The Impact of Higher Energy Prices on U.S. Energy Markets Guy Caruso, Administrator Energy Information Administration California Air Resources Board 6th Haagen-Smit Symposium May 8-11, 2006 Aptos, CA
EIA Has Reassessed Its Long-Term Oil Price Projection Major oil producing countries pace investment more consistent with higher oil price path Investment impediments more persistent, even after several years of relatively higher oil…
World Oil Price, 1980-2030 (2004 dollars per barrel) 80 History Projections 60 40 20 History AEO2005 AEO2006 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2005 and 2006
U.S. Natural Gas Wellhead Price, 1970-2030 (2004 dollars per thousand cubic feet) 8 History Projections 7 6 5 4 3 History AEO2005 2 AEO2006 1 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2005 and…
U.S. Primary Energy Consumption, 1960-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 140 133 AEO2005 120 134 100 AEO2006 100 80 60 40 History Projections 20 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2005 and 2006
U.S. Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1960-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 60 History Projections Petroleum 50 40 Coal 30 Natural Gas 20 Nuclear 10 Renewables 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook…
U.S. Delivered Energy Consumption by Sector, 2004, 2025, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 45 2004 History 40 AEO2005 - 2025 AEO2006 - 2025 35 AEO2006 - 2030 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Residential Commercial Industrial…
U.S. Petroleum Supply, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2030 (million barrels per day) 30 History Projections 25 20 62% Consumption Net Imports 15 58% 10 Domestic Supply 5 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020…
U.S. Petroleum Consumption by Sector, 1970-2030 (million barrels per day) 20 History Projections Transportation 15 10 5 Industrial Residential and Commercial Electric Power 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030…
U.S. Transportation Energy Consumption by Mode, 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 25 History Projections 20 Light-Duty Vehicles 15 10 Heavy-Duty Vehicles Air 5 Rail Water 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy…
Transportation Travel Demand by Mode, 1980-2030 (index, 2004 = 1) 2.0 History Projections Heavy Trucks Aircraft 1.5 Light-Duty Vehicles 1.0 0.5 0.0 1980 1995 2004 2015 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2006
U.S. New Light-Duty Vehicle Efficiency, 1980-2030 (miles per gallon) 30 History Projections 29 28 AEO2006 27 26 AEO2005 25 24 23 22 21 20 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2005 and 2006
U.S. New Light-Duty Vehicle Efficiency, 2004, 2025, and 2030 (miles per gallon) 35 2004 History AEO2005 - 2025 30 AEO2006 - 2025 AEO2006 - 2030 25 20 15 10 5 0 New Car New Light-Duty Truck New Light-Duty Vehicle…
U.S. Sales of Full Hybrid and Diesel Vehicles, 2004, 2025, and 2030 (thousand units) 2,000 2004 History AEO2005 - 2025 AEO2006 - 2025 1,500 AEO2006 - 2030 1,000 500 0 Hybrids* Diesel *Only includes hybrids that…
Average Fuel Economy of New Light-Duty Vehicles, 1980-2030 (miles per gallon) 35 Cars History Projections 30 All Light-Duty Vehicles 25 Light Trucks 20 15 10 5 0 1980 1995 2004 2015 2030 Annual Energy Outlook…
Sales of Advanced Technology Light-Duty Vehicles, 2015 and 2030 (thousand vehicles sold) 2,500 Hybrids Alcohol 2,000 Turbo Direct Injection Diesel Gaseous Electric 1,500 Fuel Cell 1,000 500 0 2015 2030 Annual…
U.S. Transportation Fuel Use in Two Technology Cases (percent change from reference case) 30 2005 Technology 20 High Technology 10 0 -10 2010 2030 -20 Light-Duty Freight Light-Duty Freight Aircraft Aircraft…
U.S. Transportation Fuel Efficiency in Two Technology Cases, (percent change from reference case) 30 2005 Technology High Technology 20 10 0 -10 2010 2030 -20 Light-Duty Freight Light-Duty Freight Aircraft Aircraft…
Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2006, February 2006 International Energy Outlook 2005, July 2005 Examples of Special Analyses Economic…
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