International Energy Outlook: The Future of Energy Guy Caruso Administrator Energy Information Administration Georgetown University March 17, 2008 1
EIA Products Data Collection EIA has about 80 surveys and data forms related to energy supplies and production, energy consumption, greenhouse gases, and finance Analysis EIA provides analyses that evaluate the impacts of…
EIA Impacts Energy Markets: Natural Gas Markets Rely Heavily on EIA Weekly Data EIAs release of Natural gas prices fell its Natural Gas sharply when EIA Storage Data released gas storage data at 10:30 AM on has immediate Thursday,…
Major Trends in the IEO2007 Total world energy use rises by 57 percent in the reference case projection. The high world oil prices in the IEO2007 reference case are projected to make previously uneconomical, unconventional resources…
World Oil Price, 1980-2030 (2005 dollars per barrel) 100 100 History Projections 80 High Price 60 Reference 59 40 Low Price 36 20 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 5 International Energy Outlook 2007
World Marketed Energy Consumption, 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 300 History Projections 250 34% Liquids 28% 200 38% Coal 24% 150 26% Natural Gas Share of World 100 Total 23% Renewables 8% 50 7% 6% 6% Nuclear 0 1980…
World Marketed Energy Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 450 History Projections 404 400 350 Non-OECD 298 300 240 250 OECD 200 207 150 100 50 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 7 International Energy…
Average Annual GDP and Population Growth for Selected Regions, 2004-2030 (percent) 7.5 6.5 GDP 5.5 Population 4.5 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 -0.5 a a es il pe st ea an ia a ri c di az in ss Ea…
World Liquids Consumption, 2004 and 2030 (million barrels per day) North America Non-OECD Asia OECD Europe OECD Asia Central and South America Middle East 2004 Non-OECD Europe/Eurasia 2030 Africa 0 5 10 15 20 25 30…
World Liquids Production, 2004-2030 (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 120 118 Total 100 80 60 Non-OPEC (Conventional) 54 53 40 OPEC (Conventional) 20 Unconventional 10 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018…
Non-OPEC Producing Regions with More than a One-Million- Barrel-per-Day Increase in Production, (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 14 11.5 2005 12 10.2 2030 10 9.5 8.2 8 7.3 5.7 6 5.1 4.9 4.3 3.8 3.7 4 3.1 2.6 2.1…
OPEC Conventional Liquids Production (million barrels per day) 40 37.5 35 30 25 23.5 2005 20 2030 15 9.2 10 4.9 3.8 4.0 5 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.7 0 Asia Middle North West South East Africa Africa America 12 International…
World Unconventional Liquids Production, 1980-2030 (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 12 History Projections 10 Other Gas-To-Liquids 8 Coal-To-Liquids Biofuels 6 Ultra Heavy Crudes Canadian Oil Sands 4 2 0 1980 1990…
World Proved Oil Reserves, as of January 1, 2008 (billion barrels) Middle East 748 North America 211 Africa 115 Central & South America 110 Eurasia 99 World Total = 1,332 billion barrels Asia 34 Europe 14 0 200 400 600…
World Natural Gas Consumption, 2004-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 100 93 OECD 90 84 Non-OECD 80 76 68 70 67 70 65 62 58 58 60 51 48 50 40 30 20 10 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 15 International Energy Outlook 2007
World Natural Gas Production, 2004-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 180 OECD Russia 160 Middle East Other Non-OECD 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 16 International Energy Outlook 2007
World Natural Gas Reserves, as of January 1, 2008, and Cumulative Consumption, 2004-2030 (trillion cubic feet) Middle East Reserves Cumulative Consumption, 2004-2030 Russia Africa Asia World Natural Gas Reserves = 6,186…
World Coal Consumption, 2004-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 250 India China 200 United States Rest of World 150 100 50 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 18 International Energy Outlook 2007
World Electric Power Generation, 1980-2030 (trillion kilowatthours) 20 18 History Projections 16 Non-OECD 14 12 OECD 10 8 6 4 2 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 19 International Energy…
World Electricity Generation by Fuel, 2004-2030 (trillion kilowattours) 35 Nuclear 30 Renewables Natural Gas 25 Coal Liquids 20 15 10 5 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 20 International Energy Outlook 2007
World Renewable Energy Use, 2004-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 35 30 OECD Non-OECD 29 26 24 24 25 25 22 22 23 21 19 20 18 15 15 10 5 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 21 International Energy Outlook 2007
World Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Region (billion metric tons) 30 OECD 26 Non-OECD 24 25 22 19 20 17 17 16 15 15 15 14 13 13 13 12 10 5 0 2003 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 22 International Energy Outlook 2007
World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990-2030 (billion metric tons) 50 History Projections 45 40 Total 35 30 25 20 43% Coal 15 40% 36% 10 Liquids 39% 5 Natural Gas 21% 20% 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015…
Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2008, March 2008 International Energy Outlook 2007, May 2007, next issue May 2008 Examples of Special…