The Outlook for U.S. Natural Gas Markets Guy Caruso, Administrator Energy Information Administration U.S. Department of Energy Presentation to Gasunie Board September 28, 2007 The Netherlands
Annual Energy Outlook 2007 reference case indicates that through 2030.... U.S. energy demand is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 1.1 percent The energy efficiency of the economy is projected to increase at an average…
World Oil Price, 1980-2030 (2005 dollars per barrel) 100 History Projections High Price 80 Reference 60 40 Low Price 20 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
U.S. Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1960-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 60 History Projections Liquid Fuels 50 40 Coal 30 Natural Gas 20 Nuclear 10 Renewables 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy…
U.S. Natural Gas Wellhead Price, 1970-2030 (2005 dollars per thousand cubic feet) 8 History Projections 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
U.S. Natural Gas Consumption by Sector, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) History 10 Projections Industrial* 8 Electric Power 6 Residential 4 Commercial 2 Transportation** 0 1990 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030 * Includes…
U.S. Natural Gas Production, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 30 History Projections 25 Consumption Net Imports 21% 20 16% Production 15 Natural Gas Net Imports, 2005 and 2030 (trillion cubic…
U.S. Natural Gas Production by Source, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 10 History Projections 8 Lower 48 Non-Associated Unconventional 6 Lower 48 Non-Associated Conventional Onshore 4 Lower 48 Non-Associated Offshore…
Major Sources of Incremental U.S. Natural Gas Supply, 2006-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 28 26 Growth in Alaskan Production 24 Growth in LNG Imports 22 20 Growth in Non-Associated Unconventional 18 Base Production (all…
U.S. Unconventional Natural Gas Production, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) History Projections 7 6 5 Tight Sands 4 3 2 Coalbed Methane 1 Gas Shales 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual Energy…
U.S. Net Imports of Natural Gas, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 5 History Projections 4 Overseas LNG 3 Canada 2 1 0 Mexico -1 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
Current U.S. LNG Import Terminals Everett, Massachusetts 3.4 Bcf Storage Capacity Regasification Capacity: Peak: 1.035 Bcf per day Baseload: 715 MMcf per day Cove Point, Maryland 7.8 Bcf Storage Capacity Regasification…
U.S. LNG Imports, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 3.0 History Projections 2.5 New Terminals 2.0 1.5 Existing Terminals 1.0 0.5 0.0 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
U.S. Electricity Generation by Fuel, 1980-2030 (billion kilowatthours) History Projections 3,000 Coal 2,000 Natural Gas 1,000 Nuclear Renewables Petroleum 0 1980 1990 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy…
U.S. Electricity Generating Capacity, including Combined Heat and Power, 2005-2030 (gigawatts) 1,200 New Nuclear New Renewable New Coal Needed 1,000 Capacity New Natural Gas Existing Other Fossil Steam 800 Existing Combustion…
U.S. Electricity Generation Capacity Additions by Fuel, 2006-2030 (gigawatts) 60 Natural Gas Coal Renewables 40 Nuclear 20 0 2006-2010 2011-2015 2016-2020 2021-2025 2026-2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2007
Lower 48 Wellhead Natural Gas Prices in Alternative Cases, 1990-2030 (2005 dollars per thousand cubic feet) 8 History Projections High Price 6 Reference 4 Low Price 2 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025…
Natural Gas Consumption in the Electric Power and Other End-Use Sectors in Alternative Price Cases, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 25 History Projections Reference Other End-Use Low Price 20 High Price 15 10 Low…
U.S. Natural Gas Production in Alternative Price Cases, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 25 History Projections Low Price 20 Reference High Price 15 10 5 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual…
Net U.S. Imports of Liquefied Natural Gas in Alternative Price Cases, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 8 History Projections Low Price 6 4 Reference 2 High Price 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual…
Lower 48 Wellhead Natural Gas Prices in Alternative Technology Cases, 8 1990-2030 (2005 dollars per thousand cubic feet) History Projections Slow Technology 6 Reference Rapid Technology 4 2 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010…
U.S. Natural Gas Production in Alternative Technology Cases, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 25 History Projections Rapid Technology 20 Reference Slow Technology 15 10 5 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025…
Net U.S. Imports of Liquefied Natural Gas in Alternative LNG Cases, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 10 High LNG History Projections 8 6 Reference 4 2 Low LNG 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual…
Lower 48 Wellhead Natural Gas Prices in Alternative LNG Cases, 8 1990-2030 (2005 dollars per thousand cubic feet) History Projections Low LNG 6 Reference 4 High LNG 2 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025…
U.S. Natural Gas Production in Alternative LNG Cases, 1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 25 History Projections Low LNG 20 Reference High LNG 15 10 5 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual Energy…
Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2007, February 2007 International Energy Outlook 2007, May 2007 Examples of Special Analyses Economic…