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Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA

EIA · Oct 17, 2014 · 23 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 1
    Implications of the U.S. Shale Revolution For US-Canada Energy Summit October 17, 2014 Chicago, IL By Adam Sieminski, Administrator U.S. Energy Information Administration U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent…
  2. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 2
    U.S. is the largest producer of petroleum and natural gas in the world estimated U.S., Russia, and Saudi Arabia petroleum and natural gas production quadrillion Btu million barrels per day of oil equivalent 60.0 30 United States…
  3. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 3
    US-Canada Energy Summit October 17, 2014 3
  4. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 4
    These seven regions accounted for 95% of U.S. oil production growth and all U.S. natural gas production growth from 2011-2013 Source: EIA, Drilling Productivity Report US-Canada Energy Summit October 17, 2014 4
  5. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 5
    The U.S. has experienced a rapid increase in natural gas and oil production from shale and other tight resources U.S. tight oil production U.S. dry shale gas production million barrels of oil per day billion cubic feet per day Eagle…
  6. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 6
    U.S. shale gas leads growth in total gas production through 2040, when production exceeds 100 billion cubic feet per day U.S. dry natural gas production trillion cubic feet billion cubic feet per day 2012 40 history projections 100…
  7. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 7
    Natural gas consumption growth is driven by electric power, industrial, and transportation use U.S. dry gas consumption trillion cubic feet 35.0 history projections 30.0 25.0 11.0 electric power 20.0 8.5 15.0 industrial*…
  8. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 8
    U.S. becomes a net exporter of natural gas in the near future U.S. dry natural gas trillion cubic feet per year billion cubic feet per day history 2012 projections 40 100 30 75 Consumption 20 50 Domestic supply 10 25 Net…
  9. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 9
    Projected U.S. natural gas trade depends on assumptions regarding resources and future technology advances Reference case High Oil and Gas Resource case billion cubic trillion cubic feet per year trillion cubic feet per year feet per…
  10. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 10
    Shale gas in eastern Canada Of the four shale plays in Eastern Canada, two have been assessed by ARI Utica in Quebec has 31.1 Tcf of technically recoverable resources Horton Bluff in Nova Scotia has 3.4 Tcf of technically…
  11. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 11
    LNG export projects in eastern Canada Goldboro LNG Terminal H-Energy LNG Terminal Planned year in service 2019 2020 Liquefaction capacity 1.3 Bcf/d 0.6 Bcf/d Storage capacity 14.6 Bcf N/A Contract 20 year supply deal with E. On AG N/A…
  12. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 12
    Resources in eastern Canada are modest compared with the Canada national total Canada marketable resources in trillion cubic feet as of 12/31/12 Ontario and Quebec 8 YK West coast 17 NT NU East coast 91 BC AB NL SK MB QC…
  13. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 13
    Resource and technology assumptions have major implications for projected U.S. crude oil production beyond the next few years Reference case High Oil and Gas Resource case million barrels per day million barrels per day 2012 14 2012…
  14. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 14
    Most of the growth in production between 2011 and 2015 consists of sweet grades with API gravity of 40 or above U.S. crude oil production by type million barrels of oil per day history forecast 10 9 8 7 6 API 50+ 5 API 40-50…
  15. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 15
    U.S. rail carloads of crude oil and petroleum products exceed 1.5 million b/d in 2014 number of rail carloads per week million barrels per day 18,000 1.8 16,000 1.6 14,000 1.4 12,000 1.2 10,000 1 8,000 0.8 6,000 0.6 4,000 0.4…
  16. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 16
    U.S. is already a major net exporter of petroleum products U.S. petroleum product net exports million barrels per day 3 2 2015(e) 1 0 -1 -2 -3 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2014…
  17. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 17
    Over 60% of U.S. petroleum product exports go to the Americas, with Mexico and Canada as its largest global trading partners U.S. petroleum product gross exports million barrels per day 4000 3500 Canada 3000 Mexico 2500 Other…
  18. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 18
    Most significant contributors to non-OPEC crude and lease condensate production: Canada, Brazil, U.S., Kazakhstan, Russia non-OPEC crude and lease condensate production, Reference case million barrels per day 24 2010 2025 2040…
  19. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 19
    Tight oil production will spread to nations outside of the United States and Canada over the projection tight oil production, Reference case million barrels per day 8 AEO2014 High Resource case 7 2010 2025 2040 6 5 5.0 MMbbl/d…
  20. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 20
    Growing U.S. oil production and rising demand in China have together made China the worlds largest net oil importer net imports for China and the United States million barrels per day Aug-14 10 history projections 9 U.S. net imports…
  21. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 21
    Over the IEO projection, OPEC crude and lease condensate suppliers produce an additional 14 MMbbl/d petroleum and other liquid fuels production, Reference case million barrels per day history projections 60 53 50 46 non-OPEC crude…
  22. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 22
    Areas of uncertainty in the outlook Chinas energy demand growth; particularly in transportation EIA is working with MIT and others to upgrade the structural and macroeconomic determinates of transportation demand in all regions for…
  23. Implications of the US Shale Revolution – EIA – slide 23
    For more information U.S. Energy Information Administration home page www.eia.gov Annual Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/aeo Short-Term Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/steo International Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/ieo Monthly Energy Review…

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