U.S. and Central Asian Roles In Global Energy Markets Guy Caruso Administrator Energy Information Administration U.S.-Turkmenistan Energy Roundtable Washington, DC September 24, 2007 1
Major Trends in the IEO2007 Outlook Total world energy use rises by 57 percent in the reference case projection. The high world oil prices in the IEO2007 reference case are projected to make previously uneconomical, unconventional…
World Marketed Energy Use: OECD and Non-OECD 450 History Projections 404 400 350 Non-OECD Quadrillion Btu 298 300 250 240 OECD 200 207 150 100 50 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 3 Source:…
Non-OECD Energy Consumption by Region 450 Non-OECD Europe/Eurasia 400 Central and South America Africa 350 Middle East Non-OECD Asia Quadrillion Btu 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 4…
World Oil Prices in Three World Oil Price Cases, 100 1980-2030 100 80 Reference Case 2005 Dollars per Barrel Low World Oil Price High World Oil Price 59 60 40 36 20 History Projections 0 1980 1990 2000 2010…
World Oil Prices in Three World Oil Price Cases, 1980-2030 157 150 120 Reference Case Nominal Dollars per Barrel Low World Oil Price High World Oil Price 95 90 60 58 30 History Projections 0 1980 1990 2000…
World Marketed Energy Use by Fuel Type 300 History Projections 250 Liquid Fuels and Other Petroleum 34% Quadrillion Btu 28% 200 38% 24% Coal 150 26% Natural Gas Share of World 100 Total 23% Renewables 8% 50 7% 6% 6%…
U.S. Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel 60 History Projections 52.1 50 Liquid Fuels and Other Petroleum 40.8 40 Quadrillion Btu Coal 34.1 30 26.9 23.1 Natural Gas 20 22.6 Nuclear 9.3 10 8.2 Renewables 8.7 6.0…
Non-OECD Europe/Eurasia* Energy Use by Fuel 20 History Projections 15 14.4 Quadrillion Btu Natural Gas 10 8.7 Liquid Fuels and Other Petroleum 6.1 5.6 5 4.2 Coal 4.2 Nuclear 2.0 1.4 1.9 Renewables 1.2 0 1980…
World Liquids Consumption by Region, 2004 and 2030 North America Non-OECD Asia OECD Europe OECD Asia Central and South America Middle East 2004 Non-OECD Europe/Eurasia 2030 Africa 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Million Barrels…
World Liquids Production, 2004-2030 120 118 Total Million Barrels Oil Equivalent per Day 100 80 60 Non-OPEC (Conventional) 54 53 40 OPEC (Conventional) 20 Unconventional 10 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018…
Non-OPEC Producing Regions With More than a One Million Barrel Per Day Increase in Total Production Over the Forecast Period, 2005 and 2030 14 Million Barrels Oil Equivalent per Day 12 11.5 2005 10.2 2030 9.5 10 8.2 8 7.3…
Oil Production in Turkmenistan 0.35 0.3 0.3 Million Barrels per Day 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.05 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 13 Source: EIA,…
OPEC Conventional Liquids Production 40 37.5 35 Million Barrels per Day 30 2005 2030 25 23.5 20 15 9.2 10 4.9 4.0 5 3.8 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.7 0 Asia Middle North West South East Africa Africa America 14 Source: EIA,…
World Unconventional Liquids Production in the Reference Case, 1980-2030 12 History Projections Million Barrels Oil Equivalent per Day 10 Other Gas-To-Liquids 8 Coal-To-Liquids Biofuels 6 Ultra Heavy Crudes Canadian Oil…
World Natural Gas Consumption by Region 80 OECD Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia 70 Other Non-OECD 60 Trillion Cubic Feet 50 40 30 20 10 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 16 Source: EIA, IEO2007
Imports from Turkmenistan represent 15 Percent of Russias Natural Gas Exports Russias Natural Gas Balance (2000-2006), Billion Cubic Meters 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 P2005 P2006 Production 584 580 595 616 634 640 656 Consumption 400…
Current and Proposed Caspian Natural Gas Infrastructure Source: DI Cartography Center, US Government. 18
World Natural Gas Production by Region, 2004-2030 180 OECD Russia 160 Other Non-OECD Europe/Eurasia Trillion Cubic Feet 140 Middle East Other Non-OECD 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 19 Source:…
Natural Gas Production in Turkmenistan 3.5 3.0 2.8 3 Trillion Cubic Feet 2.5 2.2 2.1 2 1.6 1.5 1.1 1 0.5 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20 Source: EIA, International Energy Annual 2005 and IHS database
Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2007, February 2007 International Energy Outlook 2007, May 2007 Examples of Special Analyses Economic…