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USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA

EIA · Oct 15, 2010 · 15 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 1
    The Outlook for Energy-Related GHG Emissions USAEE/IAEE North American Conference Climate Change Policy Issues October 15, 2010 Calgary, AB Howard Gruenspecht, Deputy Administrator Howard Gruenspecht, Richard Newell, SAIS,…
  2. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 2
    Topics Addressed Comparing the U.S. and Canada Insights from analyses of recent U.S. GHG emissions mitigation policy proposals Factors influencing U.S. energy-related GHG emissions in the absence of an explicit GHG mitigation…
  3. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 3
    Canada/U.S. End-Use Energy Consumption quadrillion Btu 6 5.3 2007 2030 4.7 4 2.8 2.5 1.5 1.7 2 1.2 1.2 0 Residential Commercial Industrial Transportion % Change Canada 25% 42% 13% 12% 2007-2030 United States 5% 24% 5% 8% 40…
  4. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 4
    Canada/U.S. Net Electric Generation by Fuel Type billion kilowatthours 600 501 500 2007 2030 376 400 300 200 115 87 142 89 100 17 14 24 57 0 Liquids Natural Coal Nuclear Other Gas 2500 2210 2007 2030 2016 2000 1500…
  5. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 5
    Canada/U.S Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Fossil Fuel million tons % change 800 Liquids Natural Gas Coal 2007-2030 600 141 99 105 -26% 100 97 400 157 174 186 203 218 +39% 200 288 279 272 278 287 +0% 0 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025…
  6. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 6
    Insights from analyses of recent U.S. GHG emissions mitigation policy proposals
  7. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 7
    APA (aka KL) requires a cumulative 39 billion metric ton reduction in emissions between 2013 and 2035, but the actual U.S. reduction depends on offset use and banking behavior Greenhouse gas emissions (billion metric tons carbon…
  8. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 8
    Offset comprise the majority of compliance with the APA cap, except in cases where their availability is limited Cumulative compliance 2013-2035 (billion metric tons carbon dioxide equivalent) 70 Energy-related carbon dioxide Carbon…
  9. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 9
    Recent cap & trade proposals provide relatively modest reductions in U.S. energy-related CO2 emissions thru 2035 million metric tons carbon dioxide equivalent History Projections 9,000 8,000 Total greenhouse gas emissions -ref 7,000…
  10. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 10
    78%-85% of U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide emission reductions in 2035 come from electric power billion metric tons carbon dioxide 7 Electric power History Projections for 2035 Transportion 6 Industrial 5 2.65 Buildings 2.36…
  11. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 11
    Factors influencing U.S. energy-related GHG emissions in the absence of an explicit GHG mitigation policy
  12. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 12
    Several factors could push energy use and/or emissions below the AEO2010 reference case trajectory Re-examination of forecast for vehicle miles of travel Light-duty fuel economy standards beyond MY 2016, as discussed in recent…
  13. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 13
    operating costs: existing plants with and w/o climate policies Fuel Cost for Existing Coal and Combined Climate policies affect the Cycle Natural Gas Units with a Value operating costs of both coal-fired Placed on Carbon Dioxide…
  14. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 14
    Bottom Line Even in the absence of national policies to reduce energy-related GHG emissions, it is not hard to envision scenarios in which such emissions in 2020 are at or below the levels projected in recent analyses of the WM and…
  15. USAEE and IAEE North American Conference – EIA – slide 15
    For more information U.S. Energy Information Administration home page www.eia.gov Short-Term Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/emeu/steo/pub/contents.html Annual Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html International Energy Outlook…

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