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Energy Forum at NYU – EIA

EIA · Dec 6, 2005 · 20 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 1
    Short-Term Outlook for Energy Markets Guy Caruso Administrator, Energy Information Administration guy.carusoeia.doe.gov Energy Forum at New York University December 6, 2005 New York, NY
  2. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 2
    Major Events and World Oil Prices 1970-2004 dollars per barrel Saudis abandon swing Strong Demand Growth 45 producer role 40 Venezuela Iran-Iraq War Operation Unrest 35 Begins Desert 30 Storm OPEC cutbacks 25 Oil Embargo 20…
  3. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 3
    Shut-In Federal Offshore Gulf Crude Oil Production thousand barrels per day dollars per barrel History Projections 72 2,000 WTI Crude Oil Price Shut In Capacity 66 63.00 1,600 61.75 62.50 60.00 60 1,200 800 54 504 392 331…
  4. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 4
    Shut-In Gulf Coast Refinery Capacity thousand barrels per day cents per gallon History Projections 6,000 340 Retail Diesel Price Retail Gasoline Price 5,000 310 4,000 280 248 251 252 246 3,000 250 Shut In Capacity 238 2,000 233…
  5. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 5
    Tight Global Markets Result in High Crude Oil Prices 2005 dollars per barrel million barrels per day 70 History Projections 14 60 12 50 10 40 8 30 6 20 4 10 2 0 0 Jan-90 Jan-95 Jan-00 Jan-05 WTI Spot Price World Spare…
  6. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 6
    World Oil Demand Growth (million barrels per day) 1.6 History Projections 1.4 1.2 3.2% 1.5% 2.1% 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 OECD* Non-OECD Asia Former Soviet Union & E. Europe Other…
  7. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 7
    World Oil Demand Growth (million barrels per day) 3.0 2.5 History Projections 2.0 1.5 United States 1.0 0.5 China 0.0 -0.5 1991- 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1999 Average Short-Term Energy Outlook, December…
  8. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 8
    Days of Supply of OECD Commercial Oil Stocks 60 History Projections Previous 5-Year Min/Max Range 58 56 54 52 50 48 46 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Short-Term Energy Outlook, December 2005
  9. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 9
    U.S. Petroleum Products Demand Growth (thousand barrels per day) 1000 History Projections 800 3.5% 600 2.3% 400 200 -0.5% 0 -200 -400 2004 2005 2006 Total Motor Gasoline Jet Fuel Fuel Oil Other Short-Term Energy…
  10. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 10
    U.S. Crude Oil Stocks (million barrels) 400 History Projections 380 Previous 5-Year Min/Max Range 360 340 320 300 280 260 240 220 200 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Short-Term Energy Outlook, December 2005
  11. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 11
    U.S. Crude Oil Production (million barrels per day) 1.20 History Projections 6.0 1.00 5.0 0.80 4.0 0.60 3.0 0.40 2.0 0.20 1.0 0.00 0.0 -0.20 -1.0 -0.40 -2.0 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 Total Change (left axis)…
  12. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 12
    U.S. Gasoline Stocks (million barrels) 240 History Projections 230 Previous 5-Year Min/Max Range 220 210 200 190 180 Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Short-Term Energy…
  13. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 13
    U.S. Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices (cents per gallon) 330 300 History Projections 270 240 210 180 150 120 90 60 30 0 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 WTI Crude Oil Wholesale Gasoline Retail…
  14. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 14
    U.S. Distillate Stocks (million barrels) 160 History Projections 150 Previous 5-Year Min/Max Range 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- Jan- Jul- 02 02 03 03 04 04 05 05 06 06…
  15. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 15
    U.S. Distillate Fuel Prices (cents per gallon) 240 History Projections 210 180 150 120 90 60 30 0 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Retail Diesel Retail Heating Oil Crude Oil Short-Term Energy…
  16. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 16
    Shut-In Federal Offshore Gulf Natural Gas Production billion cubic feet per day dollars per thousand cubic feet 10 History Projections 20 Henry Hub Price * Shut In Capacity 8 16 12.34 12.61 12.02 6 12 9.93 4 8 2.4 2 1.5 4…
  17. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 17
    U.S. Natural Gas Demand Growth 12% 90 10% 80 History Projections 8% 70 6% 60 4% 50 2% 40 0% 30 -2% 20 -4% 10 -6% 0 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 Percent Change (left axis) Billion Cubic Feet per Day (right axis)…
  18. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 18
    U.S. Natural Gas Spot Prices (dollars per thousand cubic feet) 14 History Projections 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Short-Term Energy Outlook, December 2005
  19. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 19
    U.S. Electricity Demand Growth 10% History Projections 12 8% 10 6% 7 4% 5 2% 2 0% -2% 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Percent Change (left axis) Billion Kilowatthours per Day…
  20. Energy Forum at NYU – EIA – slide 20
    Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2005, December 2004 International Energy Outlook 2005, July 2005 Examples of Special Analyses Analysis…

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