Fuels Used in Electricity Generation For U.S. Nuclear Infrastructure Council June 05, 2013 Washington, DC By Adam Sieminski, Administrator U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis www.eia.gov
Over time the electricity mix gradually shifts to lower-carbon options, led by growth in natural gas and renewable generation U.S. electricity net generation trillion kilowatthours 1993 History 2011 Projections 6 5 30% Natural…
Key results from the AEO2013 reference case relating to the electric power sector While coal still remains the largest single source of U.S. electricity generation, its role declines as natural gas and renewables pick up increasing…
Why we might could will be wrong Changing policies and regulations Changing consumer preferences Faster / slower economic growth Faster / slower technological progress Different relative fuel prices Technological…
Electricity demand: growth in electricity use slows, but still increases by 28% from 2012 to 2040 percent growth (3-year compounded annual growth rate) 2011 14% History Projections 12% 10% 8% Electricity Use 6% 2011 2040 4%…
Natural gas and coal prices: coal regains competitive advantage relative to natural gas over time on a national average basis ratio of natural gas price to steam coal price Energy prices to the electric power sector 2011 dollars per Btu…
Domestic production of shale gas has grown dramatically over the past few years shale gas production (dry) billion cubic feet per day 30 Rest of US Marcellus (PA and WV) 25 Haynesville (LA and TX) Eagle Ford (TX) 20 Bakken (ND)…
New power plant costs: levelized cost of electricity costs for new U.S. electricity power plants in 2018 2011 dollars per megawatthour Natural Gas Combined Levelized Capital Cost Onshore Wind Fixed O&M Cost Variable O&M Cost…
The fuel mix for electricity generation varies widely across U.S. regions (2011) Share of Generation by Fuel, 2011 National Average Minimum Maximum Coal 42% 0% 80% Natural Gas 25% 2% 87% Nuclear 19% 0% 41% Renewables 13% 1% 65%…
The projected fuel mix for electricity generation by region (2040) Share of Generation by Fuel, 2040 National Average Minimum Maximum Coal 35% 0% 69% Natural Gas 30% 2% 81% Nuclear 17% 0% 36% Renewables 16% 1% 53% Oil / Other 1%…
Additions to electricity generation capacity, 1985-2040 U.S. electricity generation capacity additions gigawatts 60 Coal History Projection Hydro Natural Gas 50 Nuclear Wind 40 Solar 30 20 10 0 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005…
Changes in nuclear capacity for the AEO2013 reference case gigawatts 140 5.5 7.1 5.5 120 113.1 8.0 101.1 100 80 60 40 20 0 2011 Capacity Uprates Planned Unplanned Retirements 2040 Capacity Additions Additons Source:…
Nuclear relevant side cases in AEO2013 High/low nuclear High/low oil and gas resource Small modular reactors (SMRs) CO2 fee cases Adam Sieminski, USNIC June 05, 2013 13
Nuclear capacity additions in AEO2013 vary under different assumptions capacity additions gigawatts Planned Unplanned Reference High Nuclear Low Nuclear Low Oil and Gas Resource (high natural gas prices) High Oil and Gas…
If natural gas prices stay low, coal is permanently displaced as the leading generation source in the near future billion kilowatthours Projections 2,500 Coal Reference 2,000 1,500 1,000 High Oil and Natural Gas Resource…
Power sector electricity generation capacity by fuel in five cases, 2011 and 2040 Oil/gas steam Natural gas combined cycle capacity Natural gas combustion turbine gigawatts Coal Nuclear Renewable/other 2011 2040 Reference Low…
Small Modular Reactors (SMR) SMR technology differs from traditional, large-scale light- water reactor technology in both reactor size and plant scalability EIA conducted a side case to evaluate the effect of a shorter construction…
Changing electricity generation mix in AEO2013 reference case and carbon fee allowance side cases U.S. electricity net generation trillion kilowatthours 2013 Reference Case 15 Carbon Fee 25 Carbon Fee 5 5 5 2011 30% 4 4 34% 4…
U.S. dependence on imported liquids depends on both supply and demand U.S. liquid fuel supply million barrels per day History 2012 2014 Projections 25 32% STEO forecast for 2014 20 -8% Consumption 15 37% Net imports 40% Petroleum…
Keynote Speakers Dr. Ernest J. Moniz U.S. Secretary of Energy Lisa Murkowski Aldo Flores- United States Senator Alaska Quiroga Secretary General Thomas Fanning International Energy Forum Chairman, President and CEO Southern…
For more information U.S. Energy Information Administration home page www.eia.gov Annual Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo Short-Term Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo International Energy Outlook…
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