environmental performance Accelerate growth of Midstream/MPLX Capital return to shareholders Strong and growing dividend Share repurchase program Speedway Hess integration Increasing light…
  20. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 20
    Appendix 21
  21. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 21
    Fully Integrated Downstream System Refining and Marketing Seven-plant refining system with 1.7 MMBPCD capacity One biodiesel facility and interest in three ethanol facilities One of the largest wholesale suppliers in our market area…
  22. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 22
    Performing Consistently in the Top Tier Engine behind MPCs focus on capital returns Operating Income Per Barrel of Crude Throughput** 20 MPCs Rank 15 Competitor Range 1 2 10 2 2 /BBL 5 1 2 3 5 1 3 2 7 3 3 3 1 3 2 0…
  23. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 23
    Grow Higher Valued and Stable Cash-Flow Businesses Historical Mid-Cycle EBITDA* Future Mid-Cycle EBITDA Midstream Pipeline Transportation Speedway Speedway A More Diversified Portfolio R&M R&M *2007-2014 average. Non-GAAP…
  24. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 24
    Leveraging Existing Capacity to Run Light Sweet Crude 30 Reforming Capacity % of Crude Capacity 25 44% sweet crude oil throughput in 1Q 2015 20 Industry versus 68% sweet crude oil capacity Average 15 Reformer capacity captures…
  25. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 25
    Increasing Light Sweet Crude and Condensate Capacity Condensate splitters Condensate Processing Opportunity Canton: 25 MBD Light Naphtha to Gasoline Blending Completed 4Q 2014 Ultra-Sweet New Heavy Naphtha to Reforming…
  26. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 26
    Rising MPC Finished Product Exports 300 250 200 MBD 150 100 50 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1Q 2015 27
  27. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 27
    Growing Gulf Coast Export Capabilities Export investments totaling 120 MM Added new 500,000 barrel export tank Export Capacity 600 at Garyville in 2013 510 500 Galveston Bay in 2015 395 +30 MBD ULSD 400 345 320 MBD 40% ROI…
  28. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 28
    Capitalizing on Global Growth in Diesel Demand Distillate Production 700 600 Garyville +35 MBD ULSD in 2014-2016 MBD 500 232 MM investment 400 45% ROI 300 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E Galveston Bay +9 MBD ULSD in 2015…
  29. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 29
    MPCs Currently Identified Eligible MLP EBITDA Sources of 1.6 B Retained by MPC 5,400 miles of additional crude and products pipelines Owns, leases or has an ownership interest in these pipelines Pipelines 0.5% of MPLX Pipe Line…
  30. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 30
    MPLX/MPC Utica Build-Out Connectivity 31
  31. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 31
    MPLX Developing a Comprehensive Utica System Cornerstone Pipeline and Additional Opportunities Industry solution, 16-inch pipeline connecting Utica Shale region to East Sparta, Ohio, tank farm 250 MM capital investment Includes tank…
  32. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 32
    MPLX Distributions and Sales Proceeds to MPC* 30 25 24.1 19.7 20.7 20 17.5 18.5 MM 15.8 16.6 15.1 15 9.8 10 5 0 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 LP Distributions GP Distributions, including IDRs (MM) 2013…
  33. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 33
    Focused Return of Capital to Shareholders LTM Ended 3/31/15 8,000 7,000 6,000 2,772 Hess Retail Acquisition 5,000 Dividends and share MM repurchases 1.6x of 4,000 Dividends and share Adj. Free Cash Flow*** repurchases*…
  34. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 34
    Sustaining Capital Returns Since Spin Cumulative Return of Capital Since July 1, 2011 10,000 8.2 B 8,000 6,000 MM 4,000 2,000 0 Dividends Share repurchases 35
  35. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 35
    Generating Significant Cash Flow Through All Cycles Pro forma EBITDA adjusted for current configuration Pro forma EBITDA 8,000 6,000 MM 4,000 2,000 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2009 thru 2014 Mid- Pipeline…
  36. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 36
    Sustaining Core Liquidity Needs Minimum cash balance of 500 MM - 1.0 B Requirements Ongoing Operating Cash-Flow Requirements Maintenance/Sustaining Capital Interest Payments Dividend Payments Contingent Calls on Corporate Liquidity -…
  37. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 37
    Growing Global Product Demand Compounded Annual 120 Growth Rates Actual Forecast 2030 vs. 2014 100 +1.2% Other Distillate and gasoline 80 Other -1.1% Fuel Oil demand continues to Fuel Oil rise MMBD 60 Distillate…
  38. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 38
    Rising North American Crude & NGLs Production 25 2014 Actual Forecast 20 Canada 15 MMBD 10 5 U.S. 0 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Sources: EIA, CAPP, MPC 39
  39. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 39
    Growing Crude Oil Supply 1,800 2014 5,000 2014 150 2014 1,500 North Dakota Texas 125 Ohio 4,000 1,200 100 3,000 MBD MBD MBD 900 75 2,000 600 50 300 1,000 25 Actual Forecast Actual Forecast Actual Forecast 0 0 0…
  40. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 40
    Refining Capacity in Advantaged Regions 100% in PADDs II and III Canadian Bakken 100% Utica 80% PADD IV PADD II 60% PADD V 40% PADD I 20% 0% PADD III MPC VLO HFC PSX TSO PADD II PADD III PADD I PADD IV PADD V Permian Basin…
  41. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 41
    Refinery Capacity BPCD NCI* Garyville 522,000 11.4 Galveston Bay 451,000 13.3 Catlettsburg 242,000 10.2 Robinson 212,000 10.1 Detroit 130,000 9.8 Canton 90,000 8.0 Texas City 84,000 8.0 Total 1,731,000 11.1** The Nelson…
  42. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 42
    Balance in Refining Network Canton (Ohio) 90,000 Catlettsburg (Ky.) 242,000 Midwest Capacity Detroit (Mich.) 130,000 674,000 BPCD Robinson (Ill.) 212,000 Galveston Bay 451,000 (Texas) Texas City (Texas) 84,000 Garyville (La.)…
  43. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 43
    U.S./Canada Key Existing and Planned Pipelines In Service MBPD Pipeline Date 300 Line 9 Reversal 2015 300 SAX 2015 200 Diamond 2016 450 Dakota Access 2016 450 ETCO 2016 (Trunkline Conversion) 225-375 Sandpiper 2017 300…
  44. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 44
    Key Strengths Balanced Operations Crude Oil Refining Capacity Crude Slate 61% PADD II 56% Sour Crude PADD III 44% Sweet Crude 39% As of March 31, 2015 1Q 2015 Assured Sales of Gasoline Production (Speedway + Brand +…
  45. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 45
    /BBL 100 40 50 60 70 80 90 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 Prompt 3Q15 4Q15 WTI 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 Sources: CME, ICE, futures as of May 26, 2015 1Q17 Forward Curves 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 /BBL 3 4 5 6 7…
  46. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 46
    Compelling Advantage for Pipeline and Marine All costs shown as /BBL Pipeline costs exclude any storage or transfer fees and line loss Sources: MPC, publicly available information 47
  47. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 47
    Creating Crude/Condensate Advantage Source: MPC 48
  48. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 48
    Speedway Value Total Gross Margin Mix 2011-2014 Average Top-tier performance in the convenience store industry Light Scalable technology and Product organizational infrastructure 37% Merchandise Disciplined expense control 63%…
  49. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 49
    Acquisition of Hess Retail Transaction Overview Hess retail acquisition included: 1,245 company operated locations Transport fleet with capacity to transport 1 B gal/yr. Pipeline shipper history in various pipelines, including 40…
  50. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 50
    Transformative Transaction for MPC and Speedway Accelerates strategy to grow higher valued and stable cash-flow businesses Provides larger integrated platform for growth in new markets Meaningfully expands scale and provides…
  51. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 51
    Enhances Strategic Value for Integrated System Refined Product Placement Opportunities Incremental 200 MBPD of refined products placement capacity, increases assured gasoline Incremental supply of MPC Gulf Coast refined products to…
  52. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 52
    Synergies and Marketing Enhancements Will Drive Value 400 Earnings Opportunities 70 300 45 Operating and G&A expense MM 40 200 35 365 100 175 synergies of 75 MM 0 2013 Pro Forma Hess Form 10 WilcoHess Operating and G&A…
  53. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 53
    Focus on Improving Light Product Breakeven 13 12.39 11 Each 1.00 cent per gallon improvement Light Product Breakeven (cpg) 9 = 30 MM annual pretax earnings Total Expenses 7 7.13 LPBE = Merchandise Margin Light Product…
  54. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 54
    Speedway and Hess Side-by-Side Comparison Hessa Speedwayb Company Operated Sites 1,255 1,478 Fuel Sales Speedway generates an incremental 198,500 177,400 (gallons/store/month) 17,300 of merchandise margin per Fuel Margin 0.137…
  55. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 55
    Renewable Fuels Corn Ethanol Plants 67% equity interest* in Greenville, Ohio 110 MM gallon/year capacity 60% equity interest in Clymers, Indiana 110 MM gallon/year capacity 43% equity interest in Albion, Michigan 55 MM gallon/year…
  56. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 56
    Allocating Capital to Higher Valued Businesses 2012 2015 Capital Investment Profile 3,000 2,500 2,000 MM 1,500 1,000 500 0 2012 2013 2014 2015E Refining & Marketing, excluding Midstream Midstream Pipeline…
  57. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 57
    2015 Significant Capital Projects 2015 Capital Budget - 2.5B Refining & Marketing margin-enhancing projects Corporate Increase light crude capacity at Robinson Speedway & Other Distillate growth at Garyville, Galveston Bay and…
  58. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 58
    Capital Expenditures & Investments (MM) MPC 2015 Budget 1Q 2015 Refining & Marketing (R&M) 1,042 182 Midstream included in R&M 234 47 Speedway 452 45 Pipeline Transportation* 659 81 Corporate and Other 140 21 Total Capital…
  59. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 59
    Annual Price and Margin Sensitivities MM (After Tax) LLS 6-3-2-1 Crack Spread* Sensitivity 450 (per 1.00/barrel change) Sweet/Sour Differential** Sensitivity 200 (per 1.00/barrel change) LLS-WTI Spread*** Sensitivity 100 (per…
  60. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 60
    MPLXs Priorities for Investors Maintain Safe and Reliable 90 Operations 80 Sustain Long-term Unit Price Distribution Growth; Mid 20% for 70 the Next Five Years 60 Focus on Fee-Based Businesses 50 40 IPO Pursue Organic Growth…
  61. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 61
    MPLX and MPC are Aligned MPLX Organizational Structure Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Affiliates MPC views MPLX as integral to its (NYSE: MPC) operations and is aligned with its 100.0% ownership 69.5% Public success and…
  62. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 62
    MPLX Deficiency Payment Effect Example For illustrative purposes only Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter (MM) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Quarterly deficiency payment 2 5 3 5 - - - Use or expiration of credit (on or…
  63. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 63
    Incentive Distribution Rights 1Q 2015 distribution of 0.4100/unit is in top tier of IDRs 64
  64. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 64
    2Q 2015 Outlook Other Total Corporate Turnaround Depreciation Other Crude Charge/ Total Percent of WTI- Direct and Other and Major and Manufacturing Throughput* Feedstocks Throughput* priced Crude Operating Unallocated Maintenance…
  65. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 65
    MPLX Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation from Net Income 1Q 2015 Dec. 2015 (MM) 2013 2014 Annualized Annualized Net income 146 178 184 305 Less: Net income attributable to MPC- 68 57 1 1 retainretained interest Net income attributable…
  66. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 66
    EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income Attributable to MPC 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (MM) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q Net income attributable to MPC 2,262 1,215 449 623 2,389 3,389 725 593 168 626 199 855 672 798 891…
  67. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 67
    Reconciliation Adjusted Free Cash Flow to Net Cash Provided by Operations (MM) 2014 2015 (For the Quarter) 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q Net cash provided by operating activities 878 1,078 388 1,190 Additions to property, plant and equipment (302)…
  68. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 68
    EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income for Hess (MM) 2013* 2017E Net Income 47 138 Less: Net interest and other financial income (costs) (12) - Add: Provision for income taxes 22 78 Add: Depreciation and amortization 94 149 EBITDA…
  69. RBC Global Energy & Power Executive Conference – Marathon Petroleum Corporation – slide 69
    Market Indicators Used in Project EBITDA Calculations 2015-2019 ULSD (USGC; /BBL) 121.80-128.98 Sour Gas Oil (/BBL) 118.41 Sweet Gas Oil (/BBL) 121.35 WTI 3:2:1 Crack Spread (/BBL) 13.81 70

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