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CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd

Ugr Blair Creek Ltd · Apr 8, 2015 · 54 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 1
    UGR Montney Presentation CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium Toronto April 8, 2015 Confidential and Proprietary 1
  2. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 2
    Introduction UGR was founded in 2007 to pursue unconventional oil & gas Principals opportunities in the U.S. and Canada o Mike Gatens - CEO Canada 35 yrs experience o Acquired first Montney lands in 2007 BS & MS Petroleum Engineering…
  3. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 3
    Executive Summary Focused on the North Montney Divested Texas and Alberta assets in 2014 70,000 net acres, 24 Tcf resource in best part of Montney play 10+ Tcf recoverable, 1,500+ locations Value is Dominated by Montney Asset…
  4. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 4
    Corporate Asset Summary +/- 60 MMcfe/D net production 24 Tcfe of Montney gas-in-place 10 Tcfe recoverable (UGR estimate) 1.8 Tcfe proved + probable reserves 5.2 Tcfe of booked contingent resource CA1.4 billion PV10 (12/31/2013) +…
  5. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 5
    Montney Overview Confidential and Proprietary 5
  6. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 6
    Montney is a World-Class Play Over 4,200 Tcf and 140 billion bbl oil in place From Canadian National Energy Board (NEB) UGR Lands Greater than the Marcellus and Eagle Ford combined 449 Tcf gas recoverable 14.5 billion bbl NGLs…
  7. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 7
    Geology Review Montney Deposition Montney Formation Extends over a large area of Alberta and BC encompassing approximately 50,000 square miles Early Triassic in age (245 million yrs ago) Formed on the edge of the continent Oceans…
  8. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 8
    Montney Began as a Conventional Play Three main types of deposits in the Montney Shoreline and shelf deposits comprising sandstones, siltstones and coquinas, with conventional high permeability oil and gas reservoirs exploited in the…
  9. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 9
    Montney is a THICK Formation Courtesy of Progress Energy 300 m thick formation = 3+ stacked plays OGIP = 270+ Bcf/GSU vs. 160 Bcf/GSU for Eagle Ford Confidential and Proprietary 9
  10. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 10
    Montney Production is Ramping Up Over 3.2 Bcfe/D in BC, 1.1 Bcfe/D in North Montney in January 2015 Confidential and Proprietary 10
  11. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 11
    Montney Wells Have Shallow Decline Rates Why shallow Montney decline rates Montney is not a shale Probably due to enhanced Recent UGR Town Wells permeability due to natural fracturing in low-porosity areas Production Curves…
  12. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 12
    Montney Industry Trends Drilling Completions Surface casing setting depth reduced from 2,000 Open hole ball drop emerging as preferred to plug feet to 1,000 feet & perf Saves about 100,000/well Saves 500,000/well Drill & set…
  13. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 13
    Completion Technology is Evolving Costs coming down, wells getting better Lower 2015 costs Multi-Well Pads 4 to 8 wells/section/layer 12 to 32 wells/pad Frac Design Optimization Ongoing 1,400 m to 3,000 m laterals Plug & perf…
  14. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 14
    Competitive Insights (for American audience) Ownership Stakeholder Topics Provinces own the vast majority of mineral rights The First Nations tribes have certain rights and must be Leases obtained through monthly sealed-bid auctions…
  15. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 15
    BC Montney M&A Activity BC Montney 2010 2013 British Columbia Montney M&A Activity 8 acquisitions: 8.1 billion 2,000 - 34,000 per acre (avg. 8,200) Some with production, some without At a discount to JVs 5 JVs: 6.5 billion…
  16. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 16
    BC LNG Update 16 LNG export projects proposed, 6 by majors with experience, 2 by credible small players; 6 new pipelines proposed Over 35 Bcf/D if all constructed, 2 x historic Canadian production Proposed Western Canadian LNG Plants…
  17. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 17
    UGR Montney Assets Confidential and Proprietary 17
  18. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 18
    UGR Lands are in the Heart of the North Montney Fairway UGR has 70,000 net acres, most with a 100% The North Montney was initially drilled in 2009 and working interest had 28 rigs running in the local UGR area (Progress was running…
  19. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 19
    UGR Acreage is in a Large Sweet Spot Best Month of Production (BC Montney) Best Month of Production (North Montney) Alberta Border UGR lands Confidential and Proprietary 19
  20. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 20
    The North Montney Has Thick Quality Acreage High-Graded Pay Thickness (BC Montney) Gas-In-Place per Square Mile (North Montney) Confidential and Proprietary 20
  21. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 21
    Montney Type Logs Four stratigraphic zones can be mapped over UGR lands and beyond Three completion zones, all tested vertically and horizontal Water saturation averages 25% with no free water Average gas-filled porosity 4.1%…
  22. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 22
    UGR Acreage has Good Wells In All Three Montney Zones North Montney Well Quality and Completion Zone Good wells in all three zones Over-pressured (0.5 to 0.65 psi/ft; 11.3 to 14.7 kPa/m) Dry gas wells are deeper, higher pressure,…
  23. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 23
    UGR Wells are Better Than Play Average, Revisions are Usually Upwards UGR Wells are Significantly Better than the Play Average Two of the top ten wells in the BC Montney Unconventional play are on UGR lands (based on 6-month…
  24. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 24
    Type Curve Development Newer UGR Wells: Better than Older Wells, Completions Evolving UGR forecasts individual wells and rolls up to an average Means no loss of well count in averaging, regardless of well age Forced 6% terminal…
  25. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 25
    Increasing Access to Markets Regional Pipe and Takeaway Capacity North Montney Existing and Planned Pipelines The UGR lands sit on an existing 1.8 Bcf/D pipeline (Spectra T-North) Fully contracted, but 700 MMcf/D underutilized UGR…
  26. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 26
    Firm Transportation & Processing Commitments Spectra T-North Ft. Nelson Line (Gas) Plausible that interruptible volumes will end by 2016 We want to ensure we can get gas to Station 2 Interconnects with TCPL do exist, so Station 2…
  27. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 27
    UGR Montney Reserves Growth Prior to 2014, UGR focus was on growing reserves Roughly 67% of UGRs locations have been booked as either Reserves or Contingent Resource GLJ increased OGIP and type curves Gas price forecast is lower than…
  28. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 28
    Local Area Highlights Beg area now includes numerous very good offsets Upper, Middle & Lower Montney Progress and Black Swan wells Best Month of 7-9 MMcf/D Black Swan is planning an 80 MMcf/D liquids plant for their wells Town…
  29. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 29
    Jedney Pad Jedney Pad (C-54-J) One vertical and three Lower Montney hz wells Condensate stabilizer, sand filters, wet meters, group & test separator, dehy Two hz wells flowing to sales at 3 5 MMcf/D Initial wells into new…
  30. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 30
    Town, Daiber & Kobes Pads Town 2 Pad (D-69-B) One Vertical and four hz wells (1 UM, 3 LM) Sand filters, wet meters, group and test separators Gas flows to 25 MMcf/D Kanata dew point plant Gas sales initiated early January 2015…
  31. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 31
    Montney & UGR Completion Designs are Evolving Recent Open Hole Ball-Drop Completion Designs that have Created 10+ MMcf/D Wells Recent Per Stage Per Well Lateral Completion Fluid Sand Typical Fluid Sand Length 3 3 Designs Hardware…
  32. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 32
    Upper Montney Production Performance Newest wells are best wells Ball drop completion technique Dont place lateral in phosphate New wells 2X older wells, but need a few more months to confirm UGR imposing a 10 Bcf/well cap…
  33. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 33
    Lower Montney Production Performance Newest wells are better than older wells on average Ball drop completion technique New wells 1.3X older wells, but need a few more months to confirm UGR imposing 10 Bcf/well cap on only a…
  34. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 34
    Montney Type Curves are Improving New type curves have substantially higher early rates than old type curves The Upper Montney is 2X the old type curve for the first several years New type curves have materially higher EURs…
  35. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 35
    Single-Well Economics Confidential and Proprietary 35
  36. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 36
    Water Management Frac water is sourced from lakes, rivers and private land owners Lined pits can be used, but the common practice is to use large above ground storage tanks (C-Rings) that hold 40,000 bbls of water C-Rings Cannot…
  37. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 37
    Production Equipment Typical Montney Well Surface Equipment on Lease Sand filter/separator Three phase separator Flare stack Wet meter Water and condensate storage Dehydration Sales meter Confidential and Proprietary 37
  38. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 38
    Added Processing Capacity in 2014 Most of our gas flows into the Spectra T-North line which only accepts sweet dry gas with a hydrocarbon dew point of -9 degrees centigrade or lower, thus most of our acreage will require some processing…
  39. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 39
    UGR Corporate Production Confidential and Proprietary 39
  40. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 40
    Forward Plan Confidential and Proprietary 40
  41. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 41
    2015 Plan Targets Southern Core Area (Town) Southern core has access to pipeline capacity T-North runs under UGR acreage and has capacity Dry gas or dew-point control = fewest facilities Pads scouted or built Jedney has limited…
  42. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 42
    UGR Drilling Schedule Scenario A (One Rig) UGR Blair Creek One Rig Plan - Recommended Plan Drill Timing 2015 2016 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Kobes Kobes Daiber…
  43. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 43
    UGR Production Forecast Scenario A Confidential and Proprietary 43
  44. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 44
    Risks & Uncertainties Things we cant control Gas price, LNG FIDs, service access/costs Willing & able buyers/partners Market opinion of UGR value Public opposition, First Nations, regulatory policy Things we can control Pace of…
  45. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 45
    Proposing Capital Program in 2015 Increased borrowing base Drilled 2 remaining Kobes wells in Q1 Drill 8 net wells with 1-rig plan Participate in facility expansion with Kanata to 100 MMcf/D by Q1 2016 Divest mid-stream facilities…
  46. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 46
    Exit Strategy Confidential and Proprietary 46
  47. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 47
    Competitor Lands & Synergies Marketing strategy is influenced by offset activity Competitor drilling activity aids in acreage assessment Long-term midstream solutions in Beg & Jedney will likely involve offset operators Exit…
  48. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 48
    Exit Options Maintain contact with potential LNG or value-added developers that need additional gas supply Possible sale or JV Merge or amalgamate with strategic neighbors Existing public company Other private company(s) before…
  49. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 49
    UGR Drill-Out Potential U.S Investor Model Drill-Out Plans for 1,500 Wells Are Being Developed Ramp to 10 rigs = 1 Bcfe/D by 2022, can hold flat for 10 years Drill-Out Cash Flow Self-Funding by year 3 without using debt 550 million…
  50. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 50
    Questions Confidential and Proprietary 50
  51. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 51
    Appendix Confidential and Proprietary 51
  52. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 52
    Gas Price Forecasts Confidential and Proprietary 52
  53. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 53
    Operating Cost Summaries All UGR Montney PPY Altagas Area PRQ Daiber D-60-C Pad Confidential and Proprietary 53
  54. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium – Ugr Blair Creek Ltd – slide 54
    Operating Cost Summaries PPY Town D-44 Pad PRQ Kobes A-10-J Pad PRQ McMahon Area Confidential and Proprietary 54

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