Energy Issues in Developing Countries: Forecasts from the International Energy Outlook 2005 Guy Caruso Administrator Energy Information Administration A Marshall Plan for Energy and Water Working Group Washington, DC July 27,…
Major trends in the IEO2005 forecast: Total world energy use is about 20 quadrillion Btu higher in 2025 than in last years IEOmostly because of higher levels of coal consumption. World oil demand in 2025 is 2 million barrels per day…
World Marketed Energy Consumption in Three Economic Growth Cases, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 800 History Projections High Economic 708 700 Growth Case 645 600 586 500 Reference Case 400 Low Economic Growth Case 300 200…
World Gross Domestic Product in Three Economic Growth Cases, 1970-2025 (billion 2000 U.S. dollars) 140000 History Projections 120000 High Economic Growth Case 100000 80000 Low Economic 60000 Reference Case Growth Case 40000…
World Marketed Energy Consumption by Region, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 350 History Projections 300 46% 42% 250 Mature Market Economies Share of 200 World Emerging Total 150 Economies 100 12% 50 Transitional Economies…
World Population by Region, 1970-2025 (millions) 7000 History Projections 81% 6000 5000 Emerging Economies 4000 Share of World 3000 Total 2000 Mature Market Economies 1000 14% Transitional Economies 5% 0 1970 1975…
Energy Intensity by Region, 1970-2025 (thousand Btu per thousand dollars of GDP) 25 History Projections 20 Transitional Economies 15 Mature Market Economies 10 Emerging Economies 5 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000…
World Energy Use per Capita by Region, 2002-2025 (million Btu per person) 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2002 2010 2015 2020 2025 Mature Market Economies Transitional Economies Emerging Economies International Energy…
World Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 300 History Projections 250 38% 200 Share of Natural Gas 25% World Oil 24% 150 Total Coal 100 Renewables 8% 50 5% Nuclear 0 1970 1975 1980 1985…
Share of Energy Consumption by Region and Fuel, 2002 and 2025 (percent) Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear Renewables 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2002 2025 2002 2025 2002 2025 Mature Market Transitional…
Energy Consumption in the Emerging Economies, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1970 1980 1990 2002 2010 2020 2025 China Other Emerging Asia Central & South America Africa Middle East International…
Primary Energy Consumption in the Emerging Economies by Fuel Type, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 140 History Projections 120 40% Oil 100 32% Share of 80 Coal Total 60 Natural Gas 18% 40 Renewables 7% 20 Nuclear 2% 0 1970…
Residential Sector Energy Use by Region, 2002-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2002 2010 2015 2020 2025 Mature Market Economies Transitional Economies Emerging Economies International Energy Outlook 2005
Commercial Sector Energy Use by Region, 2002-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 25 20 15 10 5 0 2002 2010 2015 2020 2025 Mature Market Economies Transitional Economies Emerging Economies International Energy Outlook 2005
Industrial Sector Energy Use by Region, 2002-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2002 2010 2015 2020 2025 Mature Market Economies Transitional Economies Emerging Economies International Energy Outlook…
Transportation Sector Energy Use by Region, 2002-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2002 2010 2015 2020 2025 Mature Market Economies Transitional Economies Emerging Economies International Energy Outlook…
World Oil Consumption by Region, 2002, 2015, and 2025 (million barrels per day) 70 62.2 60 56.9 57.0 49.4 50 46.3 40 28.7 30 20 10 0 2002 2015 2025 Central & South America Africa Middle East Other Emerging Asia China…
World Oil Reserves by Country, as of January 1, 2005 (billion barrels) Saudi Arabia Canada Iran Iraq Kuwait UAE Venezuela Russia Libya Nigeria United States China Qatar World Total = Mexico 1,278 Billion Barrels Algeria…
Natural Gas Consumption by Region, 2002, 2015, and 2025 (trillion cubic feet) 120 105.4 100 92.3 80 70.2 60 50.7 35.6 40 22.0 20 0 2002 2015 2025 Central & South America Africa Middle East Other Emerging Asia China…
World Natural Gas Reserves by Region, as of January 1, 2005 (trillion cubic feet) Middle East EE/FSU Africa Developing Asia North America World Total = Central & South 6,040 Trillion Cubic Feet America Western…
Coal Consumption by Region, 2002, 2015, and 2025 (million short tons) 6000 5000 4,878 4,134 4000 3,348 2,838 3,111 3000 2,424 2000 1000 0 2002 2015 2025 Central & South America Africa Middle East Other Emerging…
World Recoverable Coal Reserves as of January 1, 2003 (billion short tons) United States Russia China India Australia South Africa World Total = Ukraine 1,001 Billion Short Tons Kazakhstan Yugoslavia Other…
Electricity Consumption per Capita by Country Group, 2002 and 2025 (kilowatthours per person per year) India Africa Other Emerging Asia 2002 China C&S America 2025 Mexico Middle East Eastern Europe FSU South Korea Western…
Shares of Energy Use for Electricity Generation, 2002-2025 (percent) 2002 History Projections 2010 2015 2020 2025 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear Renewables International Energy Annual 2003 and…
Key issues for energy and the developing world Extensive investment will be required to expand the energy infrastructure Markets will be created for new technologies Geopolitical implications Environmental issues New opportunities…