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LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA

EIA · Nov 28, 2005 · 22 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 1
    LONG-TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS Guy Caruso, Administrator Energy Information Administration Black & Veatch Forum November 28, 2005 Washington, DC
  2. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 2
    Annual Energy Outlook 2005 indicates that over the next two decades.... U.S. energy demand will grow at an average annual rate of 1.3 percent, using the scenario with the highest assumed world oil prices The energy efficiency of the…
  3. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 3
    World Oil Price, 1970-2025 (2003 dollars per barrel) 70 60 History High B 50 Reference 48.00 40 30 30.31 20 27.73 10 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2025 Annual Energy Outlook 2005
  4. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 4
    U.S. Energy Production, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 140 History Projections 120 30% 100 Net Imports Consumption 27% 80 Production 60 40 20 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2025…
  5. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 5
    U.S. Energy Use per Capita and per Dollar of Gross Domestic Product, 1970-2025 (index, 1970 = 1) 1.2 History Projections 1.0 Per Capita 0.8 Per Dollar GDP 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2025 Annual…
  6. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 6
    U.S. Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 60 Petroleum History Projections 50 40 Natural Gas 30 Coal 20 10 Nuclear Nonhydropower Renewables 0 Hydropower 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2025 Annual…
  7. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 7
    U.S. Delivered Energy Consumption by Sector, 2003 and 2025 (quadrillion Btu) 45 40 2003 2025 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation Annual Energy Outlook 2005
  8. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 8
    U.S. Petroleum Production, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2025 (million barrels per day) 30 History Projections 25 20 Consumption 58% Net Imports 15 56% 10 Production 5 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2025…
  9. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 9
    U.S. Crude Oil Production, 1970-2025 (million barrels per day) 10 History Projections 8 6 4 Lower-48 Onshore 2 Lower-48 Offshore Alaska 0 1970 1980 1990 2003 2015 2025 Annual Energy Outlook 2005
  10. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 10
    U.S. Petroleum Consumption by Sector, 1970-2025 (million barrels per day) 20 History Projections 15 Transportation 10 5 Industrial Electric Power Residential and Commercial 0 1970 1980 1990 2003 2015 2025 Annual…
  11. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 11
    U.S. Natural Gas Production, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2025 (trillion cubic feet) 30 History Projections 20% 25 Consumption Net Imports 15% 20 Production 15 Natural Gas Net Imports, 2003 and 2025 (trillion cubic…
  12. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 12
    U.S. Natural Gas Production, 1990 - 2025 (trillion cubic feet) 10 History Projections 9 8 Lower-48 Non-Associated Unconventional 7 Lower-48 Non-Associated Conventional Onshore 6 5 Lower-48 Non-Associated Offshore 4 3 2…
  13. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 13
    U.S. Natural Gas Wellhead Price, 1970-2025 (2003 dollars per thousand cubic feet) 6 History Projections 4.98 5.32 5 4 3 2 1 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2025 Annual Energy Outlook 2005
  14. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 14
    U.S. Natural Gas Consumption by Sector, 1990-2025 (trillion cubic feet) 12 History Projections Industrial* 10 8 Electric Generators Residential 6 Commercial 4 2 Transportation** 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020…
  15. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 15
    Major Sources of Incremental Natural Gas Supply, 2003-2025 (trillion cubic feet) Growth in Alaskan Production 30 Growth in LNG Imports 25 Growth in Non-Associated Unconventional 20 2003 Production (all sources) 15…
  16. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 16
    U.S. Net Imports of Natural Gas, 1970-2025 (trillion cubic feet) History Projections 4 Liquefied Natural Gas 3.5 3 Canada 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 -0.5 Mexico -11970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025…
  17. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 17
    Regional LNG Imports at New Terminals, 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2025 (billion cubic feet) 2010 2015 New 2020 England 2025 WA/OR West Mountain North Mid Central 807 Atlantic East North Central 661 620 606 585 CA 535 East South…
  18. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 18
    U.S. Electricity Generation by Fuel, 1970-2025 (billion kilowatthours) 3,000 History Projections Coal 2,000 Natural Gas 1,000 Nuclear Renewables Petroleum 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2025 Annual Energy Outlook…
  19. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 19
    U.S. Electricity Generation Capacity Additions by Fuel Type, 2001-2025 (gigawatts) 80 Natural Gas Coal 70 Renewables 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2001-2005 2006-2010 2011-2015 2016-2020 2021-2025 Annual Energy Outlook 2005
  20. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 20
    U.S. Average Electricity Price, 1970-2025 (2003 cents per kilowatthour) 10 History Projections 7.4 7.4 8 6 4 2 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2025 Annual Energy Outlook 2005
  21. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 21
    U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1980-2025 (million metric tons) 9,000 History Projections 8,000 7,000 8,029 in 2025 5,789 in 2003 6,000 6,528 in 2010 5,000 Carbon Dioxide Emission Intensity, 1980-2025 4,000 (metric tons per…
  22. LONG TERM OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY MARKETS – EIA – slide 22
    Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2005, December 2004 International Energy Outlook 2005, July 2005 Examples of Special Analyses Renewable…

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