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Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation

Tesoro Corporation · Sep 1, 2013 · 29 slides

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Slides

  1. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 1
    Barclays CEO Energy-Power Conference Greg Goff President and CEO September 2013
  2. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 2
    Tesoro Today Positioned in the western United States Six refineries 845,000 barrels per day capacity Over 2,200 retail stations branded Kenai, AK (72 mbpd) Tesoro, ARCO, Shell and USA Anacortes, WA (120 mbpd) Gasoline Mandan, ND…
  3. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 3
    Key Messages Delivering key strategic initiatives and driving significant shareholder value Strengthening our West Coast business Advantaged position in the Mid-Continent Driving feedstock advantage to PADD5 refineries Tesoro…
  4. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 4
    Strategic Priorities Operational efficiency and effectiveness Safety and reliability System improvements Cost leadership Commercial excellence Financial discipline Value-driven growth High-performing culture 5
  5. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 5
    Operational Efficiency & Effectiveness Large Capital Program Bakken Crude Oil Supply to Anacortes Capital: 60 million Annual EBITDA: 160-180 million Project IRR: 220% Mandan Refinery Expansion Completed in September 2012 Capital:…
  6. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 6
    High-Return Capital Investments 1,2 1,2 Income Capital Spend Cumulative EBITDA in millions in millions 640-650 290 570-580 510-520 245 200 293 65 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E Shorter-term spending…
  7. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 7
    Commercial Excellence Tesoro West Coast Crude Cost Advantage State of Washington Crude Oil Source 19% Bakken Differential 40-50% 2010 2011 2012 1H 2013 26% to ANS 0-10% Foreign Canadian (3.35) (12.85) (24.35) (17.95) Light…
  8. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 8
    Commercial Excellence Tesoro Mid-Continent Crude Cost Advantage Canadian Crude Oil Production mbpd 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 2012 2013E 2015E 2020E Mandan, ND Refinery Domestic Crude Oil Throughput: 100% Uinta Crude Oil Production…
  9. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 9
    Commercial Excellence Rail Cost from the Bakken1 Bakken Bakken Crude Oil Supply /Demand2 (mbpd, /bbl) 2012 2013E 2014E Crude Oil Production 666 820 920 Pipeline Export Capacity 465 635 685 Rail Export Capacity 660 865…
  10. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 10
    Port of Vancouver, WA 50/50 joint venture with Savage Own and operate a unit train unloading and marine loading facility Initial capacity of 120 mbpd, near-term expansion capability to over 280 mbpd Total JV cost of 75 to 100…
  11. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 11
    Carson Acquisition Increases clean product yields Enhances gasoline to diesel production flexibility Lowers manufacturing costs Reduces stationary source air emissions Expands advantaged feedstock supply opportunities Reduces…
  12. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 12
    Carson Synergy Overview Synergy EBITDA Synergy Capital millions millions 250 145 215 - 235 165 - 185 100 - 120 60 35 35 25 - 35 (10) 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E Synergies Capital…
  13. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 13
    California Regulatory Environment AB32 regulations Lower Stationary source air emissions Gasoline to Distillate Ratio More reductions Competitive Low carbon fuel standard Fuels under the cap Impact of AB32 regulations…
  14. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 14
    Success of Tesoro Logistics Quarterly Cash Distributions Over 20% CAGR in cash distributions per unit 0.46 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.41 0.36 0.38 Delivery on organic growth plan 0.34 0.35 Four asset purchases from Tesoro since initial…
  15. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 15
    Chevron Northwest Products System Northwest Products System 760 mile FERC regulated pipeline Five-mile jet fuel pipeline to SLC airport Pasco Refined product terminals in Boise, Pocatello, and Pasco Boise 1.3 million barrels…
  16. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 16
    TLLP and Carson Logistics Marine and Storage Terminals and Pipelines Two marine terminals; 400 mbpd of crude oil and product throughput VLCC capable dock Over 7 mmbbls feedstock and product storage 114 miles of active pipelines…
  17. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 17
    Value-Driven Growth Tesoro Benefits From TLLPs Growth TLLP EBITDA Expectations Implied TLLP Enterprise Value1 in millions in billions 260 - 285 4.0 - 4.3 Public Equity and Debt Tesoro Equity (per TSO share) 170 - 175 2.7 -…
  18. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 18
    Financial Priorities Maintain minimum cash balance of 600 to 750 million Solid Operating Results Target debt to capitalization ratio below 30% Strategic Strong Cash Growth Return Excess Flows Invest in high-return capital…
  19. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 19
    Capital Spending 1 2 Tesoro Capital Spending TLLP Capital Spending in millions in millions 580 575 565 521 110 105 75 38 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E Regulatory Maintenance Income Carson Income…
  20. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 20
    Turnaround Spending in millions 400 Legacy Tesoro Carson 275 261 210 140 109 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2013 completes peak in turnaround cycle, lower spending going forward 21
  21. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 21
    Delivering Free Cash Flow Based on consensus estimates and Free Cash Flow 1-4 transaction cash flows: in billions Expected to generate about 3.0 1.1 1.1 billion over three years 0.8 Plan to spend over 400 million in income…
  22. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 22
    Appendix
  23. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 23
    Mandan Refinery Expansion Expanded capacity from 58 to 68 mbpd Total cost of 35 million Annual EBITDA contribution 45-55 million* Completed in June 2012 Supports growth of Tesoro Logistics Increases throughput of advantaged…
  24. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 24
    Bakken Crude Oil Supply to Anacortes Permitted to unload 50 mbpd, 40% of refining capacity Supplements cost-advantaged Canadian crude oil Annual EBITDA contribution - 160-180 million* Delivered in September 2012 Sold to TLLP for…
  25. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 25
    Wilmington Yield Improvement Vacuum distillation unit replacement Product yield upgrade from petroleum coke to clean products Total cost of 40 million Annual EBITDA contribution 20-25 million* Completed in November 2012 New…
  26. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 26
    Mandan DDU Expansion Expand diesel desulfurization unit (DDU) capacity from 17 to 22 mbpd Increase diesel fuel yield at Mandan Total cost of 35 million Annual EBITDA contribution 10-12 million* Completed in June 2013 Optimize…
  27. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 27
    Salt Lake City Conversion Project Improve yields of gasoline and diesel Increase throughput capacity by 4 mbpd 100% increase of advantaged waxy crude oil throughput up to 22 mbpd Total cost of 275 million Annual EBITDA…
  28. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 28
    Non-GAAP Financial Measures EBITDA represents earnings before interest and financing costs, net, interest income, income taxes, and depreciation and amortization expense. We present EBITDA because we believe some investors and analysts…
  29. Barclays CEO Energy Power Conference – Tesoro Corporation – slide 29
    Non-GAAP Financial Measures (In millions) Unaudited Projected TLLP Annual EBITDA (2) Current Post Chevron Post Carson IPO Run Rate Acquisition Logistics Projected net earnings 42 101 104 124 Add depreciation and amortization…

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