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US Energy Outlook – EIA

EIA · Mar 10, 2014 · 23 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 1
    U.S. Energy Outlook Harvard University John F. Kennedy School of Government March 10, 2014 Cambridge, MA By Adam Sieminski, EIA Administrator U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis…
  2. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 2
    U.S. energy use grows slowly over the projection reflecting steady growth in GDP offset by improving energy efficiency U.S. primary energy consumption quadrillion Btu History 2012 Projections 120 2025 2040 Renewables (excluding…
  3. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 3
    U.S. production grows rapidly, particularly natural gas, renewables, and liquids in the near term U.S. energy production quadrillion Btu History 2012 Projections 120 2025 2040 100 80 34% 38% 60 Natural gas 31% 11% 12%…
  4. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 4
    The U.S. has experienced a rapid increase in natural gas and oil production from shale and other tight resources U.S. tight oil production U.S. dry shale gas production million barrels of oil per day billion cubic feet per day 3.5…
  5. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 5
    U.S. crude oil and natural gas production is up dramatically since 2010 and will continue to grow rapidly; this has strategic implications for the United States Refinery operations/investment Logistics infrastructure investment…
  6. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 6
    U.S. shale gas leads growth in total gas production through 2040 to reach half of U.S. output U.S. dry natural gas production trillion cubic feet billion cubic feet per day History 2012 Projections 40 100 35 90 30 80 25 70 Shale…
  7. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 7
    U.S. natural gas consumption growth is driven by electric power, industrial, and transportation use U.S. dry gas consumption trillion cubic feet History Projections 35 30 11.0 Electric 25 power 20 8.5 Industrial* 15 11.2 9.1 10…
  8. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 8
    U.S. manufacturing output and natural gas use grows with low natural gas prices, particularly in the near term manufacturing natural gas consumption quadrillion Btu billion cubic feet per day 9 24 8 Refining and 20 7 related 6 16 5…
  9. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 9
    U.S. natural gas use in the transportation sector grows rapidly with the largest share in freight trucks natural gas use by mode trillion Btu billion cubic feet per day 900 2.5 800 Approximate crude oil equivalent, 700 (thousand…
  10. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 10
    U.S. becomes a net exporter of natural gas in the near future U.S. dry natural gas trillion cubic feet per year billion cubic feet per day History 2012 Projections 40 100 30 75 Consumption 20 50 Domestic supply 10 25 Net…
  11. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 11
    U.S. natural gas gross exports exceed 5 tcf in 2025 U.S. natural gas imports and exports trillion cubic feet per year billion cubic feet per day History 2012 Projections 10 2025 25 8 5.4 tcf of exports (14.8 bcf/day) 20 6 Pipeline…
  12. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 12
    Growing tight oil and offshore crude oil production drive U.S. output close to historical high U.S. crude oil production million barrels per day History 2012 Projections 10 U.S. maximum production level of 9.6 million barrels per day…
  13. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 13
    U.S. transportation sector motor gasoline demand declines, while diesel fuel accounts for a growing portion of the market transportation energy consumption by fuel quadrillion Btu History Projections 30 2012 2030 2040 25 20 59%…
  14. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 14
    U.S. maintains status as a net exporter of petroleum products U.S. petroleum product imports and exports million barrels per day History 2012 Projections 4 3 Distillate exports 2 Motor gasoline exports Total petroleum product net…
  15. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 15
    U.S. dependence on imported liquids declines, particularly in the near term U.S. liquid fuel supply million barrels per day History 2012 Projections 25 2005 2016 2040 20 Consumption 25% 15 32% 60% 40% Net imports 10 Domestic…
  16. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 16
    OPEC countries now account for most unplanned outages estimated unplanned crude oil production outages thousand barrels per day 3,500 3,000 Other Non-OPEC 2,500 Syria Non- OPEC Sudan/S. Sudan 2,000 Iraq 1,500 Nigeria 1,000 OPEC…
  17. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 17
    For more information U.S. Energy Information Administration home page www.eia.gov Annual Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/aeo Short-Term Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/steo International Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/ieo Monthly Energy Review…
  18. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 18
    Growth in electricity use slows, but still increases by 29% from 2012 to 2040 Period Annual Growth__ U.S. electricity use Electricity use GDP percent growth (3-year rolling average) 1950s 9.8 4.1 1960s 7.3 4.4 History 2012 1970s 4.7…
  19. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 19
    Over time the electricity mix gradually shifts to lower-carbon options, led by growth in natural gas and renewable generation electricity net generation trillion kilowatthours per year History Projections 13% 2012 6 1993 2025 2040…
  20. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 20
    Non-hydro renewable generation more than doubles between 2012 and 2040 non-hydropower renewable generation billion kilowatthours per year History 2012 Projections 600 500 400 Wind 300 Biomass 200 Power sector Industrial…
  21. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 21
    CO2 per dollar of GDP declines faster than energy use per dollar of GDP reflecting the shift to lower carbon fuels energy and emission intensity index, 2005=1 History 2012 Projections 2.0 2005 1.5 1.0 Energy use per capita…
  22. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 22
    U.S. energy-related CO2 emissions remain below the 2005 level throughout the projection period carbon dioxide emissions billion metric tons History 2012 Projections 7 2005 6 5 4 3 Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions are…
  23. US Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 23
    An implicit or explicit carbon value growing at a 5% real rate has a huge impact on the projected generation mix in AEO2014 U.S. electricity net generation trillion kilowatthours 2014 Reference Case 10 Carbon Fee 25 Carbon Fee 6 6 6…

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