Delivering Value and Growth SNAPSHOT 2014F 2015F Capital expenditures (C$ million) $11,955 $6,190 Dividend (C$/Share) $0.88 Production (annual average, before royalties) Oil (Mbbl/d) 531 - 557 552 - 592 Natural gas (MMcf/d) 1,550 -…
Five Key Messages Strong financial position Large, balanced, high quality asset base Transitioning to long life, low decline assets Increasing sustainable free cash flow through organic profitable growth Unlocking significant…
CNQ ? Long term ratings ?S&P: BBB+ (Stable Outlook) ?Moody?s: Baa1 (Stable Outlook) ?DBRS: BBB High (Stable Trend) ? Short term ratings ?S&P: A-2 ?Moody?s: P-2 ? Strong liquidity with $5.8 billion in credit lines ?$2.4 billion…
CNQ 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 CNQ SU OXY IMP DVN APC CHK APA EOG CVE ECA NBL HSE TLM 1P Reserves After Royalties SIGNIFICANT VALUE TO UNLOCK Slide 4 Note: Sourced from 2013 corporate reports.…
CNQ ? Transitioning to long life, low decline asset mix ? Conventional assets deliver field operating free cash flow ? Pelican Lake crude oil ?Leading-edge polymer flood ?Top tier operating costs deliver field operating free cash…
CNQ Transitioning to a Longer Life Asset Base LONG LIFE ASSETS = MORE SUSTAINABLE FREE CASH FLOW Slide 6 *2015F - 2018F based on company internal forecast as at November 2014. Dependent upon economic and regulatory conditions,…
CNQ ? Resource development ?Executing our defined plan ?Transitioning to a longer life low decline asset base ?Capital flexibility allows us to be nimble ? Dividends ?14 consecutive years of dividend increases ? 34% CAGR (2009 -…
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F Dividend Share Purchase Horizon build years Return to Shareholders RETURNS TO SHAREHOLDERS A PRIORITY Slide…
Canadian Natural 2015 Capital Budget ($ million) 2014F 2015B 2015 Revised Natural gas $785 $920 $490 Crude oil Pelican Lake 250 240 175 Primary Heavy 1,250 1,130 545 Thermal In Situ 1,080 1,135 460 Light Canada 675 480 260…
CNQ Canadian Natural 2015 Production Budget STRATEGIC, DEFINED GROWTH PLAN Slide 11 Targeted Production 2014F 2015B % Change 2015 Revised % Change(1) Crude oil (Mbbl/d) North America Light Oil & NGLs 89 - 90 96 - 100 9% 91 - 96…
CNQ Balanced, Diverse Portfolio BUILDING A WORLD CLASS COMPANY Slide 12 ? Balanced, diverse production mix ? International exposure ? Vast, balanced resource base to develop ? Growing free cash flow Heavy Crude Oil ~35% Light…
CNQ AB SK MB CNQ Total Land Base West 1,273 MMcf/d East 371 MMcf/d BC North America Natural Gas & NGLs Core Area Summary ? Largest natural gas producer in Canada ? Q3/14 natural gas production of 1,644 MMcf/d ? Q3/14…
e Production (MMcf/d)* 1,530 - 1,535 1,660 - 1,695 9% Drilling (net wells) 77 21 Capital ($ million) $785 $490 ? Capital discipline ? Preserve land base for increasing natural gas prices ? 2015 operating cost guidance $1.30 -…
North America Light Crude Oil 2014 Facts ? Q3/14 light crude oil and NGLs production ? ~94 Mbbl/d ? 2014 light crude oil activity ? 99 wells ? 2 Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) pilots at Nipisi and Grand Forks ? 2P reserves ? Light…
CNQ ? 2015 activity ? Target multiple formations across basin ? Leverage infrastructure and ?Drill-to-Fill? ? Drive capital efficiencies ? Maximize value ? Opportunities to optimize facilities and operating costs ? Leverage…
CNQ International Light Crude Oil ? Q3/14 light crude oil production ? ~32 Mbbl/d ? 2P light crude oil reserves ? 478 million barrels* ? Long reserve life ? Low decline water floods ? Exploitation based ? Exploration upside LONG…
CNQ ? North Sea ?4 Brownfield Allowances (BFAs) approved to date ?Ninian development plan commenced in Q4/13 ? 6 well program ? Offshore Africa ?Espoir 10 well infill drilling program ? Commenced late Q4/14 ?Baobab 6 well drilling…
CNQ ? C?te d?Ivoire ?CI-514 ? CNQ 36% WI ? First exploratory well encountered 40 meter column of 34 degree API crude ? Second exploratory well targeted up-dip for first half of 2015 ?CI-12 ? CNQ 60% WI ? 3D seismic acquired and…
CNQ Primary Heavy Crude Oil Core Area Summary ? Largest primary heavy oil producer in Canada ? Record Q3/14 production of ~143,400 bbl/d ? Delivering strong execution ? Extensive land base and infrastructure ? Over 8,000…
CNQ ? Low operating costs high netbacks strong field operating free cash flow ? Reducing capital to maintain capital efficiencies ? Most flexible capital in portfolio ? Technology advancements unlock value 2014F 2015F Production…
Pelican Lake Crude Oil ? Wabiskaw heavy crude oil pool ? Industry leading EOR project ? Amongst the largest polymer floods in the world ? Technology development continues to improve crude oil recovery ? Leading example of…
CNQ 2014F 2015F %Change Production (bbl/d) 49 - 51 53 - 55 8% Drilling (net wells) ? Producers & Injectors 24 2 Capital ($ million) $250 $175 Pelican Lake 2015 Plan TECHNOLOGY ADVANCEMENT PROVIDES SIGNIFICANT UPSIDE Slide 23 Note:…
Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Land Holdings VAST LAND BASE AND GREAT ASSETS = FLEXIBILITY Slide 24 CNQ Lands Cenovus Conoco Devon Shell Suncor Syncrude All Others Birch Mtn. Gregoire Kirby Leismer Ipiatik Grouse Pelican…
CNQ Thermal In Situ Oil Sands Growth Plan CAPTURING VALUE BY DOING IT RIGHT Slide 26 ? 522,000 bbl/d of oil facility capacity in the defined growth plan ? 40,000 - 60,000 bbl/d addition every 2-3 years ? 100% working interest and…
Thermal In Situ Oil Sands 2015 Plan 2014F 2015F % Change Production (Mbbl/d) 112 - 122 126 - 140 14% Drilling (net wells) Primrose producers 11 ? Kirby producers 4 3 Strats 88 27 Service / observation wells 62 22 Total 165 52…
CNQ Horizon Oil Sands - Operations Core Area Summary ? World Class asset ? 14.4 billion barrels BIIP(1) ? 2P SCO reserves ? 3.3 billion barrels(2) ? Best estimate contingent resources other than reserves ? 4.1 billion barrels of…
CNQ ? Enhanced reliability ? Continued focus on safe, steady and reliable operations ? Plant utilization of 95% post turnaround 2013 ? Greater focus on operating cost efficiencies ? 2015 Guidance: $34.00 - $37.00/bbl, $31.00 -…
Horizon Oil Sands - Operations Industry Leading Utilization BEST IN CLASS OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE Slide 30 Q1/14 Note For Q1/14 to Q3/14, CNQ internal. Peers include: Suncor, Syncrude. Source: For 2013 and best annual performance of…
CNQ Horizon Oil Sands - Expansion 2015 Plan ? Phase 2/3 Project Expansion FOCUS ON PROJECT EXECUTION Slide 31 2014F 2015F Project Capital ($ million) Reliability ? Tranche 2 $60 $0 Directive 74 and Technology 125 55 Phase 2A 100…
Committed Management ? Substantial management and director wealth at stake ? Strong motivation for management to perform ? Delivers clear alignment with shareholder interests CONSISTENT HISTORY OF VALUE CREATION Slide 35 Note:…
CNQ ? Strong Balance Sheet ? Large, diversified, well balanced asset base ? Transition to longer-life, low decline assets reduces capital requirements while maintaining production ? Delivering increasing and more sustainable free…
CNQ ? Quarterly production ? 797,000 BOE/d ? 13% YOY growth ? 518,000 bbl/d crude oil & NGLs ? 2% YOY growth ? 2014F targeted annual growth of 12% ? 1,674 MMcf/d natural gas ? 44% YOY growth ? Record Pelican Lake heavy crude oil…
CNQ North America Natural Gas & NGLs Our Montney Position Project Gas Sales Capacity (MMcf/d) Liquids Sales Capacity (bbl/d) Gas Price Required (AECO) Septimus Phase 1 57 5,555 On stream Septimus Phase 2 68 6,645 On…
North America Natural Gas & NGLs Duvernay Lands and Plans LEVERAGE LAND, INFRASTRUCTURE AND TECHNOLOGY Slide 41 Kaybob Wild River Pembina AB Volatile Crude Oil Wet Gas (10-80 bbl/MMcf) Lean Gas…
CNQ Pelican Lake Polymerflood INDUSTRY LEADING EOR TECHNOLOGY Slide 43 $/bbl New wells / well conversions $1.75-$2.50 Facilities and pipelines $2.75-$3.50 Polymer $4.00-$6.00 Maintenance and other $4.50-$5.00 Total $13.00-$17.00…
CNQ 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Pelican Lake Production by Recovery Method THREE PRODUCING REGIMES ?…
CNQ Delivering Safety Excellence SAFETY IS A CORE VALUE Slide 45 0 0.1 0.2 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Lost time incident rate (incident per 200K hours) ? Safety is a core value ? Committed to continuous improvement ? No harm to…
CNQ ? Proactive environmentally responsible operations ? Drive continuous improvement to reduce environmental impacts ? Meet or exceed all regulatory requirements ? Reducing greenhouse gas intensity ? Restoring sites to natural…
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Leveraging Technology for Value & Performance ($ million) Note: Sourced from Company internal reports and RE$EARCH Infosource Inc. Research &…
CNQ ? Incremental PADD 2 conversion capacity ? BP Whiting refinery capacity increase of 260,000 bbl/d ? Significant additional rail loading capacity in WCSB ? 1.4 Mmbbl/d of loading capacity by Q4/15 ? Approximately 200 ? 300 Mbbl/d…
CNQ Marketing Pipeline Capacity to Markets RAIL INFRASTRUCTURE WILL BE USED AS REQUIRED TO MEET PIPELINE SHORTFALLS Slide 49 (MMbbl/d) Western Canadian Refineries TMPL ENB- Ex Superior W. Access to PADD IV Clearbrook/Superior…
Superior Fort McMurray Kitimat Edmonton Steele City Sarnia Montreal Portland St. John Enbridge Gateway 525 Mbbl/d Crude Export Line (2018+) TMX Expansion 890 Mbbl/d (2018+) Seaway Pipeline Twin 850 Mbbl/d Vancouver…
CNQ ? Project sanctioned November 2012 ? 50,000 bbl/d additional bitumen conversion capacity ?Canadian Natural ? 50% ownership ? Return on capital generated by tolls ?30 year tolling agreement ?Tolls determined by project capital,…
CNQ Horizon Oil Sands Expansion By Phase Slide 53 Ore Preparation Plant Extraction Froth Treatment Plant Distillate Recovery Vacuum Distillate Unit Coker Drums Hydrotreaters ** # of Units Capacity (bbl/d) Phase 1 110,000…
CNQ Bank Credit Facilities (C$ million) Maturity Revolving bank line 1 $3,000 June 2017 Revolving bank line 2 $1,500 June 2016 Non-Revolving term facility $1,000 April 2016 Operating demand loan $ 275 Demand North Sea operating…
CNQ 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029 2032 2035 2038 C$ Public US$ Public (converted to C$ Equivalent) Maturity Schedule Public Debt BALANCED MATURITY PROFILE Slide 55 (C$ billion) Note:…
Remaining term Volume Weighted average price Index Crude oil Price collars Oct 2014 ? Dec 2014 50,000 bbl/d US$75.00 ? US$121.57 Brent Oct 2014 ? Dec 2014 50,000 bbl/d US$80.00 ? US$120.17 Brent Oct 2014 ? Dec 2014 50,000 bbl/d…
Note: The Company?s outstanding commodity derivative financial instruments are expected to be settled monthly based on the applicable index pricing for the respective contract month. Remaining term Volume Weighted average price Index…
Key Historic Data Operational Information 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Daily production, before royalties Crude oil and NGLs (Mbbl/d) 316 355 425 389 451 478 Natural gas (MMcf/d) 1,495 1,315 1,243 1,257 1,220 1,158 Barrels of oil…
Results of operations (C$ million, except per share) Cash flow from operations 6,969 6,090 6,333 6,547 6,013 7,477 per share ? Basic 6.45 5.62 5.82 5.98 5.48 6.87 Net earnings 4,985 1,580 1,673 2,643 1,892 2,270 per share ? Basic 4.61…
Corporate Guidance January 12, 2015 2015 Original Budget 2015 Revised Budget Daily Production Volumes (before royalties) Natural gas (MMcf/d) 1,790 - 1,830 1,730 - 1,770 Crude oil and NGLs (Mbbl/d) North America 292 - 302 274 -…
Note: Interest rates are subject to change depending upon short term rate changes. Current income taxes are subject to variation with commodity prices and the level and classification of capital expenditures. Current PRT is subject to…