Annual Energy Outlook 2010 and Priority Data Improvements State Energy Working Group December 22, 2009, Washington, DC Richard Newell, Administrator Energy Information Administration
Key results from the AEO2010 reference case Moderate energy consumption growth and greater use of renewables due to recent policies and rising energy prices Declining reliance on imported liquid fuels U.S. oil use remains near its…
Non-fossil energy use grows rapidly, but fossil fuels still provide 78 percent of total energy use in 2035 quadrillion Btu History Projections 120 Renewables (excluding liquid biofuels) 100 Liquid biofuels 80 Liquid fuels 60…
U.S. reliance on imported liquid fuels is reduced by increased domestic production and greater fuel efficiency million barrels per day History Projections 25 20 Consumption 40% 45% 15 Net imports 60% 57% 10 Production 5…
Biofuels meet most of the growth in liquid fuels supply million barrels per day 25 History Projections Biofuels including imports 20 15 Petroleum supply Natural gas plant liquids 10 5 Net petroleum imports 0 1970 1975 1980…
Shale gas and Alaska production offset declines in supply to meet consumption growth and lower import needs trillion cubic feet History Projections 25 Alaska 20 Shale gas Coalbed methane 15 Non-associated onshore 10…
Natural gas and renewables account for the majority of capacity additions from 2008 to 2035 2008 capacity Capacity additions 2008 to 2035 Hydropower* Hydropower* 99 (10%) 1 (0.4%) Nuclear Coal 8 (3%) Coal Nuclear 312 (31%) 31…
Nonhydropower renewable sources meet 41% of total electricity generation growth from 2008 to 2035 billion kilowatthours 600 History Projections 500 400 Biomass 300 200 Wind 100 Solar Geothermal 0 Waste 1990 1995 2000 2005…
Assuming no new policies, growth in energy-related CO2 is driven by electricity and transportation fuel use 2008 2035 Buildings and Electric Power Electric Power Industrial Buildings and 2,359 (41%) 2,634 (42%) 1,571 (25%)…
Oil prices in the reference case rise steadily, but are subject to considerable uncertainty 2008 dollars per barrel History Projections 225 High oil price 200 175 150 AEO2009 reference 125 100 AEO2010 reference 75 50 Low oil…
Oil prices relate to many uncertain factors Non-OPEC supply growth Inventories OPEC production Global economic decisions growth Global Spare production Oil Prices Speculation, hedging, capacity investment Exchange rates…
EIA recently launched the Energy and Financial Markets Initiative to track all the factors affecting energy prices The Initiative has four main components relating to 1. Collection of critical energy information to improve market…
EIA portals provide State energy data all in one place State Energy Profiles feature Quick Facts to provide the most important State energy information Overviews and maps to explain each States energy markets Data tables to…
New this year for State Energy Profiles and State Energy Data System State Energy Profiles Territory Energy Profiles Ranking charts Updated energy maps Expanded Quick Facts and Overviews State Energy Data System Data.gov file…
Coming soon for State Energy Profiles and State Energy Data System State Energy Profiles Add Data Highlights charts Add regional maps of energy-intensive areas of the U.S. Expand written analysis Add State in Focus State…
Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS) Only comprehensive source of national data on energy-related characteristics and consumption for U.S. households The only EIA survey that collects household data Conducted every 4 years;…
Expanded 2009 RECS (contingent on funding) RECS 2005 RECS 2009 4,382 completed interviews 15,400 completed interviews Sampling precision poor for all areas: Greater precision assured for all Region, Division, States areas and key…
For more information U.S. Energy Information Administration home page www.eia.gov Short-Term Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/emeu/steo/pub/contents.html Annual Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html International Energy Outlook…