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The US Energy Outlook – EIA

EIA · Mar 1, 2010 · 21 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 1
    The U.S. Energy Outlook March 1, 2010 Paris, France Richard G. Newell, Administrator Richard Newell, SAIS, Paris, March December 1, 2010 14, 2009 1
  2. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 2
    How does the Annual Energy Outlook 2010 reference case handle public policy and technology Generally assumes current laws and regulations provisions sunset if specified (e.g., renewable tax credits expire) excludes potential future…
  3. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 3
    Key results from the AEO2010 reference case Moderate energy consumption growth and greater use of renewables due to recent policies and rising energy prices Declining reliance on imported liquid fuels U.S. oil use remains near its…
  4. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 4
    Oil prices in the reference case rise steadily; the full AEO2010 will include a wide range of prices 2008 dollars per barrel History Projections 225 High oil price 200 175 150 AEO2009 reference 125 100 AEO2010 reference 75 50 Low…
  5. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 5
    Oil to natural gas price ratio remains high over the projection Oil and natural gas prices 2008 dollars per million Btu Ratio of oil price to natural gas price 25 20 5 Crude oil 15 10 4 5 U.S. natural gas wellhead 0 1990 1995…
  6. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 6
    Non-fossil energy use grows rapidly, but fossil fuels still provide 78 percent of total energy use in 2035 quadrillion Btu History Projections 120 Renewables (excluding liquid biofuels) 100 Liquid biofuels 80 Liquid fuels 60…
  7. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 7
    Energy and CO2 per dollar GDP continue to decline; per capita energy use also declines index, 2005=1 History Projections 1.75 1.50 1.25 1.00 Energy per capita 0.75 Energy per dollar GDP CO2 per dollar GDP 0.50 0.25 0.00 1980…
  8. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 8
    U.S. reliance on imported liquid fuels is reduced by increased domestic production and greater fuel efficiency million barrels per day History Projections 25 20 Consumption 40% 45% 15 Net imports 60% 57% 10 Production 5…
  9. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 9
    Biofuels meet most of the growth in liquid fuels supply million barrels per day 25 History Projections Biofuels including imports 20 15 Petroleum supply Natural gas plant liquids 10 5 Net petroleum imports 0 1970 1975 1980…
  10. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 10
    New light duty vehicle efficiency reaches 40 mpg by 2035 miles per gallon 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 History AEO2010 10 Updated AEO2009 reference case 5 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Richard Newell, Paris, March 1, 2010…
  11. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 11
    Mild and full hybrid systems dominate new light-duty vehicle sales by 2035 millions History Projections 10 9 Electric/fuel cell 8 Plug-in hybrid electric 7 Hybrid electric 6 Mild hybrid electric 5 Gaseous 4 Flex fuel 3 Diesel…
  12. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 12
    Natural gas wellhead price is projected to rise from low levels experienced during 2008-2009 recession 2008 dollars per thousand cubic feet History Projections 10 8 6 4 AEO2010 reference case 2 Updated AEO2009 reference…
  13. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 13
    Import share of natural gas supply declines as domestic supply grows trillion cubic feet History Projections 30 25 Consumption 6% 2% Net imports 13% 20 Domestic supply 15 AEO2010 reference case Updated AEO2009 reference…
  14. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 14
    Shale gas has been the primary source of recent growth in U.S. technically recoverable natural gas resources trillion cubic feet 2250 2000 Unproved shale gas & other unconventional 1750 1500 1250 Unproved 1000 conventional…
  15. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 15
    Shale gas and Alaska production offset declines in supply to meet consumption growth and lower import needs trillion cubic feet History Projections 25 Alaska 20 Shale gas Coalbed methane 15 Non-associated onshore 10…
  16. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 16
    Growth in electricity use continues to slow 3-year rolling average percent growth Period Annual Growth History 1950s 9.8 14 1960s 7.3 Stru 1970s 4.7 12 ctur al C 1980s 2.9 han ge i 1990s 2.4 10 n Eco nom 2000-2008 0.9 y - Hi…
  17. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 17
    Natural gas and renewables account for the majority of capacity additions from 2008 to 2035 2008 capacity Capacity additions 2008 to 2035 Hydropower* Hydropower* 99 (10%) 1 (0.4%) Nuclear Coal 8 (3%) Coal Nuclear 312 (31%) 31…
  18. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 18
    Renewables gain electricity market share; coal share declines billion kilowatthours and percent shares 6,000 History Projections 5,000 17.0 4,000 Renewable 9.1 20.8 Natural gas 21.4 3,000 2,000 48.5 Coal 43.8 Oil and other…
  19. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 19
    Nonhydropower renewable sources meet 41% of total electricity generation growth from 2008 to 2035 billion kilowatthours 600 History Projections 500 400 Biomass 300 200 Wind 100 Solar Geothermal 0 Waste 1990 1995 2000 2005…
  20. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 20
    Assuming no new policies, growth in energy-related CO2 is driven by electricity and transportation fuel use 2008 2035 Buildings and Electric Power Electric Power Industrial Buildings and 2,359 (41%) 2,634 (42%) 1,571 (25%)…
  21. The US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 21
    For more information U.S. Energy Information Administration home page www.eia.gov Short-Term Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/emeu/steo/pub/contents.html Annual Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html International Energy Outlook…

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