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International Energy Outlook – EIA

EIA · May 25, 2010 · 21 slides

Investor presentation from the Shale Experts oil & gas presentation and slide database. Every page is imaged and its text indexed for search across operators, plays, basins and time.

Slides

  1. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 1
    International Energy Outlook 2010 With Projections to 2035 Center for Strategic and International Studies May 25, 2010 Washington, DC Howard Gruenspecht, Deputy Administrator
  2. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 2
    Non-OECD countries account for 86% of the increase in global energy use energy consumption quadrillion Btu 800 739 Non-OECD 687 OECD 639 590 600 543 495 62% 400 50% 200 50% 38% 0 2007 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Howard…
  3. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 3
    Renewables are the fastest growing energy source (but from a relatively small base) world primary energy consumption quadrillion Btu History Projections 250 Liquids 30% (including biofuels) 28% 200 35% 22% 150 Coal Share of…
  4. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 4
    Economic activity and population drive increases in energy use; energy intensity improvements moderate this trend average annual change (2007-2035) percent per year 6 GDP Population 5 Energy use per GDP 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2…
  5. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 5
    The IEO reflects uncertainty in oil prices through a wide set of price cases light, sweet crude oil price 2008 dollars per barrel 225 History Projections 210 200 High Oil Price case 175 150 Reference case 133 125 100 75 50…
  6. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 6
    OPEC producers maintain an approximate 40% share of total liquids production in the Reference case liquids production million barrel per day 120 History Projections 111 100 Total 85 80 60 52 48 Non-OPEC conventional 45 40…
  7. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 7
    Growth in OPEC production of conventional liquids comes primarily from Saudi Arabia and Iraq conventional liquids production million barrels per day 16 14 2007 2020 2035 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Saudi Arabia Iran Iraq Other…
  8. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 8
    Brazil, Russia, Kazakhstan, and U.S. lead increases in non- OPEC conventional supplies conventional liquids production million barrels per day 16 14 2007 2020 2035 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Russia United Brazil Kazakhstan OECD…
  9. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 9
    Canadian oil sands and biofuels account for 70% of the increase in total unconventional liquids unconventional liquids production million barrels per day 6 5 2007 2020 2035 4 3 2 1 0 Oil sands/ Biofuels Extra-heavy…
  10. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 10
    The high oil price case assumes much lower production from key oil exporters liquids production in 2035 million barrels per day Reference case High Oil Price case 45 42 OPEC Non-OPEC 40 39 35 30 25 22 20 15 15 15 13 11 10…
  11. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 11
    Non-OECD Asia accounts for 35% of increased natural gas use natural gas consumption trillion cubic feet 160 156 150 145 136 Non-OECD Asia 140 125 120 Middle East 108 100 Other OECD 80 Central/South America 60 Africa 40…
  12. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 12
    The Middle East accounts for almost one-third the increase in global gas production Percent Change 2007-2035 Other OECD -9% Australia/New Zealand 164% United States 22% Central and South America 101% Non-OECD Europe/Eurasia…
  13. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 13
    Tight gas, shale gas, and coalbed methane drive supply growth in China, Canada, and the U.S natural gas production trillion cubic feet 25 20 Tight gas, 15 shale gas, and coalbed methane 10 5 All other gas 0 2007 2035…
  14. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 14
    Virtually all growth in global coal use occurs in non-OECD Asian nations, especially China and India world coal consumption quadrillion Btu 160 History Projections 140 120 Non-OECD Asia 100 80 60 40 Rest of the world 20…
  15. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 15
    Renewables are fastest growing, but coal still fuels the largest share of the worlds electricity in 2035 world electricity generation trillion kilowatt hours 40 Liquids Nuclear Other renewables Hydroelectricity Natural gas Coal…
  16. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 16
    Non-OECD transportation fuel use surpasses almost flat OECD fuel use by 2025 transportation sector energy consumption quadrillion Btu 100 History Projections Non-OECD 80 60 OECD 40 20 0 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030…
  17. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 17
    Freight energy use increases faster than passenger energy use transportation energy consumption quadrillion Btu OECD Non-OECD 80 70 60 50 Freight 40 30 20 Passenger 10 0 2007 2020 2035 2007 2020 2035 Howard…
  18. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 18
    Assuming no policy changes, energy-related carbon dioxide emissions grow 43% from 2007 to 2035 energy CO2 emissions billion metric tons 45 42 Non-OECD 39 40 OECD 36 35 34 30 32 67% 30 25 53% 20 15 10 47% 43% 5 0 2007…
  19. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 19
    Key trends from 2007 to 2035 In the IEO2010 Reference case, global marketed energy consumption grows by 49 percent Most of this growth occurs in non-OECD Asia and the Middle East With no policy changes that would limit their use,…
  20. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 20
    Key Trends from 2007 to 2035 (continued) Natural gas consumption increases 44% Developing Asia accounts for 35% of the increase in world consumption The Middle East accounts for 32% of the increase in production Coal use grows 56%…
  21. International Energy Outlook – EIA – slide 21
    For more information U.S. Energy Information Administration home page www.eia.gov Short-Term Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/emeu/steo/pub/contents.html Annual Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html International Energy Outlook…

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