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July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd.

Arc Resources Ltd. · Jul 1, 2014 · 85 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 1
    July 2014
  2. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 2
    Corporate Profile Corporate Summary Production (Q1 2014) 105,700 boe/d Reserves (2P Gross YE 2013) (1) 634 mmboe Reserve Life Index (2P) (1) 15.5 years (2) Annualized Dividend / Dividend Yield 1.20 per share / 3.7% (3) Annualized…
  3. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 3
    Unique Strategy Targeting net debt to 200% Reserve funds from operations Replacement through between 1.0 1.5x the drill bit for the past Active Hedging 6 consecutive years Program Capital Discipline and Pace of Development…
  4. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 4
    Operations Overview Production (Q1 2014) 105,700 boe/d 2P Reserves (YE 2013) 634 Mmboe Western Canadian Producer
  5. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 5
    Sustainable Dividend Key component of strategy Supported by active hedging and balance sheet strength Cumulative Dividends and Historic Payout Ratio Committed to the Dividend While Delivering Profitable Growth
  6. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 6
    Risk Managed Value Creation Production Profile boe/d Forecast Strategic Optionality
  7. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 7
    Delivering Income and Growth Delivered 19% annualized total return since inception Paid out greater than 5 billion in total dividends to date - 30.28/share (1) Production Growth Reserves Growth (2P) Gas Liquids (1) Includes May…
  8. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 8
    Significant Reserve and Resource Base 634 mmboe of 2P reserves and RLI of 15.5 years (1) See Reserves and Resources Disclosure and Definitions of Oil and Gas Reserves and Resources in the Appendix to this presentation. 17% Annual…
  9. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 9
    Reserve Replacement Significant organic growth in reserves over past five years Six consecutive years of 200% or greater reserve replacement Adding Value Through the Drill Bit
  10. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 10
    Capital Efficiency Replaced 200% of production at an all in FD&A cost of 13.32/boe(1) 2013 recycle ratio of 2.2 times (F&D of 12.79/boe(1) and netback of 28.57/boe) Three year FD&A of 8.39 before changes in FDC (1) 2P FD&A and…
  11. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 11
    Key Reserve Information Reserves as of December 31, 2013 (mmboe) - Proved Producing 208 (101 mmboe liquids, 644 bcf gas) - Total Proved 374 (132 mmbbls liquids, 1.5 Tcf gas) - Proved Plus Probable 634 (194 mmbbls liquids, 2.6 Tcf…
  12. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 12
    Per Share Growth Growth in per share production and reserves while also paying a meaningful dividend In 2013, 2P RLI decreased from 17.5 years to 15.5 years converting reserves into production and cash flow (1) Debt Adjusted…
  13. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 13
    ARCs Proven Development Model Dawson, Pembina, SE Sask/Manitoba, Redwater Ante Creek, Parkland/Tower Sunrise West Attachie, Septimus Blueberry, Sundown Inventory of Opportunities at all Stages
  14. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 14
    2014 Budget and Outlook
  15. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 15
    2014 Capital Budget 915 Million Significant spending on oil and liquids-rich gas and low cost, high rate of return Montney natural gas development 2014 Capital Budget Volumes Year Capital Average Gross Net MM (boe/d) Wells…
  16. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 16
    Looking Forward to 2014 and 2015 Assuming economic conditions remain similar to the current outlook, 2014 and 2015 will include the following: Ante Creek Explore newly-acquired lands Continue testing 200m lateral horizontal well…
  17. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 17
    Production Outlook Managing decline…
  18. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 18
    Growing Our Low Cost Gas Business 15% CAGR(1) total Natural Gas production driven by 33% CAGR Montney Natural Gas production 2009 - 2015 Forecast 21% CAGR(1) in 2P Natural Gas reserves from 1 Tcf to 2.6 Tcf 2008 - 2013 (1)…
  19. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 19
    Growing Oil and Liquids Since 2009 7% CAGR(1) total Liquids production driven by 34% CAGR Montney Liquids production 2009 2015 Forecast 5% CAGR(1) in 2P Liquids reserves from 152 Mmbbls to 194 Mmbbls 2008 - 2013 Meaningful Oil…
  20. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 20
    2013 and 2014 Guidance 2014 Guidance 2014 YTD Actual 2013 Actual Oil (bbls/d) 35,00037,000 37,478 32,784 Condensate (bbls/d) 2,3002,500 2,887 2,251 Gas (mmcf/d) 415425 369.6 349.4 NGLs (bbls/d) 3,7004,000 3,743 2,811 Total…
  21. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 21
    Asset Overview
  22. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 22
    Montney Growth Assets
  23. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 23
    Reserve Benchmarking - North American Plays ARC Montney EUR 5.5 Bcf/well Wellhead EUR (Mboe) Wellhead EUR (Bcfe) Source: ITG April 2013, raw data provided by DI Desktop, geoScout Montney is a World Class Play with 3x…
  24. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 24
    Breakeven Price Benchmarking Montney and Marcellus Break-Even NYMEX (/Mcf) Break-Even WTI (/bbl) ARC West Montney early pilot data shows costs coming down and EUR going up. Source: ITG April 2013, raw data provided by DI Desktop,…
  25. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 25
    Montney Comparison to Select U.S. Plays Montney Advantage: Massive thickness: Montney is akin to stacking four separate shale plays on top of one another Lithology and fracability: Low clay content, low Poissons Ratio and high…
  26. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 26
    Montney Infrastructure Optionality Area is currently well served with three major pipelines providing access to North American Markets: TransCanada Canada & US Alliance Chicago Spectra - Westcoast ARC Lands Multiple pipelines are…
  27. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 27
    ARC in the Montney Montney ARCs Growth Engine
  28. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 28
    Deep Basin Montney Schematic
  29. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 29
    Significant Montney Land Base Grown ARCs Montney land base from 130 net sections in 2005 to 902 net sections today Significant Montney landholdings with 966 gross sections (902 net sections) including 676 gross undeveloped sections…
  30. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 30
    NEBC Montney Reserves & Resources Corporate 2P Reserves of 634 mmboe (194 mmbbls liquids/ 2.6 Tcf gas) (1) OIL 11.3 mmbbls (7.6) 2.2 Tcf RESERVES NGL 27.6 mmbbls (2.1) (24.7) OIL 10.7 mmbbls (12.6) 4.5 Tcf (4.2) ECONOMIC…
  31. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 31
    Early Stages of Property Development* Gross Drilling Locations * Subject to change based on technology and economic environment. Large Identified Opportunity for Future Growth
  32. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 32
    NEBC Montney 30 Day Hz IP Rates (1) All Montney Horizontal gas wells in NW AB from T75 R10 W6 (Glacier) to NE BC 94-G-2 (Northern Montney) (2) Based on public data as available in April 2014 (data to January 2014) ARCs 30 Day…
  33. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 33
    NEBC Montney First Year Cumulative Gas (1) All Montney Horizontal gas wells in NW AB from T75 R10 W6 (Glacier) to NE BC 94-G-2 (Northern Montney). (2) Based on first 365 days of production (excludes oil wells and all gas wells…
  34. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 34
    Dawson Gas World Class Gas Resource
  35. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 35
    Dawson Asset Details Net production (boe/d) Q1 2014 27,200 Liquids (bbls/d) 950 Gas (mmcf/d) 158 Production split % (liquids/gas) 97% gas Land (Montney net sections) 133 Working Interest 96% Reserves (2P mmboe) 174 Liquids…
  36. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 36
    Dawson A Cash Flow Machine Grown production from approximately 50 Mmcfe/d in 2009 to 165 Mmcfe/d by mid 2012 At Cdn3 gas 30% Reinvestment Ratio to sustain Cash Flow and generate 100 million of Free Cash Flow annually for 15 years…
  37. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 37
    Dawson Gas Type Curve Growth Expect 2014 type curve to be consistent with 2013; plans to drill core Dawson wells to keep plant full in 2014 and into 2015 Based on delineation data from pressure and rate performance, we expect…
  38. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 38
    Dawson Development Economics Key Metrics DCET Capex per well (MM) 4.6 2P Reserves per well (Bcf) 7.1 IP (1 mo) (MMcf/d) 5.0 IP (12 mo) (MMcf/d) 4.8 Half Cycle Economics (C85/bbl) 4/GJ 3/GJ IRR (% AT) 86% 55% Recycle Ratio 4.5…
  39. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 39
    Dawson 2014 Budget 54 Million Drilling Three Pads to Keep Production Flat in 2014 and into 2015
  40. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 40
    Parkland/Tower Reaping Acquisition Benefits
  41. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 41
    Parkland/Tower Asset Details Parkland Tower Net production (boe/d) 12,700 3,870 Q1 2014 Liquids (bbls/d) 1,950 2,850 Gas (mmcf/d) 65 6.1 Land (net sections) 23 57 Working Interest 84% 92% Reserves (2P mmboe) 58.0 24.6 Liquids…
  42. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 42
    Parkland/Tower Infrastructure Regulatory approval for 120 Mmcf/d, sweet service with two trains of 60 Mmcf/d (staged construction) First phase of plant built with design capacity of: 64 Mmcf/d of inlet gas 3,000 bbls/day LPG…
  43. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 43
    Parkland Development Economics Key Metrics DCET Capex per well (MM) 5.0 2P Reserves per well (Bcf) 5.8 IP (1 mo) (MMcf/d) 4.5 IP (12 mo) (MMcf/d) 3.3 Half Cycle Economics (C85/bbl) 4/GJ 3/GJ IRR (% AT) 67% 48% Recycle Ratio 4.0…
  44. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 44
    Tower Dual-Layer Development Parkland and Tower have similar geology Two Layer Horizontal Development Very Thick Montney A 100M (328 ft.) Tower also has Dual-Layer Montney Development Opportunity
  45. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 45
    Tower Development Economics Key Metrics DCET Capex per well (MM) 5.9 2P Reserves per well (Mboe) 400 IP (1 mo) (boe/d) 440 IP (12 mo) (boe/d) 220 Half Cycle Economics (C3/GJ) Cdn95/bbl Cdn85bbl IRR (% AT) 35% 28% Recycle Ratio…
  46. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 46
    Tower Strong Well Performance Tower 12-16 Pad (8 wells) Cumulative Production Cumulative Oil Production (Mbbls) Cumulative Total Production (Mboe) Restricted to 100 bopd MRL due to Government Regulations. 2014 Type Well Early…
  47. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 47
    Parkland/Tower 2014 Budget 191MM* 84% Year-over-Year Increase in Q1 Production
  48. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 48
    West Montney Asset Details Net production (boe/d)- Q1 2014 4,110 Liquids (bbls/d) 60 Gas (mmcf/d) 24.3 Land (net Montney sections) 278 Working Interest 90% Reserves (2P mmboe) 150 Liquids (mmbbls) 10 Gas (bcf) 842 Reserve…
  49. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 49
    West Montney Oil and Gas Geology 150 km (90 mi) Blueberry Attachie Septimus Sunrise Sundown 300 m (980 ft) Thick Multi-Zone Potential Across Entire Land Base
  50. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 50
    Sunrise/Sunset Asset Details Sunrise has progressed from pilot to full scale development Net production (boe/d) Q1 2014 3,000 Liquids (bbls/d) 0 Gas (mmcf/d) 18.0 Land (net Montney sections) 32 Working Interest 89% Reserves…
  51. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 51
    Sunrise Development Planning Sunrise 02-25 Sunrise Development Model Vertical Frac Offset Proposal Upper Montney Middle Montney Montney B Montney E Multiple Zones with Economies of Scale
  52. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 52
    Sunrise Outperforming Expectations Estimated Ultimate Recovery (EUR) is Cumulative Production + Forecast or GLJ 2P Reserves A 02-25 Hz MTYA Cum to March 10, 2014: 3.9 Bcf ARC EUR Forecast (RTA): 15 Bcf GLJ 2013 (2P) EUR:14 Bcf B…
  53. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 53
    Sunrise Development Economics Key Metrics DCET Capex per well (MM) 5.2 2P Reserves per well (Bcf) 11.0 IP (1 mo) (MMcf/d) 5.3 IP (12 mo) (MMcf/d) 4.8 Half Cycle Economics (C85/bbl) 4/GJ 3/GJ IRR (% AT) 80% 50% Recycle Ratio 4.8…
  54. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 54
    Sunrise 2014 Budget 119MM* Commercial Development of Sunrise with 60 mmcf/d Exit 2014
  55. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 55
    Building Confidence for Commercialization Attachie West and Septimus will be piloting production in 2014 to assess commerciality Attachie East continues delineation and land retention Blueberry and Sundown are waiting in…
  56. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 56
    Ante Creek Oil & Gas A Montney Success Story
  57. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 57
    Ante Creek Asset Details Net production (boe/d) Q1 2014 18,200 Liquids (bbls/d) 10,700 Gas (mmcf/d) 45 Production split % (liquids/gas) 59/41 Land (Montney net sections) 341 Working Interest 99% Reserves (2P mmboe) 50.9…
  58. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 58
    Ante Creek Opportunity for Down-Spacing Testing 200m lateral horizontal well spacing in Montney through pilot schemes; ensuring future development extracts maximum value The down-spacing is aimed at greatly increasing the NPV of the…
  59. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 59
    Ante Creek Oil Leading Capital Efficiency (1) Source information from Well Completions & Frac Database Canadian Discovery Ltd. and Introspec Energy Group Inc., wells rig released Jan 2011 to current. (2) All reported wells from…
  60. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 60
    Ante Creek Development Economics Key Metrics DCET Capex per well (MM) 3.9 2P Reserves per well (MBoe) 276 IP (1 mo) (boe/d) 357 IP (12 mo) (boe/d) 214 Half Cycle Economics Cdn95/bbl Cdn85/bbl 4/GJ 3/GJ 4/GJ 3/GJ IRR (% AT) 71%…
  61. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 61
    Ante Creek 2014 Budget 198MM 71% Year-over-Year Increase in Q1 2014 Production
  62. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 62
    Pembina Oil Revitalizing a Mature Oil Field
  63. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 63
    Pembina Asset Details Net production (boe/d) Q1 2014 11,200 Cardium production 94% Production split % (liquids/gas) 81/19 Land (Cardium net sections) 138 Working Interest 80% Reserves (2P mmboe) Cardium 53.7 Reserve Life Index…
  64. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 64
    Pembina Horizontal Injection Pilot 1 Injection started in Dec 2012; encouraging trend of declining GOR, stabilizing/increasing oil Monitoring 15 offsetting producers; 5 Hz wells and 9 verticals Gain of 30-70 bbl/d of incremental oil…
  65. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 65
    Pembina Leading Capital Efficiency Average Daily BOE (IP3) data from Accumap - includes wells greater than 750hrs, wells within TWP 47-49 RNG 5-10W5, on production after January 1, 2008. (1) TWP 47-49 RNG 5-10W5 (2) Source…
  66. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 66
    Pembina Development Economics Key Metrics DCET Capex per well (MM) 2.6 2P Reserves per well (Mboe) 191 IP (1 mo) (boe/d) 270 IP (12 mo) (boe/d) 104 Half Cycle Economics (C3/GJ) Cdn95/bbl Cdn85bbl IRR (% AT) 74% 58% Recycle Ratio…
  67. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 67
    Pembina 2014 Budget 118MM* * Operated Capital Only ** Includes 1 vertical injection well ARC Plans to Drill 43 gross operated Horizontal Cardium Wells in 2014
  68. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 68
    Summary
  69. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 69
    Why Invest in ARC Long-term view and commitment to value creation Strong balance sheet Disciplined capital management Significant exposure to early stage development of world class assets Strategic optionality of high rate of return…
  70. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 70
    Looking Beyond 2015 ARC has a well balanced inventory of value creating opportunities which may be pursued beyond 2015 Option to grow at a rate estimated to be similar to growth for the period 2010 2014 Project Options 2016 -…
  71. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 71
    Appendix
  72. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 72
    Strong Performance Through Cycles (1) Amounts presented for the periods 2010-2012 are in accordance with IFRS and amounts presented for periods 2007-2009 are in accordance with Canadian GAAP. (2) Net Income presented for the periods…
  73. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 73
    Multiple Sources of Debt Bank Credit Facility 1 Billion credit facility plus 40 million working capital facility 12 banks including the five largest Canadian banks Recently extended to October 2017 Long-term notes Private…
  74. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 74
    Note Repayments Spread Over Time Long-term notes structured to mature over a number of years Repayment will come from existing credit facilities * Assumes USDCAD of 1.1053 Debt Repayment Schedule Reduces Financing Risk
  75. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 75
    Natural Gas Commodity Marketing Ensuring Production Moves to Market Move product to the nearest and most liquid point Proactively plan for future development to ensure adequate take-away Current production 370 Mmcf/d of Natural…
  76. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 76
    Crude Oil Commodity Marketing ARC controls the produced barrel by selling onto the feeder pipeline system or to a destination of choice for sale at a custody transfer point (Edmonton, Cromer, Hardisty) ARC is not currently a Mainline…
  77. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 77
    NGL Commodity Marketing Western Canadian NGL Market Propane is reliant on exports to U.S. due to limited Canadian demand Butane markets well balanced due to demand from refining and crude oil blending Condensate market remains…
  78. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 78
    Hedge Positions April 30, 2014 Summary of Hedge Positions as at April 30, 2014 (1) Remainder of 2014 2015 2016 - 2017 2018 2019 Crude Oil (2) WTI: (US/bbl) US/bbl bbl/d US/bbl bbl/d US/bbl bbl/d US/bbl bbl/d US/bbl bbl/d Ceiling…
  79. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 79
    2014 Capital Budget ( millions) 2012 (Actual) 2013 (Actual) 2014 (Budget) Development 409 608 670 Development Facilities 73 163 123 Maintenance 23 27 30 Optimization 6 14 14 Exploration & Seismic 49 8 24 Enhanced Oil Recovery 21 21 34…
  80. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 80
    Socially Responsible Operator ARC strives to meet the highest standards in health, safety and environment Environmental Stewardship Health and Safety Commitment Ranked 1 in the CDPs Canadian Targets zero lost time incidents Carbon…
  81. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 81
    Montney Growth Assets Independent Resources Evaluation conducted by GLJ effective December 31, 2013 The amount of natural gas and liquids ultimately recovered from ARCs NEBC Montney resource will be primarily a function of the future…
  82. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 82
    Montney Growth Assets 2013 Best 2012 Best 2011 Best Reserves and Economic Contingent Resources (1)(2) Estimate Estimate Estimate Natural Gas (Tcf) Reserves (3) 2.2 2.1 1.9 Economic Contingent Resources 4.5 4.2 4.1 Natural Gas…
  83. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 83
    Reserves and Resources Disclosure TPIIP, DPIIP and UPIIP have been estimated using a zero percent porosity cut-off for gas and a 3% cutoff for oil. This means that all gas bearing rock has been incorporated into the calculations.…
  84. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 84
    Definitions of Oil and Gas Reserves and Resources Reserves are estimated remaining quantities of oil and natural gas and related substances anticipated to be recoverable from known accumulations, as of a given date, based on the analysis…
  85. July 2014 Investor Presentation – Arc Resources Ltd. – slide 85
    Definitions of Oil and Gas Reserves and Resources Economic Contingent Resources (ECR are those contingent resources which are currently economically recoverable. Undiscovered Petroleum Initially-In-Place (UPIIP) is that quantity of…

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