Long-Term Outlook for Energy Markets in the Western Hemisphere Guy Caruso, Administrator Energy Information Administration Center for Strategic and International Studies November 3, 2006 Washington, DC
World Oil Prices,1980-2030 (2004 dollars per barrel) 100 History Projections High Price 80 60 Reference 40 Low Price 20 0 1980 1995 2004 2015 2030 International Energy Outlook 2006
World Energy Consumption by Region, 2003-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 600 Western Hemisphere 500 Rest of World 400 300 200 100 0 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy Outlook 2006
World Energy Consumption by Region, 2003-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 600 Central and South America North America 500 Rest of World 400 300 200 100 0 2003 2015 2030 International Energy Outlook 2006
World Marketed Energy Use by Fuel, 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 300 History Projections 250 33% Oil 27% 200 38% 26% Coal 150 Share of 24% World Natural Gas 100 Total 24% Renewables 9% 50 8% 5% 6% Nuclear 0 1980 1985…
Western Hemisphere Energy Use, 2003-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 180 Renewables 160 Nuclear 140 Coal 120 Natural Gas 100 Oil 80 60 40 20 0 a a a a a a ic ic ic ic ic ic er er er…
World Oil Consumption, 2003 2030 (million barrels per day) 80 76.1 Western Hemisphere 71.3 70 66.8 Rest of the World 63.0 58.7 60 50.6 50 41.9 39.4 40 37.3 35.3 33.0 29.5 30 20 10 0 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030…
Worldwide Liquids Production (million barrels per day) 140 120 Unconventional 100 80 OPEC 60 40 Non-OPEC 20 0 2003 2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 International Energy Outlook 2006
Unconventional Liquids Production, 2003 2030 (million barrels per day) 8 7.4 Western Hemisphere 6.5 Rest of the World 6 5.4 4.7 4.1 4 3.4 3.2 2.6 2.2 2 1.5 1.5 0.3 0 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy…
U.S. Oil Imports from the Western Hemisphere (million barrels per day) 10 Canada Mexico 9.2 9 Venezuela 8.3 8 Other 7.5 7 6.9 6.5 6 6.0 5 4 3 2 1 0 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy Outlook 2006
World Natural Gas Consumption, 2003 2030 (trillion cubic feet) 160 140 Western Hemisphere 135 Rest of the World 120 120 107 100 95 81 80 64 60 47 43 45 40 40 35 31 20 0 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International…
World Coal Consumption, 2003 2030 (billion short tons) 9 8 Western Hemisphere 7 Rest of the World 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy Outlook 2006
World Net Electricity Consumption, 2003-2030 (billion kilowatthours) 14,000 Western Hemisphere Rest of the World 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy Outlook 2006
Fuel Shares of Electricity Generation, 2003-2030 (percent) North America World 100 90 100 80 70 Renewables 90 60 Nuclear 50 Coal 80 40 Natural Gas 70 Renewables 30 Oil 20 60 Nuclear 10 50 Coal 0 2003 2015 2030 40 Natural…
World Nuclear Power Generation, 2003-2030 (billion kilowatthours) Western Hemisphere Rest of the World 2,500 2,320 2,304 2,307 2,234 2,294 2,135 2,000 1,500 988 1,027 1,022 1,013 943 1,000 865 500 0 2003 2010 2015…
World Renewable Energy Use, 2003-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 35 33 Western Hemisphere 31 Rest of the World 29 29 30 28 27 26 25 24 21 20 20 17 16 15 10 5 0 2003 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 International Energy Outlook…
Major Western Hemisphere Trends Western Hemisphere energy use grows by 1.5 percent per year over the 2003-2030 projection period, compared to 2.2 percent in the rest of the world. North Americas share of Western Hemisphere energy…
Periodic Reports Petroleum Status and Natural Gas Storage Reports, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2006, February 2006, next release November 2006 International Energy Outlook 2006, June 2006 Examples of…