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Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA

EIA · Apr 15, 2008 · 24 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 1
    Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Synergies and Conflicts Presentation for International Institute for Resource Industries and Sustainability Studies Haskayne School of Business The University of Calgary Howard…
  2. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 2
    Outline Background Data and Projections U.S. Sources and Uses of Energy, 2006 Trends in U.S. Liquids Import Dependence Trends in U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Perspectives on: Increased renewable fuels use in transportation…
  3. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 3
    U.S. Primary Energy Use by Fuel and Sector, 2006 (quadrillion Btu) Oil is used mainly in transportation, where it University of Calgary: IRIS talk is (by far) the dominant fuel
  4. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 4
    Liquid Fuels Consumption and Domestic Supply AEO2008 Reference Case (w/ EISA2007) million barrels per day 30 25 20 Consumption Net Imports 51% 55% 15 60% 10 Domestic supply 5 History Projection 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010…
  5. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 5
    Energy-related CO2 emissions by sector AEO2008 Reference Case (million metric tons) 3,500 Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation Electric Power 3,000 History Projections 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 1990 2000…
  6. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 6
    Energy Security and GHG Emission Reduction: Some synergies (S), Some conflicts (C) (S) Improved vehicle efficiency: lowers GHG emissions and oil demand/imports (=more energy security) (S/C) Biomass: should it back out coal used in…
  7. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 7
    Renewable Fuels and Transportation University of Calgary: IRIS talk
  8. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 8
    Transportation and Oil Transportation is the primary driver of oil demand In the US, transportation already accounts for nearly 70% of oil use. Historically, alternative fuels have not made significant inroads into transportation…
  9. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 9
    Alternatives to Oil in Transportation Biofuels Ethanol, biodiesel, and biobutanol Vehicle efficiency For constant VMT, each 50 percent increase in on- the-road fuel economy reduces fuel used by 33 percent. Coal to Liquids (CTL)…
  10. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 10
    3 Distinct Market Segments for Ethanol Clean, high-octane gasoline blending component market Lowest price sensitivity: must have item. Example: demand for ethanol in the aftermath of the phaseout of MTBE in spring 2006 Volume…
  11. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 11
    Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions University of Calgary: IRIS talk
  12. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 12
    Impact of a CO2 Value on Fossil Fuel Prices Delivered Price Impact of 10 per Impact of 50 per CO2 content ton CO2 value ton CO2 value (2005, all Fuel per million sectors, Btu per million Btu) percent percent Coal 0.094 1.57 0.94…
  13. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 13
    Energy-Related CO2 Emissions S.1766 analysis (million metric tons) 10,000 Electric Power Transportation Industrial Buildings 9,000 8,000 2020 2030 692 7,000 666 1,250 6,000 657 655 679 598 1,117 680 1,081 1,082 5,000 1,020…
  14. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 14
    Electricity Generation by Fuel (billion kilowatthours) 10,000 Coal without Sequestration Coal with Sequestration Natural Gas Nuclear 9,000 Renewable Oil and Other 8,000 2020 2030 7,000 6,000 550 726 5,000 869 1,157 514 692…
  15. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 15
    100 Fuel Cost For Current Coal and CC Gas w/ Carbon Value p er m eg aw att-h o u r 80 Existing CC w/ 8 gas 60 Existing CC w/ 6 gas 40 Existing Pulverized Coal 20 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Carbon Value ( / ton CO2) 160…
  16. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 16
    Electricity Cumulative Capacity Additions (gigawatts) 500 Coal without CCS Coal with CCS Natural Gas Nuclear Renewable Other 450 31 400 24 350 74 87 300 18 9 250 103 108 200 0 299 150 95 100 162 50 49 17 17 0…
  17. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 17
    Key Insights for the U.S. The sustainability of a particular energy mix or technology is open to varying perspectives. Perspectives on sustainability often depend on where the boundaries of the problem are set. Biomass is a critical…
  18. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 18
    Canada and the United States: Similarities and Differences University of Calgary: IRIS talk
  19. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 19
    Canadian Marketed Energy Use by Resource 7 History Projections 6 34% Liquids 5 Renewables 27% Quadrillion Btu 28% 29% 27% 4 Natural Gas Share of Total 3 26% 2 9% Coal 6% 1 6% 7% Nuclear 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000…
  20. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 20
    U.S. Marketed Energy Use by Resource 60 History Projections 40% 50 Liquids Share of Total 41% 40 Quadrillion Btu Coal 26% 30 23% 20% Natural Gas 20 22% Nuclear 10 8% 7% 7% 6% Renewables 0 1980 1990 2000 2010…
  21. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 21
    Canada/U.S. End-Use Energy Consumption Quadrillion Btu 8 2004 2030 6.2 6 4.4 3.6 4 2.5 1.4 1.6 1.7 2 1.1 0 Residential Commercial Industrial Transport % Change CAN 19% 49% 41% 44% 2004-30 USA 21% 48% 16% 41% 50 Quadrillion…
  22. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 22
    Canada/U.S. Net Electric Generation by Fuel Type Billion kWh 500 421 2004 2030 400 310 300 200 115 95 90 85 92 100 19 11 23 0 Liquids Nat Gas Coal Nuclear Other 4000 3330 2004 2030 B illio n kW h 3000 1979 2000 942…
  23. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 23
    Canada/U.S Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Fossil Fuel % change M illio n to n s 1000 2004-2030 Liquids Natural Gas Coal 101 106 -5% 92 91 96 500 112 210 226 234 243 253 +36% 185 246 281 304 328 353 381 +55% 0 2004 2010 2015…
  24. Energy Security and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Synergies and Conflicts – EIA – slide 24
    Qu esti on s

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