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Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA

EIA · Nov 13, 2005 · 25 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 1
    Global Oil Markets, U.S. Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina Guy Caruso Administrator, Energy Information Administration Guy. carusoeia.doe.gov Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research November 13, 2005 Abu…
  2. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 2
    Major Events and World Oil Prices 1970-2004 dollars per barrel Saudis abandon swing Strong Demand Growth 45 producer role 40 Venezuela Iran-Iraq War Operation Unrest 35 Begins Desert 30 Storm OPEC cutbacks 25 Oil Embargo 20…
  3. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 3
    Key Factors for the Short-Term Forecast International factors such as low spare crude oil production capacity and political tensions contribute to uncertainty, low supply growth for crude oil, and high crude oil prices Recent…
  4. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 4
    Shut-In Federal Offshore Gulf Crude Oil Production thousand barrels per day dollars per barrel History Projections 72 2,000 WTI Crude Oil Price Shut In Capacity 64.00 64.25 64.00 63.75 66 63.00 1,600 60 1,200 716 54 800 576…
  5. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 5
    Shut-In Gulf Coast Refinery Capacity thousand barrels per day cents per gallon History Projections 6,000 340 Retail Diesel Price Retail Gasoline Price 5,000 310 278 4,000 268 280 259 258 256 3,000 250 Shut In Capacity 238 237…
  6. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 6
    Tight Global Markets Result in High Crude Oil Prices 2005 dollars per barrel million barrels per day 70 History Projections 14 60 12 50 10 40 8 30 6 20 4 10 2 0 0 Jan-90 Jan-95 Jan-00 Jan-05 WTI Spot Price World Spare…
  7. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 7
    World Oil Demand Growth (million barrels per day) 1.6 1.4 History Projections 1.2 3.2% 1.6% 2.2% 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 OECD* Non-OECD Asia Former Soviet Union & E. Europe Other…
  8. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 8
    World Oil Demand Growth (million barrels per day) 3.0 2.5 History Projections 2.0 1.5 United States 1.0 0.5 China 0.0 -0.5 1991- 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1999 Average Short-Term Energy Outlook, November…
  9. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 9
    Days of Supply of OECD Commercial Oil Stocks 60 History Projections Previous 5-Year Min/Max Range 58 56 54 52 50 48 46 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2005
  10. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 10
    U.S. Petroleum Products Demand Growth (thousand barrels per day) 1000 History Projections 800 3.5% 600 2.2% 400 200 -0.8% 0 -200 -400 2004 2005 2006 Total Motor Gasoline Jet Fuel Fuel Oil Other Short-Term Energy…
  11. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 11
    U.S. Crude Oil Stocks (million barrels) 400 History Projections 380 Previous 5-Year Min/Max Range 360 340 320 300 280 260 240 220 200 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2005
  12. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 12
    U.S. Gasoline Stocks (million barrels) 240 History Projections 230 Previous 5-Year Min/Max Range 220 210 200 190 180 Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Short-Term Energy…
  13. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 13
    U.S. Crude Oil Production (million barrels per day) 1.20 History Projections 6.0 1.00 5.0 0.80 4.0 0.60 3.0 0.40 2.0 0.20 1.0 0.00 0.0 -0.20 -1.0 -0.40 -2.0 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 Total Change (left axis)…
  14. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 14
    Shut-In Federal Offshore Gulf Natural Gas Production billion cubic feet per day dollars per thousand cubic feet 10 History Projections 20 Henry Hub Price * Shut In Capacity 8 16 13.60 13.05 11.19 6 10.69 12 9.07 4.3 4 3.4 8…
  15. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 15
    U.S. Natural Gas Demand Growth 12% 90 10% 80 History Projections 8% 70 6% 60 4% 50 2% 40 0% 30 -2% 20 -4% 10 -6% 0 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 Percent Change (left axis) Billion Cubic Feet per Day (right axis)…
  16. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 16
    U.S. Natural Gas Spot Prices (dollars per thousand cubic feet) 14 History Projections 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2005
  17. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 17
    World Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 300 History Projections 250 38% 200 Share of Natural Gas 25% World Oil 24% 150 Total Coal 100 Renewables 8% 50 5% Nuclear 0 1970 1975 1980…
  18. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 18
    World Marketed Energy Consumption by Region, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 350 History Projections 46% 300 42% 250 Mature Market Economies Share of 200 World Emerging Total 150 Economies 100 12% 50 Transitional Economies…
  19. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 19
    World Oil Consumption and Production, 2002, 2010, and 2025 (million barrels per day) Consumption Production 140 Mature Market Economies OPEC Emerging Asia Transitional Economies Other 119.2 Other 118.9 120 100 94.6 94.3 80 78.2…
  20. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 20
    Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2005, December 2004 International Energy Outlook 2005, July 2005 Examples of Special Analyses Analysis…
  21. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 21
    Additional Slides
  22. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 22
    World Oil Spare Production Capacity (million barrels per day) 6.0 History Projections 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1991- 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1997 Average Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2005
  23. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 23
    U.S. Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices (cents per gallon) 330 300 History Projections 270 240 210 180 150 120 90 60 30 0 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 WTI Crude Oil Wholesale Gasoline Retail…
  24. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 24
    U.S. Retail Heating Oil Prices (cents per gallon) 330 300 History Projections 270 240 210 180 150 120 90 60 30 0 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2005
  25. Global Oil Markets US Demand And the Impact of Hurricane Katrina – EIA – slide 25
    U.S. Electricity Demand Growth 10% History Projections 12 8% 10 6% 7 4% 5 2% 2 0% -2% 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Percent Change (left axis) Billion Kilowatthours per Day…

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