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Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA

EIA · Mar 4, 2005 · 17 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 1
    Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies J. Alan Beamon Energy Information Administration March 4, 2005
  2. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 2
    Energy Information Administration (EIA) EIA is the statistical agency of the U.S. Department of Energy created by Congress in 1977. EIA provides policy-independent data, forecasts, and analyses to promote sound policymaking,…
  3. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 3
    Analysis Request Report responds to a September 14, 2004, request from Senators Inhofe and Voinovich to analyze the impacts of different mercury control strategies, including: EPAs proposed cap and trade system EPAs proposed…
  4. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 4
    Three Hg Removal Strategies Analyzed EPA Cap and Trade System 2010 2017 Phase I Cap unspecified but assumed to be 34 tons 2018 and beyond Phase II Cap of 15 tons 35,000 per pound mercury safety valve EPA MACT Coal type Existing…
  5. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 5
    Analysis Cases Case Mnemonic Description pCAIR AEO2005 Reference case plus NOx and SO2 emission caps from the proposed Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR). Mercury Control Cases EPA-Cap pCAIR plus EPAs proposed 15-ton cap and trade…
  6. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 6
    Mercury Emissions 60 pCAIR EPA-Cap EPA-MACT MACT90 MACT90SL80 MACT90NoACI 50 40 Tons 30 20 10 0 2003 2010 2020 2025
  7. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 7
    Generation by Fuel, 2025 pCAIR EPA-Cap EPA-MACT MACT90 MACT90SL80 MACT90NoACI 3,000 2,500 2,000 Billion kWh 1,500 1,000 500 0 Coal Natural gas Renewables Oil
  8. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 8
    Western Coal Production 1000 pCAIR EPA-Cap EPA-MACT MACT90 MACT90SL80 MACT90NoACI 900 800 700 600 Million Short Tons 500 400 300 200 100 0 2003 2010 2020 2025
  9. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 9
    Appalachian and Interior Coal Production 900 pCAIR EPA-Cap EPA-MACT MACT90 MACT90SL80 MACT90NoACI 800 700 600 Million Short Tons 500 400 300 200 100 0 2003 2010 2020 2025
  10. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 10
    SO2 Scrubber Retrofits 250 pCAIR EPA-Cap EPA-MACT MACT90 MACT90SL80 MACT90NoACI 200 150 Gigawatts 100 50 0 2010 2020 2025
  11. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 11
    NOx Selective Catalytic Reduction Retrofits 200 pCAIR EPA-Cap EPA-MACT MACT90 MACT90SL80 MACT90NoACI 180 160 140 120 Gigawatts 100 80 60 40 20 0 2010 2020 2025
  12. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 12
    Supplemental Fabric Filter with Activated Carbon Injection 250 pCAIR EPA-Cap EPA-MACT MACT90 MACT90SL80 MACT90NoACI 200 150 Gigawatts 100 50 0 2010 2020 2025
  13. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 13
    Coal Minemouth Prices 70 pCAIR EPA-Cap EPA-MACT MACT90 MACT90SL80 MACT90NoACI 60 50 2004 Dollars per short ton 40 30 20 10 0 2003 2010 2020 2025
  14. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 14
    Natural Gas Wellhead Prices 6 pCAIR EPA-Cap EPA-MACT MACT90 MACT90SL80 MACT90NoACI 5 4 2004 Dollars per thousand cubic feet 3 2 1 0 2003 2010 2020 2025
  15. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 15
    Electricity Prices pCAIR EPA-Cap EPA-MACT MACT90 MACT90SL80 MACT90NoACI 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 2003 Cents/kWh 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2003 2010 2025
  16. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 16
    Discounted Resource Costs and Safety Valve Payments 400 S a fe ty V a lve P a ym e n ts 350 D is c o u n te d R e s o u rc e C o s ts 300 250 Billion 2003 Dollars 200 150 100 50 0 E P A -C a p E P A -M…
  17. Analysis of Alternative Mercury Control Strategies – EIA – slide 17
    Conclusions Mercury emissions range from 8.9 to 40.2 tons in Hg control cases. Little fuel switching projected in response to EPA-Cap or EPA-MACT strategies. Impact of 90% MACT depends on performance and commercial availability of…

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