Long-Term Outlook for World Energy Markets Guy Caruso Administrator Energy Information Administration African Oil and Gas Conference Washington, DC November 30, 2005
International Energy Outlook 2005 indicates that over the next two decades z Worldwide energy consumption will grow by 57 percent between 2002 and 2025, an average annual growth rate of 2 percent, with the strongest growth in the…
World Marketed Energy Consumption, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) History Projections 800 High Economic Growth 708 700 645 600 586 500 Reference Low Economic 400 Growth 300 200 100 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000…
World Gross Domestic Product, 1970-2025 (billion 2000 U.S. dollars) 140,000 History Projections 120,000 High Economic Growth 100,000 80,000 Low Economic 60,000 Reference Growth 40,000 20,000 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990…
World and Regional GDP, 2002, and GDP Growth Rates, 2002-2025 (annual average percent) (billion 2000 dollars) World 47,227 Emerging Asia 13,196 North America 11,997 Western Europe 9,416 Mature Market Asia 3,904 Transitional…
World Marketed Energy Consumption by Region, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 350 History Projections 300 46% 42% 250 Mature Market Economies Share of 200 World Emerging Total 150 Economies 100 12% 50 Transitional Economies…
World Population by Region, 1970-2025 (millions) 7,000 History Projections 81% 6,000 5,000 Emerging Economies 4,000 Share of World 3,000 Total 2,000 Mature Market Economies 1,000 14% Transitional Economies 5% 0 1970…
World Energy Intensity by Region, 1970-2025 (thousand Btu per thousand dollars of GDP) 25 History Projections 20 Transitional Economies 15 Mature Market Economies 10 Emerging Economies 5 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995…
World Energy Use per Capita by Region, 2002-2025 (million Btu per person) 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2002 2010 2015 2020 2025 Mature Market Economies Transitional Economies Emerging Economies International Energy…
World Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 300 History Projections 250 38% 200 Share of Natural Gas 25% World Oil 24% 150 Total Coal 100 Renewables 50 8% 5% Nuclear 0 1970 1975 1980 1985…
Share of World Energy Consumption by Region and Fuel, 2002 and 2025 (percent) Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear Renewables 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2002 2025 2002 2025 2002 2025 Mature Market Transitional…
Energy Consumption in the Emerging Economies, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1970 1980 1990 2002 2010 2020 2025 China Other Emerging Asia Central & South America Africa Middle East International…
Primary Energy Consumption in the Emerging Economies by Fuel, 1970-2025 (quadrillion Btu) 140 History Projections 40% 120 Oil 100 32% Share of 80 Coal Total 60 Natural Gas 18% 40 20 Renewables 7% Nuclear 2% 0 1970…
World Oil Consumption by Region, 2002, 2015, and 2025 (million barrels per day) 70 62.2 60 56.9 57.0 49.4 50 46.3 40 28.7 30 20 10 0 2002 2015 2025 Central & South America Africa Middle East Other Emerging Asia China…
World Oil Consumption and Production, 2002, 2010, and 2025 (million barrels per day) Consumption Production 140 Mature Market Economies OPEC Emerging Asia Transitional Economies Other 119.2 Other 118.9 120 100 94.6 94.3 80 78.2…
World Oil Reserves by Country, as of January 1, 2005 (billion barrels) Saudi Arabia Canada Iran Iraq Kuwait UAE Venezuela Russia Libya Nigeria United States China Qatar World Total = Mexico 1,278 Billion Barrels Algeria…
World Natural Gas Consumption by Region, 2002, 2015, and 2025 (trillion cubic feet) 120 105.4 100 92.3 80 70.2 60 50.7 35.6 40 22.0 20 0 2002 2015 2025 Central & South America Africa Middle East Other Emerging…
World Natural Gas Reserves, as of January 1, 2005, and Cumulative Consumption, 2002-2025 (trillion cubic feet) Middle East Transitional Reserves Economies Cumulative Consumption, 2002-2025 Africa Emerging Asia North…
World Coal Consumption by Region, 2002, 2015, and 2025 (million short tons) 6,000 4,878 5,000 4,134 4,000 3,348 3,111 2,838 3,000 2,424 2,000 1,000 0 2002 2015 2025 Central & South America Africa Middle East Other…
World Recoverable Coal Reserves as of January 1, 2003 (billion short tons) United States Russia China India Australia South Africa World Total = Ukraine 1,001 Billion Short Tons Kazakhstan Yugoslavia Other…
World Net Electricity Consumption by Region, 2002, 2015, and 2025 (billion kilowatthours) 16,000 14,464 14,000 12,491 11,554 12,000 9,630 10,000 8,909 8,000 6,000 4,645 4,000 2,000 0 2002 2015 2025 Central & South…
Electricity Consumption per Capita by Country Group, 2002 and 2025 (kilowatthours per person per year) India Africa Other Emerging Asia 2002 China Central & South America 2025 Mexico Middle East Eastern Europe Former Soviet…
Shares of Energy Use for Electricity Generation, 2002-2025 (percent) 2002 History Projections 2010 2015 2020 2025 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear Renewables International Energy Annual 2003 and…
World Nuclear Energy Consumption by Region, 2002, 2015, and 2025 (billion kilowatthours) 3,000 2,595 2,512 2,500 2,334 2,000 1,500 1,000 675 519 500 225 0 2002 2015 2025 Central & South America Africa Middle East…
World Hydroelectric and Renewable Energy Consumption by Region, 2002, 2015, and 2025 (quadrillion Btu) 30 27.4 25 23.7 21.5 19.7 18.6 20 15 12.4 10 5 0 2002 2015 2025 Central & South America Africa Middle East Other…
World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Region, 1990-2025 (billion metric tons) 25 19.2 19.6 20 17.7 15.4 15.0 15.6 15 9.4 10 6.1 5 0 1990 2002 2015 2025 Central & South America Africa Middle East Other…
Data Collection z EIA Has Numerous Data Collection Programs Including: - Petroleum Supply and Marketing - Natural Gas - Oil and Gas Reserves - Electric Power - Coal, Nuclear, Renewables, and Alternative Fuels - Greenhouse Gases -…
Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2005, December 2004, annually International Energy Outlook 2005, July 2005, annually Examples of Special…
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