Outlook for Energy Markets for U.S. Chamber of Commerce October 15, 2012 Washington, D.C. by Adam Sieminski, Administrator U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis www.eia.gov
Maritime oil chokepoints create concerns for energy security Source: EIA Today in Energy, March 2, 2011 Adam Sieminski October 15, 2012 2
Estimated unplanned production disruptions among non-OPEC producers, through August 2012 thousand barrels per day 1400 1200 Yemen Syria 1000 Sudan/S. Sudan 800 North Sea Mexico 600 Colombia 400 China Canada 200 Brazil 0…
OPEC surplus crude oil production capacity million barrels per day 6 forecast 5 4 3 2 1 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2001-2011 average Surplus Capacity Source: EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook,…
Other systemic energy security risk issues Natural disasters Electric reliability concerns Refining capacity outages Other energy infrastructure issues Adam Sieminski October 15, 2012 5
Non-OECD liquid fuels use is expected to surpasses almost flat OECD liquid fuels use in the near future total liquids consumption million barrels per day History 2010 Projections 70 62 60 Non-OECD 50 48 46 OECD 40 40% 41 30 Other…
U.S. energy use per capita and per dollar of gross domestic product 1980 2035 values indexed to 1980 1.2 history projections 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Per capita Per dollar Source: EIA Annual…
Domestic production of shale gas and tight oil has grown dramatically over the past few years shale gas production (dry) tight oil production for select plays billion cubic feet per day million barrels of oil per day 30 1.6 Rest of…
U.S. leads the league table for non-OPEC crude oil and liquid fuels growth over the next two years change in production from previous year million barrels per day 1.4 1.2 2012 2013 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6…
U.S. becomes a net natural gas exporter in 2022 U.S. dry natural gas trillion cubic feet History 2010 Projections 30 Net exports, 2035 5% Net imports, 2010 25 11% Consumption 20 Domestic production 15 1990 1995 2000…
U.S. dependence on imported petroleum declines moves even lower in various side case scenarios U.S. liquid fuel supply million barrels per day History 2005 2010 Projections 25 20 Consumption Extended Policies 14% 36% High TRR 15…
Primary energy use by fuel, 1980-2035 in absolute terms, all fuels grow except petroleum liquids U.S. energy consumption quadrillion Btu History 2010 Projections 120 Renewables (excluding biofuels) 100 11% 7% 4% 1% 80 Liquid…
Energy-related CO2 emissions never get back to pre-recession levels in the AEO2012 Reference case energy carbon dioxide emissions billion metric tons History 2005 2010 Projections 7 6 5 Energy-related CO2 emissions 4 2005 2020…
EIA data and analysis products are used by many government agencies, private organizations and NGOs unique page views in the last 30 days Petroleum data (navigator) Country Analysis Briefs Natural gas data (navigator) FAQs Today in…
Other upcoming releases and resources Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (February 2013) www.eia.gov/aeo International Energy Outlook 2013 (May 2013) www.eia.gov/ieo U.S. Energy Information Administration home page www.eia.gov Today in Energy…
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