International Energy Outlook 2007 with Projections to 2030 Guy Caruso Administrator Energy Information Administration Washington, DC May 21, 2007 1
International Energy Outlook 2007 - Summary Worldwide marketed energy consumption is projected to grow by 57 percent between 2004 and 2030. Highest growth projected for the developing countries. World unconventional production…
World Marketed Energy Use: OECD and Non-OECD 450 History Projections 404 400 350 Non-OECD 298 Quadrillion Btu 300 250 240 OECD 200 207 150 100 50 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 3 Source:…
Average Annual GDP and Population Growth for Selected Regions, 2004-2030 7.5 GDP 6.5 Population 5.5 Percent per Year 4.5 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 -0.5 s a ia a ia n il a e st az te re…
World Oil Prices in Three World Oil Price Cases, 100 1980-2030 100 80 Reference Case 2005 Dollars per Barrel Low World Oil Price High World Oil Price 59 60 40 36 20 History Projections 0 1980 1990 2000 2010…
World Marketed Energy Use by Fuel Type 300 History Projections 250 34% Liquids 200 28% Q uadrillion Btu 38% 24% Coal 150 26% Natural Gas Share of World 100 Total 23% Renewables 8% 50 7% 6% 6% Nuclear 0 1980 1985…
Forecast Comparisons in 2030: IEO2007 vs. IEO2006 447 Total 722 702 33 Renewables 62 54 28 Nuclear 35 40 2004 115 IEO2006 Coal 196 199 IEO2007 103 Natural Gas 190 170 168 Liquids 239 239 0 200 400 600 800…
World Liquids Consumption by Region, 2004 and 2030 North America Non-OECD Asia OECD Europe OECD Asia Central and South America Middle East 2004 Non-OECD Europe/Eurasia 2030 Africa 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Million Barrels…
World Liquids Production, 2004-2030 120 118 Total 100 Million Barrels Oil Equivalent per Day 80 60 Non-OPEC (Conventional) 54 53 40 OPEC (Conventional) 20 Unconventional 10 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018…
Non-OPEC Producing Regions With More than a One Million Barrel Per Day Increase in Total Production Over the Forecast Period, 2005 and 2030 14 11.5 2005 Million Barrels Oil Equivalent per Day 12 10.2 2030 10 9.5 8.2 8 7.3…
OPEC Conventional Liquids Production 40 37.5 35 Million Barrels per Day 30 25 23.5 20 15 9.2 10 5 3.8 4.9 4.0 1.1 0.7 2.2 1.7 0 Asia Middle East North Africa West Africa South America 11 Source: EIA, IEO2007
World Unconventional Liquids Production in the Reference Case, 1980-2030 12 History Projections 10 Million Barrels Oil Equivalent per Day Other Gas-To-Liquids 8 Coal-To-Liquids Biofuels Ultra Heavy Crudes 6 Canadian Oil…
World Natural Gas Production by Region, 2004-2030 180 OECD Russia Middle East Other Non-OECD 160 Trillion Cubic Feet 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 14 Source: EIA, IEO2007
World Coal Consumption, 2004-2030 250 India China 200 United States Rest of World Quadrillion Btu 150 100 50 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 15 Source: EIA, IEO2007
World Electric Power Generation by Region, 1980-2030 20 18 16 Non-OECD 14 Trllion Kilowatthours 12 OECD 10 8 6 4 2 History Projections 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 16 Source: EIA,…
World Nuclear Generating Capacity by Region, 2004 and 2030 112 OECD North America 131 134 OECD Europe 114 61 OECD Asia 92 15 Non-OECD Asia 72 42 2004 Non-OECD Europe 65 2030 5 Other Non-OECD 8 0 50 100 150…
World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Fuel Type 50 History Projections 45 40 Total Billion Metric Tons 35 30 25 20 Coal 15 Liquids 10 5 Natural Gas 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 20…
Major Trends in the IEO2007 Outlook Total world energy use rises by 57 percent in the reference case projection. The world oil prices in the IEO2007 reference are projected to make previously uneconomical, unconventional resources…
Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2007, February 2007 International Energy Outlook 2007, May 2007 Examples of Special Analyses Economic…