Long-Term Outlook for World Energy Markets Guy Caruso, Administrator Energy Information Administration China-U.S. Relations Conference October 23, 2007 Washington, DC
World Oil Price, 1980-2030 (2005 dollars per barrel) 100 History Projections 80 High Price 60 Reference 40 Low Price 20 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 International Energy Outlook 2007
World Marketed Energy Consumption, 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 300 History Projections 250 34% Liquids 28% 200 38% Coal 24% 150 26% Natural Gas Share of World 100 Total 23% Renewables 8% 50 7% 6% 6% Nuclear 0 1980…
World Marketed Energy Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 450 History Projections 404 400 350 Non-OECD 298 300 240 250 OECD 200 207 150 100 50 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy…
World Energy Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 450 404 400 OECD 350 294 298 300 Non-OECD 265 250 240 207 200 150 100 50 0 2004 North America 2015 OECD Europe 2030 OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and…
Average Annual GDP and Population Growth for Selected Regions, 2004-2030 (percent) 7.5 6.5 GDP 5.5 Population 4.5 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 -0.5 a a es il pe st ea an ia a ri c di az in ss Ea…
Average Annual Growth in Delivered Energy Consumption, 2004-2030 (percent) 2.9 2.5 Non-OECD 3.7 2.4 0.9 Transportation 0.6 Industrial OECD Commercial 1.2 Residential 0.6 0 1 2 3 4 International Energy Outlook 2007
Transportation Energy Use in China, 2004-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 18 16 14 Water 12 Air Rail 10 Road 8 6 4 2 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy Outlook 2007
Chinas Transportation Energy Use by Fuel, 2004-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 20 Other Heavy Fuel Oil 15 Jet Fuel Diesel Gasoline 10 5 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy Outlook 2007
World Liquids Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (million barrels per day) 70 61 60 57 OECD 52 50 49 Non-OECD 46 40 33 30 20 10 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Other…
World Liquids Production, 2004-2030 (million barrels per day oil equivalent) 120 118 Total 100 80 60 Non-OPEC (Conventional) 54 53 40 OPEC (Conventional) 20 Unconventional 10 0 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018…
World Natural Gas Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (trillion cubic feet) 100 93 90 80 OECD 70 70 67 Non-OECD 62 60 51 50 48 40 30 20 10 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia…
World Coal Consumption, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 160 140 140 120 Non-OECD 101 100 80 OECD 68 59 60 51 47 40 20 0 2004 2015 2030 North America OECD Europe OECD Asia Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Other…
Coal Consumption in China by Sector 2004, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 100 2004 2015 2030 95 90 80 70 65 60 56 50 39 41 40 37 30 23 23 20 16 10 3 3 3 0 Electricity Industrial Other Sectors Total International Energy…
World Electricity Generation by Fuel, 2004 and 2030 (billion kilowatthours) 16,000 2004 2030 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 s r al il as ea le O Co lG ab cl Nu w ra…
Net Electricity Generation in Non-OECD Asia, 2004 and 2030 (percent) China India Other 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2004 2030 2004 2030 2004 2030 Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear Renewables International…
Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2007, February 2007 International Energy Outlook 2007, May 2007 Examples of Special Analyses Economic…