Long-Term Outlook for Global Energy Markets Guy Caruso, Administrator Energy Information Administration Meeting of Chevrons Future Corporate Leaders September 20, 2007 Washington, DC
World Marketed Energy Use, 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 300 History Projections 250 34% Liquids 28% 200 38% Coal 24% 150 26% Natural Gas Share of World 100 Total 23% Renewables 8% 50 7% 6% 6% Nuclear 0 1980 1985 1990…
World Energy Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 450 404 400 OECD 350 294 298 300 Non-OECD 265 250 240 207 200 150 100 50 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and…
Average Annual GDP and Population Growth for Selected Regions, 2004-2030 (percent per year) 7.5 6.5 GDP 5.5 Population 4.5 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 -0.5 a a es il pe st ea an ia a ri c di az…
World Liquids Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (million barrels per day) 70 61 60 57 OECD 52 50 49 Non-OECD 46 40 33 30 20 10 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia…
Non-OPEC Producing Regions with More than a One-Million-Barrel-per-Day Increase in Production, (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 14 11.5 2005 12 10.2 2030 10 9.5 8.2 8 7.3 5.7 6 5.1 4.9 4.3 3.8 3.7 4 3.1 2.6 2.1…
World Liquids Production, 2004-2030 (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 120 118 Total 100 80 60 Non-OPEC (Conventional) 54 53 40 OPEC (Conventional) 20 Unconventional 10 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018…
OPEC Conventional Liquids Production (million barrels per day) 40 37.5 35 30 25 23.5 2005 20 2030 15 9.2 10 4.9 4.0 3.8 5 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.7 0 Asia Middle North West South East Africa Africa America International Energy…
World Unconventional Liquids Production, 1980-2030 (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 12 History Projections 10 Other Gas-To-Liquids 8 Coal-To-Liquids Biofuels 6 Ultra Heavy Crudes Canadian Oil Sands 4 2 0 1980 1990…
World Proved Oil Reserves, as of January 1, 2007 (billion barrels) Middle East 739 North America 213 Africa 114 Central & South America 103 Eurasia 100 World Total = 1,317 billion barrels Asia 33 Europe 15 0 200 400…
World Natural Gas Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (trillion cubic feet) 100 93 90 80 OECD 67 70 70 Non-OECD 62 60 51 50 48 40 30 20 10 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and…
World Natural Gas Reserves, as of January 1, 2007, and Cumulative Consumption, 2004-2030 (trillion cubic feet) Middle East Reserves Cumulative Consumption, 2004-2030 Russia Africa Asia World Natural Gas Reserves = 6,183…
World Coal Consumption, 2004-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 250 India China 200 United States Rest of World 150 100 50 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy Outlook 2007
World Coal Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 160 140 140 120 Non-OECD 101 100 80 OECD 68 59 60 51 47 40 20 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Non-OECD…
World Electricity Generation by Fuel, 2004 and 2030 (billion kilowatthours) 16,000 2004 2030 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 s r al il as ea le O Co lG ab cl Nu w ra…
World Nuclear Generating Capacity, 2004 and 2030 (gigawatts) OECD North America 112 131 OECD Europe 134 114 61 OECD Asia 92 15 Non-OECD Asia 72 42 2004 Non-OECD Europe 65 2030 5 Other Non-OECD 8 0 50 100 150…
World Nuclear Power Generation, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (billion kilowatthours) 3,000 OECD 2,526 2,500 2,335 2,220 2,000 1,500 1,093 1,000 Non-OECD 637 500 399 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia…
World Renewables Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 35 29 30 25 25 OECD 22 22 20 Non-OECD 18 15 15 10 5 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Non-OECD…
World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990-2030 (billion metric tons) 50 History Projections 45 40 Total 35 30 25 20 Coal 15 Liquids 10 5 Natural Gas 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International…
Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2007, February 2007 International Energy Outlook 2007, May 2007 Examples of Special Analyses Economic…