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Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA

EIA · May 13, 2005 · 18 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 1
    LNG Costs and Natural Gas Prices James M. Kendell Energy Information Administration James.Kendelleia.doe.gov Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference May 13, 2005 Houston, TX
  2. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 2
    Foreign Direct Lifting Costs for Oil and Gas, 1981-2003 (2003 dollars per barrel of crude oil equivalent) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 Source: Financial Reporting System
  3. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 3
    Greenfield Liquefaction Per-Unit Capital Cost vs. Capacity (2004 dollars per ton capacity per year) 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Design Capacity Per-Train (million tons per year) Source: Wood Mackenzie -…
  4. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 4
    Ship Price Per Volume vs. Added Capacity (2002 dollars per cubic meter) 1993-1997 1998-2002 3,000 3,000 2,000 2,000 1,000 1,000 0 0 124,000 134,000 144,000 154,000 124,000 134,000 144,000 154,000 Added Capacity (cubic meter)…
  5. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 5
    Japan Regasification Terminal Construction Costs (1995 billion yen per bcf capacity per year) 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Capacity (bcf per year) Source: METI -Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade…
  6. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 6
    Gulf Coast-Onshore Proposed Regasification Project Capital Costs (million 2004 dollars per bcf capacity per year) 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Size (bcf per year) Source: Office of Oil and…
  7. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 7
    Components of Minimum Regional LNG Trigger Prices by Region (2003 dollars per thousand cubic feet) 5 Existing New 4 3 2 1 0 Everett Cove Elba Lake New Mid Atl. S. Atl. Florida MS/AL TX/LA CA WA/OR Point Island Charles…
  8. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 8
    Regional LNG Imports at New Terminals, 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2025 (billion cubic feet) 2010 114 128 0 0 2015 New 2020 England (2020) 2025 WA/OR West New England Mountain North Mid 256 Central Atlantic 128 East 0 0 North (2020)…
  9. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 9
    LNG Import Prices, 1992-2003 (2000 dollars per MMBtu) 5 South Korea 4 Japan 3 2 United States EU-15 1 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Source: International Energy Agency
  10. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 10
    LNG Import and Wellhead Prices, 1985 - 2004 (2004 dollars per thousand cubic feet) 8 7 6 5 LNG Price 4 3 2 Wellhead Price 1 0 86 89 91 93 95 97 99 00 01 02 85 04 88 90 92 94…
  11. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 11
    LNG Import and Low-Sulfur Residual Fuel Spot Prices in Europe, 1992-2003 (2000 dollars per MMBtu) 4 3 LNG-Europe 2 Low-sulfur residual fuel 1 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Source:…
  12. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 12
    LNG Import and Crude Oil Import Prices in Japan, 1992-2003 (2000 dollars per MMBtu) 5 4 LNG-Japan 3 2 Crude Oil 1 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Source: International Energy Agency
  13. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 13
    Bivariate Johansen Test Results Support for the regional divide Henry LNG LNG Pipe USA Brent Hub Europe Japan Pipe Ho: r=01 45.33*** 1Trace test statistics of the null hypothesis of no USA 2 1,-1.03 (0.04) cointegration LOP3 0.57…
  14. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 14
    Spot/Short-Term Vs. Contracted LNG Trade, 1994-2003 (billion cubic feet) 10,000 350 298 300 8,000 252 250 6,000 195 200 164 4,000 150 132 120 116 101 100 82 2,000 59 50 0 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002…
  15. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 15
    World Oil Prices, 1990-2025 (2003 dollars per barrel) 60 History Forecast 50 High B 40 High A October futures 30 Reference 20 10 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2005
  16. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 16
    U.S. Gas-to-Liquids Production in High Oil Price Cases, 2003-2025 (million barrels per day) 0.25 High B 0.20 0.15 High A 0.10 0.05 0.00 2003 2008 2013 2018 2023 Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2005
  17. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 17
    World Gas-to-Liquids Production in the Reference and High B Cases, 2025 (million barrels per day) Reference High B United Kingdom 0.046 0.069 Norway 0.009 0.015 Russia 0.016 0.075 Malaysia 0.051 0.109 Qatar 0.247 0.561 Algeria…
  18. Platts 4th Annual LNG Conference – EIA – slide 18
    EIA Sources Financial Reporting System, March 2005 Annual Energy Outlook 2005, December 9, 2004 Short-term Energy Outlook, monthly International Energy Outlook 2004, April 14, 2004 The Global Liquefied Natural Gas Market: Status and…

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