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BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd.

Arc Resources Ltd. · Nov 13, 2014 · 42 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 1
    November 13, 2014
  2. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 2
    Corporate Profile Corporate Summary Production (Q3 2014) 115,530 boe/d Reserves (2P Gross YE 2013) (1) 634 mmboe Reserve Life Index (2P) (1) 15.5 years (2) Annualized Dividend / Dividend Yield 1.20 per share / 4.5% (3) Annualized…
  3. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 3
    Q3 2014 Operational and Financial Performance Production /Share up 20% - Funds from Ops/Share up 25% compared to Q3 13 Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 (CDN millions, except per share and per boe amounts)…
  4. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 4
    Unique Strategy Risk Managed Value Creation is Central to ARCs Strategy Targeting net debt to 200% Reserve funds from operations Replacement through the between 1.0 1.5x drill bit for the past 6 consecutive years One of the longest RLI…
  5. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 5
    Risk Managed Value Creation 15% Compound Annual Production Growth Since Inception boe/d Forecast
  6. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 6
    Operational Excellence Capital Efficiencies Managing Declines and Driving Down Costs (1) 2013 Costs include Infrastructure spending, related production did not come on-stream until 2014 (2) Source: Scotiabank GBM Statsbook May 2014…
  7. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 7
    Operational Excellence Cost Management Lowering Costs = Increasing Profitability (1) F&D Costs including change in future development capital. (2) Netback before hedging.
  8. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 8
    Growth in Per Share Production and Cash Flow Delivering Value with Profitable Growth and Income 38% increase in production per share and 69% increase in Funds from Operations per share over five year period since Q3 2009 (1) Boe/d per…
  9. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 9
    Financial Flexibility Balance Sheet Strength Targeting net debt to funds from operations between 1.0 1.5x (1) Q3 2014 Net Debt to FFO was calculated based on annualized Q3 2014 Funds from Operations and net debt at September 30, 2014.…
  10. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 10
    Sustainable Dividend Committed to the Dividend While Delivering Profitable Growth 17% annualized total return since inception, 5.2 billion of dividends (30.78/share)
  11. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 11
    Operations Overview Western Canadian Producer Strategic Optionality
  12. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 12
    Montney Growth Assets 970 Net Montney Sections in 2014 BC AB Blueberry Red Creek Attachie Tower Parkland Septimus Pouce Sunset Coupe Sunrise Dawson Sundown 500 km Ante Creek File: ARC WI NEBC and NAB.MAP Datum: NAD27 Projection:…
  13. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 13
    Why the Montney Recoverable Resource exceeds equivalent of 3 Haynesville Shales or 6 Barnett Shales Massive thickness Superior Lithology and Fracability High permeability Higher recovery factors Reservoir Attribute Montney…
  14. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 14
    Montney Benchmarking 3rd Largest Montney Landholder With Over 970 Net Sections Top Montney Acreage Holder (1) 70% of ARCs Montney land is undeveloped, providing a significant future opportunity Source: RBC Energy Insights: The Montney…
  15. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 15
    Montney Benchmarking Positioned in the Best Areas of the Montney Low Cost and High IRRs Natural Gas Supply Cost (/mcf) Montney (2) Before Tax IRR % Montney (1) Source: RBC Energy Insights: The Montney Tracking an Elephant August 12,…
  16. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 16
    Montney Infrastructure Optionality Well Positioned For Market Access Area is currently well served with three major pipelines providing access to North American Markets: TransCanada Canada & US ARC Lands Alliance Chicago Spectra -…
  17. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 17
    ARC in the Montney Montney ARCs Growth Engine
  18. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 18
    NEBC Montney Reserves & Resources NEBC Montney TPIIP 55 Tcf of Gas and 2.2 Billion Barrels of Oil* Corporate 2P Reserves of 634 mmboe OIL RESERVES 11.3 mmbbls 2.2 Tcf NGL 27.6 mmbbls OIL ECONOMIC CONTINGENT RESOURCE 10.7 mmbbls 4.5…
  19. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 19
    Multiple Layers to Develop Attachie Septimus Sunrise Tower Parkland Dawson Pouce Coupe Montney A Upper Montney Montney B Montney C Lower Montney Montney D Montney E Attachie Tower Parkland Existing Horizontal Wells, Development…
  20. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 20
    Montney Pilots Proving Up Future Value before Full Scale Development West Attachie: Pilot Production on-stream since Parkland: Q2 2014 Red Creek Lower Montney well on-stream Q3 Attachie 2014 East Attachie: Pouce Coupe: Monitoring Pilot…
  21. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 21
    Montney Development Economics Strong Rates of Return Across the Montney Portfolio Half Cycle Economics Cdn85/bbl Oil and Cdn4/GJ Gas Parkland Tower Dawson Sunrise Ante Creek 70% IRR 50% IRR 110% IRR 75% IRR 40% IRR 5.0x Recycle 4.3x…
  22. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 22
    ARCs Proven Development Model Inventory of Opportunities at all Stages FULL CYCLE GROWTH AND INCOME PROVIDER Dawson, Pembina, SE Sask/Manitoba, Redwater OPTIMIZE COMMERCIALITY Ante Creek, Parkland/Tower EXPANSION REPEAT DECISION…
  23. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 23
    Dawson Asset Details Excellent Free Cash Flow Net production (boe/d) Q3 2014 28,000 ARC 13-7 Proposed Gas Plant (90 mmcfd & 7,500 Liquids (bbls/d) 920 bbls/d liquids) Gas (mmcf/d) 162 ARC 1-34 Production split % (liquids/gas) 97%…
  24. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 24
    Dawson A Cash Flow Machine Low Reinvestment Ratio to Maintain Significant Free Cash Flow Grown production from approximately 50 Mmcfe/d in 2009 to 165 Mmcfe/d by mid 2012 At Cdn3 gas 30% Reinvestment Ratio to sustain Cash Flow and…
  25. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 25
    Operational Excellence - Dawson Continual Learning in Frac Design = Lower Costs + Improved Economics Frac Design 100T Slickwater Fracs with Open Hole Packers/Ball Drop system Increased frac intensity planned with 840lbs/ft (1.25 T/m)…
  26. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 26
    Dawson Development Economics 110% Rate of Return at Flat 4/GJ AECO and C85/bbl Key Metrics DCET Capex per well (MM) 5.5 2P Reserves per well (Bcf) 7.4 IP (1 mo) (MMcf/d) 6.2 IP (12 mo) (MMcf/d) 5.4 Half Cycle Economics (Cdn85bbl) C4/GJ…
  27. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 27
    Parkland/Tower Asset Details Material Value Creation in 2014 Parkland Tower Net production (boe/d) 18,200 6,880 Q3 2014 Liquids (bbls/d) 3,700 4,940 Gas (mmcf/d) 87 11.6 Land (net sections) 23 57 Working Interest 84% 92% Reserves (2P…
  28. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 28
    Operational Excellence - Tower Optimal Frac Design and Significant Efficiency Gains in Tight Oil Play Frac Design 45T Dual Cluster Slickwater Fracs with Plug and Perf Dual clusters and high frac intensity of 1210lbs/ft (1.8 T/m) of…
  29. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 29
    Tower Development Economics 50% Rate of Return at Flat 4/GJ AECO and C85/bbl Key Metrics DCET Capex per well (MM) 6.5 2P Reserves per well (Mboe) 600 IP (1 mo) (boe/d) 1000 IP (12 mo) (boe/d) 400 Half Cycle Economics (C3/GJ) Cdn95/bbl…
  30. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 30
    Tower - 2014 and Beyond Strong 2014 Results = Accelerated 2015 Development Tower oil is 50 degree API; realized condensate pricing New well initial production often constrained due to infrastructure and operation constraints. 9 wells…
  31. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 31
    Tower Dual-Layer Upper Montney Development Parkland and Tower have Similar Geology Upper Montney Lower Montney
  32. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 32
    Sunrise/Sunset Asset Details Sunrise/Sunset Moving Forward with Full Scale Development Sunrise has progressed from pilot to full scale development Net production (boe/d) Q3 2014 7,050 Liquids (bbls/d) 0 Gas (mmcf/d) 42.3 Land (net…
  33. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 33
    Sunrise Development Planning Multiple Zones with Economies of Scale Sunrise Development Sunrise Type Well Proposal Montney A Montney B Montney C Montney D Existing Horizontal Wells Montney E Potential Horizontal Wells
  34. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 34
    Sunrise Outperforming Expectations 2014 Drilling Results Prove up Four Layer Development Model C02-25Hz (MTYD): 2010 Completion - 130m interfrac spacing -- proposing reducing interfrac spacing going forward
  35. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 35
    Sunrise Development Economics 75% Rate of Return Flat at 4/GJ AECO and C85/bbl Key Metrics DCET Capex per well (MM) 6.0 2P Reserves per well (Bcf) 11.5 IP (1 mo) (MMcf/d) 6.2 IP (12 mo) (MMcf/d) 5.4 Half Cycle Economics (Cdn85bbl)…
  36. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 36
    Looking Beyond 2016 Diverse Portfolio Provides Strategic Optionality ARC has a well balanced inventory of value creating opportunities which may be pursued beyond 2016 Project Options 2016 - 2020+ Dawson Phase 3 Pouce Commercialization…
  37. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 37
    Strong Performance Through Cycles Positive Earnings Through Commodity Price Cycles (1) Amounts presented for the periods 2010-2014 are in accordance with IFRS and amounts presented for periods 2007-2009 are in accordance with Canadian…
  38. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 38
    Multiple Sources of Debt Significant Available Credit Capacity of 1.1 Billion Bank Credit Facility 1 Billion credit facility plus 40 million working capital facility 12 banks including the five largest Canadian banks Long-term notes…
  39. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 39
    Note Repayments Spread Over Time Debt Repayment Schedule Reduces Financing Risk Long-term notes structured to mature over a number of years Repayment will come from existing credit facilities * Assumes USDCAD of 1.1208
  40. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 40
    Hedge Positions November 5, 2014 Summary of Hedge Positions as at November 5, 2014 (1) Remainder of 2014 2015 2016 - 2017 2018 2019 Crude Oil (2) WTI: (US/bbl) US/bbl bbl/d US/bbl bbl/d US/bbl bbl/d US/bbl bbl/d US/bbl bbl/d Ceiling…
  41. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 41
    2014 and 2015 Guidance 2014 YTD 2014 Guidance Actuals 2015 Guidance Oil (bbls/d) 35,000 - 37,000 36,216 37,000 - 39,000 Condensate (bbls/d) 3,500 - 3,800 3,741 3,80 - 4,300 Gas (mmcf/d) 405 - 415 397.3 445 - 460 NGLs (bbls/d) 4,200 -…
  42. BAML GLOBAL ENERGY CONFERENCE – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 42
    Key Reserve Information 17% Compound Annual Growth Since Inception Reserves as of December 31, 2013 (mmboe) - Proved Producing 208 (101 mmboe liquids, 644 bcf gas) - Total Proved 374 (132 mmbbls liquids, 1.5 Tcf gas) - Proved Plus…

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