LONG-TERM TRENDS FOR U.S. RESIDENTIAL ENERGY Guy Caruso, Administrator Energy Information Administration Policy Advisory Board Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies February 2, 2006 Washington, DC
EIA Has Reassessed Its Long-Term Oil Price Projection Major oil producing countries pace investment more consistent with higher oil price path Investment impediments more persistent, even after several years of relatively high oil…
World Oil Price, 1980-2030 (2004 dollars per barrel) 80 History Projections 60 40 20 History AEO2005 AEO2006 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2005 and 2006
U.S. Natural Gas Wellhead Price, 1970-2030 (2004 dollars per thousand cubic feet) 8 History Projections 7 6 5 4 3 History AEO2005 2 AEO2006 1 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2005 and…
U.S. Electricity Price, 1970-2030 (2004 cents per kilowatthour) History Projections 10 8 6 History AEO2005 AEO2006 4 2 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy Outlook 2005 and 2006
U.S. Energy Use per Capita and per Dollar of Real Gross Domestic Product, 1970-2030 (index, 1970 = 1) 1.2 History Projections 1.0 per dollar real GDP 0.8 per capita 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020…
U.S. Energy Production, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 140 History Projections 120 33% 100 Net Imports Consumption 29% 80 Production 60 40 20 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030…
U.S. Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1960-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 150 History Projections 125 100 Coal 75 Natural Gas 50 Petroleum 25 Nuclear Renewables 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Annual Energy…
U.S. Delivered Energy Consumption by Sector, 2004, 2025, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu) 45 2004 History 40 AEO2005 - 2025 AEO2006 - 2025 35 AEO2006 - 2030 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Residential Commercial Industrial…
U.S. Residential Energy Use, 1960-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 7 History Projections 6 Electricity 5 Natural Gas 4 3 2 Petroleum 1 Wood Coal 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030…
U.S. Residential Energy Use, 1980-2030 (1980=1) 1.8 History Projections 1.6 1.4 Electricity 1.2 1 Natural Gas 0.8 0.6 0.4 Petroleum 0.2 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual Energy Outlook…
Residential Delivered Energy Consumption by End Use, 2001, 2004, 2015, and 2030 (million Btu per household) 60 2001 50 2004 2015 40 2030 30 20 10 0 Space Space Water Refrigeration Lighting All Other Heating…
Energy Star Homes Completed, 2004-2030 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Sources: 2004 Data: Environmental Protection Agency; Projections:…
Change in Residential Energy Use in Three Alternative Cases, 2005-2030 (million Btu per household) 10 2005 Technology 5 Reference 0 High Technology -5 Best Available Technology -10 -15 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030…
Annual Energy Outlook 2006 reference case indicates that through 2030.... U.S. energy demand is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 1.1 percent The energy efficiency of the economy is projected to increase at an average…
Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2006, December 2005, full report, February 2006 International Energy Outlook 2005, July 2005 Examples of…