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Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA

EIA · Sep 13, 2007 · 50 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 1
    Long-Term United States and World Energy Market Trends Guy Caruso Administrator Energy Information Administration Seminar with Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation September 13, 2007 www.eia.doe.gov
  2. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 2
    World Oil Price, 1980-2030 (2005 dollars per barrel) 100 History Projections 80 High Price 60 Reference 40 Low Price 20 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
  3. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 3
    U.S. Energy Use per Capita and per Dollar of Real Gross Domestic Product, 1970-2030 (index, 1970 = 1) 1.2 History Projections 1.0 per capita 0.8 per dollar real GDP 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020…
  4. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 4
    U.S. Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1960-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 60 History Projections Liquid Fuels 50 40 Coal 30 Natural Gas 20 Nuclear 10 Renewables 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy…
  5. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 5
    U.S. Delivered Energy Consumption by Sector, 2005 and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 45 2005 40 2030 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation Annual Energy Outlook 2007
  6. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 6
    U.S. Liquid Fuels and Other Petroleum Consumption by Sector, 1970-2030 (million barrels per day) 20 History Projections Transportation 15 10 5 Industrial Residential and Commercial Electric Power 0 1970 1980 1990…
  7. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 7
    Liquid Fuels and Other Petroleum Consumption in Three Price Cases, 1990-2030 (million barrels per day) 30 History Projections Reference Low Price 25 High Price 20 15 10 5 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020…
  8. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 8
    Average Fuel Economy of U.S. New Light-Duty Vehicles, 1980-2030 (miles per gallon) 35 Projections Cars History 30 All Light-Duty Vehicles 25 Light Trucks 20 15 10 5 0 1980 1995 2005 2015 2030 Annual Energy…
  9. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 9
    U.S. Ethanol Production, 1981-2030 (billion gallons) 20 History Projections 15 Corn Ethanol 10 5 Cellulosic Ethanol 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
  10. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 10
    U.S. Sales of Unconventional Light-Duty Vehicles, 2015 and 2030 (thousand vehicles sold) 2,500 Hybrids Flex Fuel 2,000 Turbo Direct Injection Diesel Gaseous Electric 1,500 Fuel Cell 1,000 500 0 2015 2030 Annual…
  11. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 11
    U.S. Crude Oil Production by Source, 1990-2030 (million barrels per day) 10 History Projections 8 6 Total 4 Lower 48 Onshore 2 Deepwater Offshore Alaska Shallow Water Offshore 0 1990 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030…
  12. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 12
    Total U.S. Unconventional Oil Production in Two Cases, 2005-2030 (thousand barrels per day) 2,500 2,000 High Price 1,500 1,000 500 Reference 0 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
  13. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 13
    Liquid Fuels Supply, Consumption, and Imports (million barrels per day) 30 Low Price History Projections 25 High Price 20 49% 61% 67% Consumption Net Imports 15 60% High Price Production 10 Low Price 5 0 1980 1990…
  14. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 14
    Lower 48 Wellhead Natural Gas Prices, 1990-2030 (2005 dollars per thousand cubic feet) 8 History Projections High Price 6 Reference 4 Low Price 2 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual Energy…
  15. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 15
    U.S. Natural Gas Consumption by Sector, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) History 10 Projections Industrial* 8 Electric Power 6 Residential 4 Commercial 2 Transportation** 0 1990 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030 * Includes…
  16. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 16
    U.S. Natural Gas Production, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 30 History Projections 25 Consumption Net Imports 21% 20 16% Production 15 Natural Gas Net Imports, 2005 and 2030 (trillion cubic…
  17. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 17
    U.S. Natural Gas Production by Source, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 10 History Projections 8 Lower 48 Non-Associated Unconventional 6 Lower 48 Non-Associated Conventional Onshore 4 Lower 48 Non-Associated Offshore…
  18. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 18
    Major Sources of Incremental U.S. Natural Gas Supply, 2005-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 28 26 Growth in Alaskan Production 24 Growth in LNG Imports 22 20 Growth in Non-Associated Unconventional 18 Base Production (all…
  19. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 19
    U.S. Unconventional Natural Gas Production, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) History Projections 7 6 5 Tight Sands 4 3 2 Coalbed Methane 1 Gas Shales 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual Energy…
  20. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 20
    U.S. Net Imports of Natural Gas, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 5 History Projections 4 Overseas LNG 3 Canada 2 1 0 Mexico -1 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
  21. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 21
    U.S. LNG Imports, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 3.0 History Projections 2.5 New Terminals 2.0 1.5 Existing Terminals 1.0 0.5 0.0 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
  22. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 22
    U.S. Coal Consumption by Sector, 2005, 2010, 2020, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 40 35.0 30 27.5 24.2 Electric 22.8 Power 20 10 Coal-to- Liquids Other 0 2005 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
  23. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 23
    3-Year Rolling Average U.S. Electricity Demand Growth (with exponential trend line) 12% Annual History Growth Projections 1950s 10.5% 10% 1960s 7.3% 1970s 4.2% 1980s 2.6% 8% 1990s 2.3% 2000-2005 1.4% 6% 2005-2030 1.5%…
  24. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 24
    U.S. Electricity Generation by Fuel, 1980-2030 (billion kilowatthours) History Projections 3,000 Coal 2,000 Natural Gas 1,000 Nuclear Renewables Petroleum 0 1980 1990 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy…
  25. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 25
    U.S. Electricity Generation by Fuel, 2005 and 2030 (billion kilowatthours) 4,000 2005 - percent of total 2030 57 3,000 50 2,000 15 16 1,000 19 19 9 9 3 2 0 Coal Nuclear Natural Gas Renewable Petroleum Annual Energy…
  26. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 26
    U.S. Electricity Generation Capacity Additions by Fuel, 2006-2030 (gigawatts) 60 Natural Gas Coal Renewables 40 Nuclear 20 0 2006-2010 2011-2015 2016-2020 2021-2025 2026-2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
  27. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 27
    U.S. Nonhydroelectric Renewable Electricity Generation, 2005, 2010, 2020, and 2030 (billion kilowatthours) 300 211 200 185 Geothermal Solar 165 Wind 100 92 Biomass MSW and Landfill Gas 0 2005 2010 2020 2030…
  28. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 28
    U.S. Electricity Price, 1970-2030 (2005 cents per kilowatthour) 10 8 6 4 2 History Projections 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
  29. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 29
    U.S. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1980-2030 (million metric tons) 9,000 History Projections 8,000 7,000 7,950 in 2030 6,000 6,944 in 2020 6,214 in 2010 5,000 Carbon Dioxide Emission Intensity, 1980-2030 (metric…
  30. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 30
    Annual Energy Outlook 2007 reference case indicates that through 2030.... Traditional fossil fuels are expected to continue to meet the bulk of energy requirements over the projection period U.S. energy demand is projected to grow at…
  31. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 31
    World Energy Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 450 404 400 OECD 350 294 298 300 Non-OECD 265 250 240 207 200 150 100 50 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and…
  32. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 32
    Average Annual GDP and Population Growth for Selected Regions, 2004-2030 (percent per year) 7.5 6.5 GDP 5.5 Population 4.5 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 -0.5 a a es il pe st ea an ia a ri c di az…
  33. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 33
    World Marketed Energy Use, 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 300 History Projections 250 34% Liquids 28% 200 38% Coal 24% 150 26% Natural Gas Share of World 100 Total 23% Renewables 8% 50 7% 6% 6% Nuclear 0 1980 1985 1990…
  34. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 34
    World Liquids Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (million barrels per day) 70 61 60 57 OECD 52 50 49 Non-OECD 46 40 33 30 20 10 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia…
  35. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 35
    World Proved Oil Reserves, as of January 1, 2007 (billion barrels) Middle East 739 North America 213 Africa 114 Central & South America 103 Eurasia 100 World Total = 1,317 billion barrels Asia 33 Europe 15 0 200 400…
  36. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 36
    World Liquids Production, 2004-2030 (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 120 118 Total 100 80 60 Non-OPEC (Conventional) 54 53 40 OPEC (Conventional) 20 Unconventional 10 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018…
  37. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 37
    Non-OPEC Producing Regions with More than a One-Million-Barrel-per-Day Increase in Production, (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 14 11.5 2005 12 10.2 2030 10 9.5 8.2 8 7.3 5.7 6 5.1 4.9 4.3 3.8 3.7 4 3.1 2.6 2.1…
  38. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 38
    OPEC Conventional Liquids Production (million barrels per day) 40 37.5 35 30 25 23.5 2005 20 2030 15 9.2 10 4.9 4.0 3.8 5 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.7 0 Asia Middle North West South East Africa Africa America International Energy…
  39. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 39
    World Unconventional Liquids Production, 1980-2030 (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 12 History Projections 10 Other Gas-To-Liquids 8 Coal-To-Liquids Biofuels 6 Ultra Heavy Crudes Canadian Oil Sands 4 2 0 1980 1990…
  40. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 40
    World Natural Gas Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (trillion cubic feet) 100 93 90 80 OECD 67 70 70 Non-OECD 62 60 51 50 48 40 30 20 10 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and…
  41. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 41
    World Natural Gas Reserves by Region, as of January 1, 2007 (trillion cubic feet) Middle East 2566 Eurasia 2017 Africa 484 Asia 419 World Total = North America 277 6,183 Trillion Cubic Feet Central and South America 241…
  42. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 42
    World Natural Gas Production, 2004-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 180 OECD Russia 160 Middle East Other Non-OECD 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy Outlook 2007
  43. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 43
    World Coal Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 160 140 140 120 Non-OECD 101 100 80 OECD 68 59 60 51 47 40 20 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Non-OECD…
  44. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 44
    World Net Electricity Generation, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (billion kilowatthours) 20,000 18,000 17,174 16,000 OECD 13,190 14,000 Non-OECD 12,000 11,120 11,169 9,455 10,000 8,000 6,969 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2004 2015 2030…
  45. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 45
    World Nuclear Generating Capacity, 2004 and 2030 (gigawatts) OECD North America 112 131 OECD Europe 134 114 61 OECD Asia 92 15 Non-OECD Asia 72 42 2004 Non-OECD Europe 65 2030 5 Other Non-OECD 8 0 50 100 150…
  46. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 46
    World Renewables Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 35 29 30 25 25 OECD 22 22 20 Non-OECD 18 15 15 10 5 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Non-OECD…
  47. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 47
    World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990-2030 (million metric tons) 30,000 26,226 25,000 20,000 OECD 19,197 16,654 Non-OECD 14,692 15,000 13,457 13,465 11,399 9,847 10,000 5,000 0 1990 2004 2015 2030 North…
  48. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 48
    World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990-2030 (billion metric tons) 50 History Projections 45 40 Total 35 30 25 20 Coal 15 Liquids 10 5 Natural Gas 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International…
  49. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 49
    International Energy Outlook 2007 reference case indicates that through 2030 Worldwide marketed energy consumption grows by 57 percent, with the highest growth projected for the developing countries. World unconventional production…
  50. Seminar with Japan Oil – EIA – slide 50
    Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2007, February 2007 International Energy Outlook 2007, May 2007 Examples of Special Analyses Economic…

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