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CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA

EIA · Feb 25, 2005 · 15 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 1
    Prospects For Alternative Transportation Fuels John J. Conti Energy Information Administration john.contieia.doe.gov CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar February 25, 2005 Arlington, Virginia
  2. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 2
    Nonconventional Often Evolves Into Conventional Production Technology allows yesterdays exotic production to become todays ordinary production. Recent examples include: Deepwater Gulf of Mexico Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) Coalbed…
  3. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 3
    World Oil Prices, 1990-2025 (2003 dollars per barrel) 60 History Forecast 50 High B 40 High A October futures 30 Reference 20 10 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2005
  4. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 4
    World Conventional and Nonconventional Production, 2025 (million barrels per day) 120 AEO 2005 110 100 Reference 90 High B 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Crude Oil Oil Sands Hvy Oil GTLs CTLs Ethanol Shale Oil…
  5. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 5
    Key Sources of World Nonconventional Production High B Case, 2025 (million barrels per day) Oil Heavy Shale Sands Oil GTLs CTLs Ethanol Oil ______ _____ _____ _____ _______ _____ Canada 4.688 United Kingdom 0.069 Norway 0.015…
  6. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 6
    Domestic Crude Oil Production, 1990-2025 (million barrels per day) 8 History Forecast 7 6 High B 5 Reference 4 3 2 1 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2005
  7. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 7
    Petroleum Supply, Consumption, and Imports, 1990-2025 (million barrels per day) 30 History Forecast Reference 25 High B 20 Consumption Net Imports 15 10 High B Domestic supply Reference 5 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015…
  8. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 8
    Import Share of Products Supplied, 1990-2025 (percent) 70% History Forecast Reference 60% High B 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2005
  9. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 9
    Reference Case Transportation Energy Consumption by Fuel, 2003, 2010, and 2025 (quadrillion Btu) 25 20 2003 2010 15 2025 10 5 0 Distillate Fuel Jet Fuel Motor Other Natural Gas Other Fuels Gasoline Petroleum…
  10. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 10
    Reference Case Transportation Energy Consumption by Mode, 2003, 2010, and 2025 (quadrillion Btu) 25 2003 20 2010 2025 15 10 5 0 Light-Duty Light Trucks Freight Air Rail Marine Vehicles Trucks Source: Annual Energy…
  11. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 11
    Gas-to-Liquids and Coal-to-Liquids Production in High Oil Price Cases, 1990-2025 (million barrels per day) 1.2 1.0 Coal to Liquids/ High B 0.8 0.6 Gas to Liquids/ High B 0.4 Gas to Liquids/ 0.2 High A Coal to Liquids/ High…
  12. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 12
    Light Duty Vehicle Alternative Fuel Consumption, 2003-2025 (trillion Btu) 400 350 300 Ethanol 250 CNG LPG 200 Electricity 150 Hydrogen 100 Biodiesel 50 0 2003 2008 2013 2018 2023 Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2005
  13. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 13
    Gasoline and Diesel Prices, 1990-2025 (2003 cents per gallon) 250 200 High B Gasoline 150 Reference 100 50 History Forecast 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 200 180 High B 160 140 Diesel Reference 120…
  14. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 14
    Reference Case Fuel Prices, 1980-2025 (2003 dollars per gasoline equivalent gallon) 3.00 History Forecast Constant 2003 /GGE 2.50 Electricity 2.00 E-85 LPG 1.50 Gasoline 1.00 Diesel 0.50 CNG 0.00 80 85 90 95…
  15. CENTRA Technology Alternative Fuels Seminar – EIA – slide 15
    Conclusions Higher oil prices benefit CTL and GTL by over 2 million bpd. Higher oil prices reduce transportation consumption by 1 million bpd. Ethanol expands market share from 2 to 4.5 percent of a shrinking gasoline market.…

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