Annual Energy Outlook 2012 Fuel Demand in the Transportation Sector Bipartisan Policy Center Jim Turnure, Director, Office of Energy Consumption and Efficiency Analysis June, 2012 Washington, DC U.S. Energy Information…
Transportation energy consumption projected to grow slowly through 2035 Quadrillion Btu History 2010 Projections 30 25 23% 19% Heavy-duty vehicles 20 15 Light-duty vehicles 59% 64% 10 5 10% Air 10% Rail 5% Marine 5% 0 2%…
Petroleum products continue to dominate transportation fuel consumption Quadrillion Btu Natural Gas, Electricity, History 2010 Projections Hydrogen 30 1% Residual Fuel Oil and Other E85 4% Petroleum Fuel 5% 4% 25 11% Jet Fuel 12%…
Efficiency improvements by highway vehicles mostly offset underlying drivers of growth in energy consumption Growth 2010 2035 (2010-2035) Light duty vehicles Fuel consumption (quadrillion Btu) 16.6 16.1 -3% Number of licensed drivers…
Light-duty vehicle energy consumption declines but motor gasoline remains the primary fuel Quadrillion Btu History 2010 Projections 20 Gaseous, Hydrogen, and Electricity 2% E85 1% 8% 15 5% Diesel 10 98% Motor Gasoline 87%…
New light-duty vehicle fuel economy reaches almost 38 mpg by 2035 in the Reference case, which does not include proposed standards for MY2017 to MY2025 vehicles miles per gallon History 2010 Projections 45 40 35 30 25 Summary of…
Gasoline-only vehicles without hybrid technologies decline as a share of new vehicle sales, but remain the largest share U.S. light car and truck sales millions 20 15 Gasoline-only vehicles without hybrid technologies E85 flex…
Heavy-duty vehicle energy consumption grows due to rising VMT and met primarily by diesel fuel Quadrillion Btu History 2010 Projections 10 Natural Gas Motor Gasoline 2% 6% 8% 5 92% Diesel 92% 0 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015…
AEO2012 transportation side cases CAFE Standards case Explores energy impacts assuming that light-duty CAFE and greenhouse gas emissions standards proposed for model years 2017-2025 are enacted. High Technology Battery case…
Light-duty vehicle energy consumption declines substantially in CAFE Standards case Quadrillion Btu History 2010 Projections 20 Gaseous, Hydrogen, and Electricity 2% E85 15 1% 10% Diesel 5% 10 98% Motor Gasoline 84% 5 0…
New light-duty vehicle fuel economy in CAFE standards case compared to Reference case miles per gallon History 2010 Projections 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 Summary of standards 20 Reference: 34.1 mpg CAFE average (based on NHTSA 15 vehicle…
Gasoline-only vehicles decline as a share of new sales in CAFE Standards case U.S. light car and truck sales millions 20 CAFE Standards case 15 Gasoline-only vehicles without hybrid technologies E85 flex fuel Mild hybrid electric…
Battery technology breakthrough leads to relatively little change in light-duty vehicle energy consumption mix Quadrillion Btu History 2010 Projections 20 Electricity 2% E85 1% 15 7% 5% Diesel 10 98% Motor Gasoline 86% 5…
Plug-in and hybrid electric vehicle sales increase substantially by 2035 in High Technology Battery case U.S. light car and truck sales millions 20 High Technology Battery case 15 Gasoline-only vehicles without hybrid technologies…
Heavy-duty vehicle natural gas consumption grows substantially in the HD NGV case Quadrillion Btu History 2010 Projections 10 Motor Gasoline 8% Natural Gas 5 31% 5% 92% Diesel 64% 0 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025…
For more information U.S. Energy Information Administration home page www.eia.gov Annual Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo Short-Term Energy Outlook www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo International Energy Outlook…