Long-Term Outlook for Energy Markets Guy Caruso, Administrator Energy Information Administration Future Fuels 2006 November 28, 2006 Washington, DC
World Oil Price, 1980-2030 (2005 dollars per barrel) 80 History Projections 60 40 20 History AEO2006 AEO2007 P 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2006 and 2007 - Preliminary
U.S. Primary Energy Consumption, 1960-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 140 135 AEO2006 120 AEO2007 P 131 100 100 80 60 40 History Projections 20 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2006 and 2007…
U.S. Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1960-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 60 History Projections Liquid Fuels 50 40 Coal 30 Natural Gas 20 Nuclear 10 Renewables 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy…
U.S. Delivered Energy Consumption by Sector, 2005 and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 45 2005 AEO2006 40 AEO2007 P 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation Annual Energy Outlook 2006 and…
U.S. Liquid Fuels Consumption by Sector, 2005, 2010, 2020, and 2030 (millions of barrels per day) 30 27.6 26.9 24.8 Electric Power 25 24.0 22.2 21.6 Industrial 20.7 20 Residential and Commercial 15 10 Transportation…
U.S. Liquid Products Consumption, 1990-2030 (million barrels per day) 30 History Projections 25 Total 20 15 Motor Gasoline 10 Other 5 Distillate Jet Fuel Residual 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030…
U.S. Transportation Energy Consumption by Mode, 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 25 History Projections 20 Light-Duty Vehicles 15 10 Heavy-Duty Vehicles Air 5 Rail Water 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy…
U.S. Light-Duty Vehicle Travel, 1980-2030 (billion vehicle miles traveled) 4,500 History Projections 4,000 3,500 AEO2006 3,000 AEO2007 P 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy…
U.S. New Light-Duty Vehicle Efficiency, 2005 and 2030 (miles per gallon) 35 2005 AEO2006 30 AEO2007 P 25 20 15 10 5 0 New Car New Light-Duty Truck New Light-Duty Vehicle Average Note: Does not include impact of…
U.S. Sales of Full Hybrid, Diesel, and Flex Fuel Vehicles, 2005 and 2030 (thousand units) 2,100 2005 AEO2006 1,600 AEO2007 P 1,100 600 100 Hybrids* Diesel Flex Fuel -400 *Only includes hybrids that provide tractive…
Average Fuel Economy of U.S. New Light-Duty Vehicles, 1980-2030 (miles per gallon) 35 Projections Cars History 30 All Light-Duty Vehicles 25 Light Trucks 20 15 10 5 0 1980 1995 2005 2015 2030 Annual Energy…
Sales of U.S. Non-Conventional Light-Duty Vehicles, 2015 and 2030 (thousand vehicles sold) 2,500 Hybrids Alcohol 2,000 Turbo Direct Injection Diesel Gaseous Electric 1,500 Fuel Cell 1,000 500 0 2015 2030 Annual…
U.S. Ethanol Production, 1981-2030 (billion gallons) 20 History Projections 15 Corn Ethanol AEO2007 P 10 AEO2006 5 Cellulosic Ethanol 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2006 and 2007 -…
U.S. Crude Oil Production by Source, 1990-2030 (million barrels per day) 10 History Projections 8 6 Total 4 Lower 48 Onshore 2 Deepwater Offshore Alaska Shallow Water Offshore 0 1990 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030…
U.S. Petroleum Supply, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2030 (million barrels per day) 30 History Projections 25 20 61% Consumption Net Imports 15 60% 10 Domestic Supply 5 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020…
Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2007, reference case December 5th, report February 2006 International Energy Outlook 2006, June 2006…