The Outlook for World Energy Markets: International Energy Outlook 2006 Guy Caruso, Administrator Energy Information Administration November 18, 2006 Dubai
World Oil Prices,1980-2030 (2004 dollars per barrel) 100 History Projections High Price 80 60 Reference 40 Low Price 20 0 1980 1995 2004 2015 2030 International Energy Outlook 2006
World Energy Consumption by Region, 2003-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 450 400 OECD Non-OECD 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy Outlook 2006
World Energy Consumption, 2003, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 450 413 400 OECD 350 309 300 Non-OECD 294 270 250 234 200 186 150 100 50 0 2003 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and…
World Energy Use per Capita by Region, 2003-2030 (million Btu per person) 250 200 150 100 50 0 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 OECD Non-OECD Europe & Eurasia Other Non-OECD International Energy Outlook 2006
World Marketed Energy Use by Fuel, 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 300 History Projections 250 33% Oil 27% 200 38% 26% Coal 150 Share of 24% World Natural Gas 100 Total 24% Renewables 9% 50 8% 5% 6% Nuclear 0 1980 1985…
World Oil Consumption, 2003, 2015, and 2030 (million barrels per day) 70 60 58 60 OECD 54 50 49 Non-OECD 45 40 32 30 20 10 0 2003 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Non-OECD…
World Oil Reserves by Country, as of January 1, 2006 (billion barrels) Saudi Arabia Canada Iran Iraq Kuwait UAE Venezuela Russia Libya Nigeria United States China Qatar Mexico Algeria Brazil World Total = Kazakhstan…
Share of World Oil Reserves, 2005 8% Africa 3% Asia & Oceania Middle East 7% Europe/FSU 58% Western Hemisphere 24%
Global Proved Oil Reserves Ownership (1.1 trillion barrels) Exxon/Mobil 1.0% BP 0.9% Investor owned oil Europe NOCs 1.0% Chevron reserves: 4% of total 0.9% Asia NOCs 2.1% ConocoPhillips 0.6% Africa NOCs Shell 6.6% 0.5%…
National Oil Companies, Mostly in the Middle East, Control 75 Percent of World Oil Reserves W. Hemisphere Middle East Privately Owned (327 billion barrels) National Oil Eurasia Companies (966 billion barrels) Asia W.…
Top World Oil-Producing Regions, 2005 (million barrels per day) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Middle East Western Europe/FSU Africa Asia & Oceania Hemisphere
Almost All of the Worlds Excess Production Capacity is in the Middle East (million barrels per day) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 2 4 6 8 0 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 2 7 7 7 7…
World Oil Consumption and Production, 2003, 2015, and 2030 (million barrels per day) Consumption Production Non-OECD OPEC Conventional 140 OECD Non-OPEC Conventional Unconventional 118.0 118.0 120 100 98.3 98.3 80.1 79.6 80…
World Liquids Production (million barrels per day) 140 120 Unconventional 100 80 OPEC Conventional 60 40 Non-OPEC Conventional 20 0 2003 2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 International Energy Outlook 2006
World Unconventional Liquids Production, 2005 and 2030 (million barrels per day) 4 3.6 2005 3 2030 2.1 2.1 2.1 2 1.7 1.0 1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0 Oil Sands Ultra Gas to Coal to Biofuels Shale Oil Heavy Liquids…
World Natural Gas Consumption, 2003, 2015, and 2030 (trillion cubic feet) 120 108 100 OECD 80 Non-OECD 74 72 63 60 50 45 40 20 0 2003 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Non-OECD…
World Natural Gas Reserves, as of January 1, 2006, and Cumulative Consumption, 2003-2030 (trillion cubic feet) Middle East Reserves Cumulative Consumption, 2003-2030 Russia Africa Asia World Natural Gas Reserves = 6,112…
Share of World Natural Gas Reserves, 2006 Asia & Oceania Africa 6% 8% Europe/FSU 35% Middle East 42% 8% Western Hemisphere
Top Natural Gas-Producing Regions, 2005 (trillion cubic feet) 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Europe/FSU Western Asia Middle East Africa Hemisphere
World Natural Gas Production by Region, 2003-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 100 OECD 80 Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia 60 Other Non-OECD 40 20 0 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy Outlook 2006
World Net Electricity Consumption, 2003-2030 (billion kilowatthours) 18,000 History Projections 15,000 OECD Non-OECD 12,000 9,000 6,000 3,000 0 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy Outlook 2006
World Energy Consumption for Electricity Generation 2003, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2003 2015 2030 Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear Renewables International Energy Outlook 2006
Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2006, February 2006, next release December 5, 2006 International Energy Outlook 2006, June 2006 Examples…