BALANCING GROWTH AND RETURNS Alaska Shareholder Field Trip ROYAL DUTCH SHELL 23-24 JUNE 2015 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 1
SHELL OVERVIEW J J TRAYNOR EVP INVESTOR RELATIONS Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 3
STRATEGY AND INVESTMENT PRIORITIES Grow cash flow + deliver competitive returns Competitive financial Capital efficiency Project delivery performance Capital allocation by global themes ENGINES GROWTH PRIORITIES LONGER…
EXECUTING A CONSISTENT AND SUCCESSFUL EXPLORATION STRATEGY Time to Prospect development size 2015 spend (years) (million boe) Long-term potential for ARCTIC 15+ 500 industry Build-up of acreage in FRONTIER 10+ 250…
ENERGY TRANSITIONS 2050 outlook Long-term energy supply mix Million boe per day Population increases from 7 to 9 billion Enabled by cheap and reliable energy 400 +50% Realities 300 Requirement to mitigate climate change +50%…
INTRODUCTION TO THE ARCTIC REGION ANN PICKARD EVP UA ARCTIC Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 7
WHY ARCTIC Resource Potential Arctic 22% of undiscovered, technically recoverable resources in the world Majority located offshore Alaska Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) 27 billion barrels of oil 132 trillion cubic feet of natural…
ARCTIC BASINS Multiple basins have vast potential US Chukchi & Beaufort Russia - Sakhalin White Arctic, up to 50 m Sub-Arctic but ice, Most have limited data, highly water depth shallow water uncertain estimates Russia - Chukchi…
POLAR PERSPECTIVE OF ALASKA AND THE ARCTIC = Well 85 = Number of wells Burger Prospect Dutch Harbour Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 10
CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT LEASE SITES Chukchi Sea Beaufort Sea Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 11
ALASKA STRATEGY: OPERATING EXCEPTIONALLY WELL Protect reputation Find oil Be efficient Maximize the (build trust) productivity in the Arctic, 1 2 3 one day at a time, without harm to people HOW BEHAVIORS and environment…
PRUDENT ARCTIC DEVELOPMENT NPC Study DOE Commissioned 105 Organizations 206 People Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 14
ALASKA OIL INDUSTRY MICHAEL MAHAFFIE, MANAGER ALASKA EXPLORATION Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 15
ALASKA OIL + GAS Alaska oil and gas industry1 accounted for a third of all wage and salary jobs in Alaska in 2013: 111,000 jobs 6.5 billion in wages A portion of oil revenues was set aside in 1976 for future generations. The Alaska…
ALASKA NORTH SLOPE OIL + GAS Estimate North Slope volumes (excluding OCS) 22 billion bbl oil / 35 TCF gas1 ENI, Nikaitchuq Production 2011 BP, Northstar Encana Antares Production 2001 McCovey 2002 Exxon 1985 BP, Endicot Shell…
ALASKA PRODUCTION HISTORY 1977 TAPS 2001 BP Northstar 1957 Swanson River completed 1987 BP/Exxon field, Beaufort Sea, oil field, Kenai Endicott Field, becomes operational Peninsula Beaufort Sea, 1963 Shell drills first 1981 - Kuparuk…
EXPLORATION WELLS (PRE-2012) IN THE ALASKA OCS CHUKCHI SEA BEAUFORT SEA Popcorn 89-90 Crackerjack 90-91 Burger 89-90 Sandpiper 86 Corona 86 Klondike 89 Seal 84-85 Number of wells: Tern 82-83,87 Amoco (4) Arco (7) BP/SOHIO…
ALASKA INDUSTRY OFFSHORE DEVELOPMENTS BP Northstar, Beaufort Sea, 2001 BP Endicott, Beaufort Sea, 1987 Offshore exploration and production underway Artificial island developments ENI Nikaitchuq, Beaufort Sea, 2011…
A FAMILIAR FRONTIER Shell operated in Alaska for 50 years until 1998 First royalty payer to State of Alaska Extensive experience and operations in Cook Inlet In the 1980s drilled numerous wells in Chukchi & Beaufort Seas…
EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION OVERVIEW MICHAEL MAHAFFIE, MANAGER ALASKA EXPLORATION Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 22
EXPLORATION TO PRODUCTION DATA EXPLORATION APPRAISAL DEVELOPMENT OPERATIONS ACQUISITION DRILLING DRILLING PHASE 2-4 years 2-4 years 2-4 years 4-10 years 20+ years Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 23
REGIONAL BASEMENT MAP FOR THE ALASKA OFFSHORE 5 Historical Wells drilled in Oil the Chukchi (1989 1991) Gas Oil Shows Mix Gas/Oil Alpine Field Pt McIntyre 450 MMBO REC 450 MMBO REC Basement High Kuparuk Field Basement 3 BBO…
WHAT ARE THE STEPS TO BEGIN EXPLORATION Understanding the ingredients that define a Petroleum System Do we have a trap/seal (a geologic container that can accumulate oil & gas) Can we demonstrate charge Are source rocks present…
SEISMIC ONE OF EXPLORATIONS TOOLS Seismic is used to create an image of the subsurface. Source Receiver Receiver This helps us to determine whether the petroleum elements exist to support Exploration Source Receivers…
EXPLORATION: HOW WE PUT THE STORY TOGETHER Seismic Image Rock Record Unflattened Geologic Story Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 27
ALASKA EXPLORATION OVERVIEW MICHAEL MAHAFFIE, MANAGER ALASKA EXPLORATION Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 28
SHELL ALASKA 1989 - 2008 1989-1991 2005-2007 Shell participates in 5 Shell re-enters the Alaska exploration wells in the OCS Acquires leases in Chukchi the Beaufort Sea 1992 Shell leaves Alaska and focuses exploration in…
CHUKCHI SEA Exploration Wells 1989-1991; Burger gas discovery Petroleum system proven; known pressures and temperatures Potential for oil exploration drove industry back into the play in 2008 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23…
CHUKCHI BASIN: THE PETROLEUM SYSTEM ELEMENTS REVEALED Basement structure map offshore Alaska Petroleum system elements Basement Basement High High Oil Gas Basement Oil Shows Low Mix Gas/Oil Burger Line: 86-WES-6075CH…
WHAT IS BURGER Simple 4-way structural closure Known & calibrated reservoir story Crest of trap contains a large gas discovery key resv interval JU Burger Line: 86-WES-6075CH Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June,…
WHAT DO WE KNOW TODAY Burger is a large structure Confirmed Petroleum System 15 Miles across Quality reservoir & seal Closure area = 400 sq miles Excellent gas saturations Strong oil shows area of closure Lake Lorraine…
EXPLORATION CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS FOR OPERATING EXCEPTIONALLY WELL Safely drill and evaluate confidential exploration wells to TD to discover commercial oil Acquire Logging-While-Drilling (LWD) & Rock Data 36 22 14 Obtain…
POTENTIAL ALASKA OFFSHORE EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE 3 to 7 years 3 to 5 years 2 to 4 years 4 to 8 years Exploration Preliminary Construction & ACQUIRE Appraisal/feasibility/ System design Detailed installation LEASES…
POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT YEAR ROUND ACTIVITY Long term development options in case of discovery Gravity Based Structures designed to withstand winter ice Ice gouge Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 36
2012 DALE SNYDER VP ALASKA OPERATIONS Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 37
2012 SEASON HIGHLIGHTS In 2012 Shell obtained the necessary permits and successfully mobilized the Discoverer and Kulluk drilling units. Operations in Beaufort Sea and Chukchi Sea Encountered poor weather, ice conditions, operating…
CHANGES SINCE 2012 Improved activity planning New integrated risk management process Renewed focus on contractor management and oversight Strengthened organization Upgraded assets Bolstered marine assurance processes 2015…
OPERATIONAL READINESS 2015 PLANS DALE SNYDER, VP ALASKA OPERATIONS MARK GUADAGNINI, VP ARCTIC MARITIME & LOGISTICS Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 40
ALASKA DRILLING SEASON Limited drilling window Short ice free season Permits Ice free period Typical Ice Year Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 41
DRILLING RIGS Polar Pioneer Transocean semi-submersible drilling rig, designed specifically to drill in harsh climates Extensive experience in Norwegian sector, including Arctic exploration wells Recently completed…
2015 LOGISTICS RESOURCES MAP Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 43
MOBILIZATION IN PACIFIC NORTH WEST Polar Pioneer arrives in Seattle (May 14, 2015) Polar Pioneer arrives in Seattle on May 14, 2015 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 44
OIL SPILL PREVENTION AND RESPONSE DONALD JACOBSEN, VP WELLS ARCTIC DALE SNYDER, VP ALASKA OPERATIONS Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 45
ALASKA: SHALLOW WATER, LOW PRESSURE Normal Pressure Near Normal Pressure High Pressure Very High Pressure Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 46
OIL SPILL CONTROLS CONTROL & BARRIERS: RESPONSE & RECOVERY: 1. Equipment selection 1. Source control: 2. Well design & construction Capping stack 3. Bottom hole pressure control Arctic containment system 4. Operational controls…
CAPPING STACK Capping stack First response if BOPs fail Shell commissioned equipment Capping Stack deployment test safely and successfully completed Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 48
ARCTIC CONTAINMENT SYSTEM Arctic Containment System First operational subsea dome oil collection and processing unit Rigorous evaluation, upgrades and testing since 2012 ACS was successfully deployed for Bureau of Safety and…
SHELL ALASKA OIL SPILL RESPONSE ANIMATION https://www.youtube.com/watchv=YAKSgZHa4G0 Animation This animation is publically available at https://www.youtube.com/watchv=YAKSgZHa4G0 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June,…
STAKEHOLDERS: LICENSE TO OPERATE LAURIE SCHMIDT, VP ALASKA MANIKSAQ BAUMGARTNER, STAKEHOLDER MANAGER PETER SCOTT, COMMUNICATIONS MANAGER ALASKA Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 51
SHELL ALASKA 2005+ 2005 2008 2010 2014 Shell Re-enters the Alaska Drilling stopped due to BP Macondo causes a halt 9th Circuit reverses AK Federal OCS Acquires leases in court challenges. for offshore drilling District Court…
STAKEHOLDER PROGRESS SINCE 2005 Legislative Environment Regulatory Environment Legal Environment Stakeholder Environment Changed Federal Air Creation of Inter- Injunction Against Creation of Arctic Permitting from EPA to Agency…
ARCTIC IUPIAT OFFSHORE: FROM NEGOTIATION TO CREATION Shell signed an agreement with Arctic Iupiat Offshore , LLC (AIO) on July 31 2014 Members Arctic Slope Regional Corporation (ASRC) and six North Slope village Corporations…
2015 REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS Lease Sale 193 Record of Decision Exploration Plan (EP) Development - BOEM Incidental Harassment Authorization (IHA) NOAA National Pollution Discharge Elimination System Authorization (NPDES) Oil Spill…
SCIENTIFIC SUPPORT AND COLLABORATION Permitting support Establish scientific basis to support permit applications Establish and implement monitoring programs required by permits Collect and analyze data for regulatory reporting…
SOCIAL PERFORMANCE IN ALASKA Potential social impacts to local communities and residents are managed through an integrated system of programs, which include: Routine & Transparent Stakeholder Engagements to maintain and promote strong…
SOCIAL INVESTMENT Over 10 mln in social investment programs GeoFORCE Four-year high school STEM program Kaktovik Community Foundation Building community ice cellar for proper food storage and safety Ilisagvik College Quality…
NORTH SLOPE STAKEHOLDERS Complex familial and political hierarchy on North Slope Rapid change over one generation North Slope Borough: largest Borough in Alaska, represents Small population, vast distances over 15% of total land of…
Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 23 June, 2015 60