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Risk Conference – EIA

EIA · Mar 6, 2008 · 32 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 1
    International Energy Outlook: The Future of Energy Guy Caruso Administrator Energy Information Administration RISK Conference 2008 Groningen University Groningen, The Netherlands March 6, 2008 1
  2. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 2
    Energy Information Administration EIA was established by the Department of Energy Organization Act of 1977 Independent since its foundation 375 Federal employees and about 250 contractors 90 million budget in 2007 2
  3. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 3
    EIA Products Data Collection EIA has about 80 surveys and data forms related to energy supplies and production, energy consumption, greenhouse gases, and finance Analysis EIA provides analyses that evaluate the impacts of…
  4. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 4
    EIA Customers Business/Industry (39%) Citizen (14%) Research/Consulting (14%) Finance (10%) Academia (10%) Government (9%) Media (2%) Other (5%) 4
  5. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 5
    EIA Impacts Energy Markets: Natural Gas Markets Rely Heavily on EIA Weekly Data EIAs release of Natural gas prices fell its Natural Gas sharply when EIA Storage Data released gas storage data at 10:30 AM on has immediate Thursday,…
  6. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 6
    Major Trends in the IEO2007 Total world energy use rises by 57 percent in the reference case projection. The high world oil prices in the IEO2007 reference case are projected to make previously uneconomical, unconventional resources…
  7. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 7
    World Oil Price, 1980-2030 (2005 dollars per barrel) 100 100 History Projections 80 High Price 60 Reference 59 40 Low Price 36 20 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 7 International Energy Outlook 2007
  8. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 8
    World Marketed Energy Consumption, 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 300 History Projections 250 34% Liquids 28% 200 38% Coal 24% 150 26% Natural Gas Share of World 100 Total 23% Renewables 8% 50 7% 6% 6% Nuclear 0 1980…
  9. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 9
    World Marketed Energy Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 450 History Projections 404 400 350 Non-OECD 298 300 240 250 OECD 200 207 150 100 50 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 9 International Energy…
  10. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 10
    Average Annual GDP and Population Growth for Selected Regions, 2004-2030 (percent) 7.5 6.5 GDP 5.5 Population 4.5 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 -0.5 a a es il pe st ea an ia a ri c di az in ss Ea…
  11. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 11
    World Liquids Consumption, 2004 and 2030 (million barrels per day) North America Non-OECD Asia OECD Europe OECD Asia Central and South America Middle East 2004 Non-OECD Europe/Eurasia 2030 Africa 0 5 10 15 20 25 30…
  12. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 12
    World Liquids Production, 2004-2030 (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 120 118 Total 100 80 60 Non-OPEC (Conventional) 54 53 40 OPEC (Conventional) 20 Unconventional 10 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018…
  13. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 13
    Non-OPEC Producing Regions with More than a One-Million- Barrel-per-Day Increase in Production, (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 14 11.5 2005 12 10.2 2030 10 9.5 8.2 8 7.3 5.7 6 5.1 4.9 4.3 3.8 3.7 4 3.1 2.6 2.1…
  14. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 14
    OPEC Conventional Liquids Production (million barrels per day) 40 37.5 35 30 25 23.5 2005 20 2030 15 9.2 10 4.9 3.8 4.0 5 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.7 0 Asia Middle North West South East Africa Africa America 14 International…
  15. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 15
    World Unconventional Liquids Production, 1980-2030 (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 12 History Projections 10 Other Gas-To-Liquids 8 Coal-To-Liquids Biofuels 6 Ultra Heavy Crudes Canadian Oil Sands 4 2 0 1980 1990…
  16. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 16
    World Proved Oil Reserves, as of January 1, 2008 (billion barrels) Middle East 748 North America 211 Africa 115 Central & South America 110 Eurasia 99 World Total = 1,332 billion barrels Asia 34 Europe 14 0 200 400 600…
  17. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 17
    World Natural Gas Consumption, 2004-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 100 93 OECD 90 84 Non-OECD 80 76 68 70 67 70 65 62 58 58 60 51 48 50 40 30 20 10 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 17 International Energy Outlook 2007
  18. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 18
    World Natural Gas Production, 2004-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 180 OECD Russia 160 Middle East Other Non-OECD 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 18 International Energy Outlook 2007
  19. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 19
    World Natural Gas Reserves, as of January 1, 2008, and Cumulative Consumption, 2004-2030 (trillion cubic feet) Middle East Reserves Cumulative Consumption, 2004-2030 Russia Africa Asia World Natural Gas Reserves = 6,186…
  20. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 20
    World Coal Consumption, 2004-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 250 India China 200 United States Rest of World 150 100 50 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 20 International Energy Outlook 2007
  21. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 21
    World Electric Power Generation, 1980-2030 (trillion kilowatthours) 20 18 History Projections 16 Non-OECD 14 12 OECD 10 8 6 4 2 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 21 International Energy…
  22. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 22
    World Electricity Generation by Fuel, 2004-2030 (trillion kilowattours) 35 Nuclear 30 Renewables Natural Gas 25 Coal Liquids 20 15 10 5 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 22 International Energy Outlook 2007
  23. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 23
    World Renewable Energy Use, 2004-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 35 30 OECD Non-OECD 29 26 24 24 25 25 22 22 23 21 19 20 18 15 15 10 5 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 23 International Energy Outlook 2007
  24. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 24
    World Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Region (billion metric tons) 30 OECD 26 Non-OECD 24 25 22 19 20 17 17 16 15 15 15 14 13 13 13 12 10 5 0 2003 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 24 International Energy Outlook 2007
  25. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 25
    World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990-2030 (billion metric tons) 50 History Projections 45 40 Total 35 30 25 20 43% Coal 15 40% 36% 10 Liquids 39% 5 Natural Gas 21% 20% 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015…
  26. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 26
    Key Uncertainties in the Projections Macroeconomic growth Energy prices Technological changes Government policy initiatives 26
  27. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 27
    World Gross Domestic Product in Three Cases (trillion 2000 U.S. dollars) 200 History Projections 180 High Economic Growth Case 160 140 120 100 80 Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case 60 40 20 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000…
  28. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 28
    World Marketed Energy Consumption, 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 900 History Projections 800 High Economic Growth Case 700 600 500 Reference Case Low Economic Growth Case 400 300 200 100 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010…
  29. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 29
    World Oil Price, 1980-2030 (2005 dollars per barrel) 100 100 History Projections 80 High Price 60 Reference 59 40 Low Price 36 20 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 29 International Energy Outlook 2007
  30. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 30
    World Marketed Energy Consumption, 2030 (quadrillion Btu) Liquids Natural Gas Coal Nuclear Renewables 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Reference Case High World Oil Low World Oil Price Price 30 International Energy Outlook…
  31. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 31
    U.S. Liquid Fuels Consumption, 2005-2030 (million barrels per day) 30 27.0 25 24.0 22.9 21.6 22.0 20.8 21.0 Electric Power 20 Industrial Residential and Commercial 15 10 Transportation 5 0 2005 AEO2007 AEO2008…
  32. Risk Conference – EIA – slide 32
    Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2008, March 2008 International Energy Outlook 2007, May 2007, next issue May 2008 Examples of Special…

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